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Hurricane Matthew
NOAA/NHC ^ | 1 October 2016 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 10/01/2016 7:00:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Matthew is big, bad and just downright scary, and we await the long anticipated sharp turn northward. Jamaica is completing final storm preparations. All interests in the Eastern U.S. and Bahamas should be carefully watching the track of Mighty Matthew.

Ripped straight from the NHC Discussion page:

Matthew remains south of a low-to mid-level ridge over
the western Atlantic. The dynamical models forecast this ridge to
weaken over the next 72 hours as a mid- to upper-level trough develops
over the Gulf of Mexico. This evolution should cause Matthew to turn
northwestward after 24 hours and northward by 48-72 hours. The guidance
generally agrees with this scenario. However, there is a spread between
the GFS forecast of landfall in Jamaica and eastern Cuba and the ECMWF
forecast landfall in southwestern Haiti. The guidance becomes more
divergent after 72 hours.


Cone of Death Historic Archive Loop


Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links

Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
Buoy 42058 Central Caribbean (in storm path)
Florida & Eastern Gulf Buoy Locations
SE Atlantic Coast Buoy Locations

SE U.S. Radar Sector
Gitmo Radar (primitive)
Jamaica Radar Loop (primitive)

If the info above doesn't satisfy your need for speed and graphics, strap yourself in for a ride to Mike's Weather Page


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: florida; georgia; haiti; hurricane; hurricanematthew; matthew; nautinurse; northcarolina; southcarolina; tropical; weather
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To: rodguy911

Thanks for posting the very detailed analysis. It thoroughly explains to U.S. East Coast dwellers that next week is a crap shoot.


121 posted on 10/02/2016 5:51:52 AM PDT by NautiNurse (ILLary uses BleachBit to scrub her medical history away...)
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To: NonValueAdded

Tom Terry update Orlando’s WFTV 15 mins ago:

https://www.facebook.com/TomTerryWFTV/videos/1408880539126619/


122 posted on 10/02/2016 5:52:31 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather (Trump is exposing the fifth column in the U.S.)
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To: NautiNurse

Yeah I hate to keep saying we know only so much but it’s not that unusual with these big storms.


123 posted on 10/02/2016 5:54:03 AM PDT by rodguy911 (Go Sarah go! America home of the free because of the brave.)
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To: moose07

Cool link! Thanks!


124 posted on 10/02/2016 5:59:57 AM PDT by PistolPaknMama
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
Hurricane Matthew is meandering again...

350 Mi SSW of Port Au Prince Haiti
310 Mi SSE Of Kingston Jamaica
Max sustained winds...140 mph
Creeping W at 3 mph
Pressure...947 MB


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

125 posted on 10/02/2016 8:04:37 AM PDT by NautiNurse (ILLary uses BleachBit to scrub her medical history away...)
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To: NautiNurse

Sketti models show it going north and east of Florida.


126 posted on 10/02/2016 8:11:56 AM PDT by Road Warrior ‘04 (Molon Labe! (Oathkeeper))
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To: NautiNurse

Keeping my eye on this one. Thanks for the pingS.


127 posted on 10/02/2016 8:12:02 AM PDT by LuvFreeRepublic
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To: LuvFreeRepublic

http://www.wftv.com/weather/tom-terrys-11-am-update-on-hurricane-matthew/452681618


128 posted on 10/02/2016 9:36:05 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather (Trump is exposing the fifth column in the U.S.)
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To: NautiNurse

Excellent video (as of October 2) explaining the forces at play in determining the way Matthew will go (east coast potential impacts). This guy is my favorite weather guy - he’s in private business, not a TV met. Video is about 15 minutes long - good detail & explanations.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EoBbyCJLF2c&feature=youtu.be

PS - Don’t let the first 30 seconds put you off .... DT is a bit of a character & that’s his usual intro - still an excellent presentation.


129 posted on 10/02/2016 3:51:09 PM PDT by Qiviut (In Islam you have to die for. The God I worship died for me. [Franklin Graham])
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To: NautiNurse

Huh. Just checked the graphic on Drudge...several now bringing it closer to the coast.

These steering influences are interesting. But I still don’t know whether to buy extra chocolate;)


130 posted on 10/02/2016 4:00:19 PM PDT by SE Mom
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To: SE Mom; rodguy911; blam; dirtboy
I'll mention the creepy similarity, with caveat that no two storms are alike (except for Frances and Jeanne in 2004):


Hurricane Hazel October 1954

131 posted on 10/02/2016 7:25:07 PM PDT by NautiNurse (ILLary uses BleachBit to scrub her medical history away...)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for the ping.


132 posted on 10/02/2016 7:46:08 PM PDT by GOPJ (If Lester Holt's too stupid to ask follow-ups without an ear piece he should be disqualified.)
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To: GOPJ
Buoy near the storm is showing activity:


133 posted on 10/02/2016 8:41:00 PM PDT by NautiNurse (ILLary uses BleachBit to scrub her medical history away...)
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To: rodguy911
Question for our resident mariner and buoy afficianado: What would explain the difference between two buoy names that otherwise seem to be the same buoy? 42058 and 42T58

The "T" name graph looks like it is quivering in the wind, while 42058 is a smoothed line.

134 posted on 10/02/2016 8:46:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse (ILLary uses BleachBit to scrub her medical history away...)
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To: NautiNurse
Sunday night (I'm still watchin') bump.
135 posted on 10/02/2016 9:11:42 PM PDT by blam (Jeff Sessions For President)
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To: blam

One word: Hazel


136 posted on 10/02/2016 9:15:31 PM PDT by NautiNurse (ILLary uses BleachBit to scrub her medical history away...)
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To: NautiNurse
"One word: Hazel"

Hazel?

I don't get it.

137 posted on 10/02/2016 9:18:55 PM PDT by blam (Jeff Sessions For President)
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To: NautiNurse

Okay. I get it.


138 posted on 10/02/2016 9:20:13 PM PDT by blam (Jeff Sessions For President)
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To: blam
See post #131.

An old NC friend of mine told stories about Hurricane Hazel, including one about Uncle found dangling in a tree.

139 posted on 10/02/2016 9:22:11 PM PDT by NautiNurse (ILLary uses BleachBit to scrub her medical history away...)
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
230 mi...SSE of Kingston Jamaica
290 mi...SW of Port au Prince Haiti
Max sustained winds...130 mph
Moving...N at 6 mph
Pressure is 943 mb

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to
195 miles.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

140 posted on 10/03/2016 3:54:13 AM PDT by NautiNurse (ILLary uses BleachBit to scrub her medical history away...)
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