Posted on 10/10/2016 9:01:49 AM PDT by Tea Party Terrorist
The poll, conducted on Saturday and Sunday but before the second presidential debate, shows Clinton with 46 percent support among likely voters in a four-way matchup, compared to 35 percent for Trump.
Clinton up by 11 points in 4 way race, up 14 in 2 way race.
(Excerpt) Read more at nbcnews.com ...
I’m sure we’ll see a number of these in the coming days. On the subject of the internals of this poll, check out the question on the respondents support of Romney vs Obama in 2012. The answers to that question vs the actual 2012 outcome makes perfectly clear what this particular poll is all about.
They polled the news anchors at NBC and MSNBC
BS Poll Alert!
We had to expect a big drop in the polls after the tape and GOP defections. Trump gave an incredible performance. We’ll see if that helps his numbers. We still have the trickling Wikileaks dumps. We’ll see what else comes out on her. Whether or not Trump wins, I’m still glad he exposed her record last night.
[Who were they polling?]
NBC staff and their families?
The interesting thing is they have Hillary winning by 11%, when Obama at his best in 2008, won by 7.2 %.
Now think back to 2008: the economy was in shambles, the War with Iraq was very unpopular, He was perceived as a hopeful post racial president or so portrayed to whites and an Icon to Blacks.
if we go back to 2012, Obama won it by 3.9%. Hmmm... does anyone think Hillary is more popular than Obama in 2012 or in 2008? Can she get the 66% turn out in Blacks that Obama got in 2012, when the national turn out rate was ~53 %. It is very unlikely she could get , even assuming the rest of the electorate votes in the same proportions as 2012, a spread of more than 3 % above trump.
Something is bogus in that poll, as are a lot of the polls showing Hillary ahead by 7 or more points. 1 to 3 points would be possible, above that is simply not creditable. Unlike other elections where the polls seem to start to converge as the race goes along, in this election they are heading in opposite directions.
My conclusion is polls like this are being released to keep the 2 to 4 percent Trump up polls from affecting poll aggregate sites that average polls (like RCP). I note as trump climbed in certain polls, these other polls deviate in the exact opposite direction, so that he RCP and 538 average still always show Hillary up by 2 to 3 points.
No way she was that far ahead. No way was she ahead.
NBC-WSJ, right?
Their polls are a joke.
They were way off during the primaries.
Cool.
This is going to be a challenge.
I know it’s been commented on before - but Chelsea sure bears a resemblance to Webster Hubbell.
Internals:
Strong D = 26%
Not Strong D = 8%
Indep Dem = 9%
Strictly Indep = 12%
Indep R = 10%
Not Strong R = 7%
Strong R = 19%
Other = 5%
Don’t Know = 4%
Basic total D = 43% R = 36% I = 12%
Male = 47%
Female = 53%
Trump is winning, will win on November 8th and it will be a pleasure to watch. LA Times daily poll still has Trump up and will probably increase in the coming week.
Trump won the election last night, don’t let the media bring you down, that is their goal.
Now I’m scared
I think the tape really damaged TRUMP!
Now these squishy GOPe Voters are turning away from TRUMP again!!!
The Independents have been consistently going with Republicans all the way through the process.
If it’s more important to hash over a ten year old recording than the safety and security of America then we’re already doomed.
Wasn’t NBC the least reliable poll during the primaries.
Now Im scared
I think the tape really damaged TRUMP!
Now these squishy GOPe Voters are turning aw
Hang in there, LA times daily tracker poll still has Trump ahead and they were most accurate in 2012 :)
I expect he will begin another upward trend and increase his lead. Remember media and Dems and GOPe are in this together to slant appearance.
Election night will be a pleasure to watch Trump win !!!
NBC News? Isn’t this the same NBC that released the tape they are so interested in pushing>
They haven’t been a news organization for many years.
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