Posted on 10/11/2016 2:08:33 PM PDT by Behind Liberal Lines
The NBC/WSJ poll has been updated to account for the debate. Pre-debate, it had an eye-popping 11-point Clinton lead in the four-way and 14 points the two-way.
That lead has settled down a bit: In a four-way matchup, Clinton now has the support of 46 percent of likely voters, while Trump has 37 percent, Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson has eight percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein has two percent.
And there are signs that it could come down further, as Trump does indeed appear to have rallied his base...
Although ...Trump’s image is still unbelievably bad...
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
Research who does NBC’s poll, hint, its Hillary’s Super Pac Pollster.
Even Nate Silver admits that the LA Times/Dornsife poll is superior to all others at measuring the changes in sentiment from day to day. The changes in that poll since Friday have been within the normal daily noise.
Cardinal Cupich would tell us that we must no less appalled by unemployment and the plight of the undocumented than by baby-eating.
The Pope just named 13 new electors for the next conclave. Not a single one is a Catholic.
Yes, he sure came out with the short straw on that one!!
Even Joe Scarborough had to admit the 11 point “Lead” poll was done by Hillary Clinton’s super pac..imagine if Trump had his Pac make a poll it would show him up 50 LOL..how pathetic for NBC that they had to peddle a Super Pac poll to show Clinton in the lead, by the end of the week it will show Clinton/Trump tied again
NBC is fake.
Here it comes. It may dribble in, but the DAYBREAK Poll on Monday reported great polls for TRUMP and a fine recovery for TRUMP, and indicated that other polls today would start to bare that out, to show gains for TRUMP.
TURN OUT elects the next president.
Trump has it. Hillary does not.
I understand what you’re saying. Would love a “fair” fight but there’s been something really wrong for a while. GOP has been on a suicidal path for a while. This election explains it.
NBC = Not Believable Crap
Ain’t no way in the real world that she has a 9-10 point lead. I just don’t see it.
She has no crowd.
College is the only place than can force bodies to show up.
The kids are forced to go to save their grades.
Ssi was the outfit
I blame the republicans! Every season they allow moderators who are partisan and than cry afterwards. Stop it before it starts
Rolling averages never tell you the current state, only what the state was averaged together for their period, in the RCP case this is the last two weeks.
They sacrifice being current in order to smooth out the effects of statistical noise.
The big polling uncertainty about this campaign is the potential monster vote and possible Bradely effect. The YUGE difference in the rally/excitement/movement in the campaigns does not necessarily mean Trump gets more votes, but I take it to be corroborating evidence that the monster vote theory is real....and if it is, then Trump will win easily.
When they panic, they get desperate. What happened to FR last night? It went down. As election day gets closer, I half expect some major internet hack that will be blamed on the Russians.
I love reading his missives because t reveals the state of conventional wisdom. He has been COMPLETELY WRONG all year about the Presidential race.
October 11, 2016 THERE ARE TWO REASONS WHY PAUL RYAN will no longer defend Donald Trump -- first, he thinks there are more damaging Trump revelations to come. Second, as we reported on Sunday, there's a growing GOP panic that a landslide is looming.HILLARY CLINTON'S LEAD HAS SURGED: Fresh polls later this week may show her up by 10-15 points, and her giddy campaign may pour resources into Arizona, Georgia and Missouri -- all thought to be unattainable just two weeks ago. Her greatest risk may be over-confidence.
RYAN WANTS TO SAVE CONGRESS: A landslide almost certainly would flip the Senate back to the Democrats, and suddenly the House is in play. The Democrats need a 30-seat pickup, still seemingly a stretch, but they now have opened up a 7-to-11 point lead in generic polls on the public's preference for House control. There are 26 GOP seats in play in districts that Barack Obama won in 2012, and another 23 districts where the Democrats think they have a chance.
FURY ON THE RIGHT: Ryan seemingly can't win. Conservatives who were cheered by Trump's incendiary debate performance were outraged by Ryan yesterday, vowing that he has no chance of ever becoming the GOP presidential nominee. Polls show the Trump base is furious over what they see as Ryan's treason, while moderates feel his shift came far too late. He's looking like beleaguered John Boehner.
THE PROSPECT OF MORE BOMBSHELLS has Washington buzzing. Are there more Trump videos? He apparently thinks so, and is threatening to unleash more dirt on the Clintons; he has nothing to lose could care less about Beltway Republicans who worry about the House. So we're in a race to the bottom for the next month, with Hillary Clinton hanging onto an unprecedented lead among women.
FOR THE FINANCIAL MARKETS, this election suddenly is a very big deal. We're not ready to proclaim that a "wave" election is coming, but the growing revulsion over Trump has the GOP close to civil war. If Clinton wins modestly, Republicans may keep the House, but they'll be so fractured that Ryan may never fully recover. If Clinton wins in a landslide, she may not have to worry about Speaker Ryan -- she may get Speaker Pelosi instead.
4 weeks is a lifetime in politics. The tape could be a distant memory by election day. Have to worry a little about that early voting, which should be unconstitutional. Few issues are more appropriate for a constitutional amendment than early voting. Everyone is tempted to pass early voting for one perceived benefit or another, but it fundamentally undermines the democratic process.
“NBC is fake.”
No. NBC is the enemy.
"NBC Poll Finds Trump Gaining Back Ground"
FR: Never Accept the Premise of Your Opponent’s Argument
I’m not buying the idea that Trump lost ground.
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