Posted on 09/22/2016 10:50:45 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
Donald Trump is up 5 points nationally over Hillary Clinton in a four-way race, a Thursday poll from right-leaning Rasmussen found.
It's the Republican nominee's largest lead in the poll since mid-July.
In the poll that also includes Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein, Trump holds a 44% to 39% advantage over Clinton.
It's an improvement from his 2-point lead in the four-way poll last week, and a much larger improvement from his 4-point deficit in early September.
The poll surveyed 1,000 likely voters between September 20 and 21. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
On Wednesday, the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll found that Clinton, the Democratic nominee, was up 6 points over Trump in the same four-way race. As of Thursday morning, the former secretary of state held a 1.1-point lead over Trump in the RealClearPolitics polling average.
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
Rasmussen is no longer “right leaning.” He sold the business to a liberal.
My thinking is, if you hate both Trump and Clinton, you will vote for Johnson, and to a lesser extent Stein. Trump, I my opinion, still has an opportunity to pick up undecideds. Clinton does not. In other words. Undecideds will either go Trump or Johnson. Clinton has hit the (ahem) glass ceiling.
we need to get all our lazy arse friends off their duffs and vote...
the #NOW projection did spike at 48.. standard projection never went about 43. something.... and for the last 3 days he’s been dropping it...
Its laughable.. Charlotte’s in flames, Hillary’s only accomplishment was to show up to a small rally with her eyes synchronized and not falling over... but somehow something fundamentally shifted toward in the last 3 days?
Laughable.
Unless there is election monitoring.
Not how I read 538:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-reports-of-a-clinton-rebound-have-been-greatly-exaggerated/
Silver applies statistics to polls done by others, he’s not a pollster. Look at the data at the link to see how the polls are shifting and form your own conclusion. I have low confidence in most polls being anything but propaganda tools.
Hillary opening her mouth on Monday night should widen this lead.
The good news is that what has just happened in Charlotte pretty much has sealed the deal for Mr. Trump.
the lies are to the point of.....setting things up for stealing the election via the electronic vote counting of the soros machine.
according to this scenario, sheeple will wake up Wednesday morning, & look up to see hildabeast wins and think: well she WAS up in the polls.
Johnson has made it clear he opposes the wall and generally despises Trump as much as Hillary does.
I think the idea of a Johnson Presidency, followed by President Weed is really amusing.
Trump will beat the witch. Handily.
The only way Trump can win is to completely obliterate the Democrat margin-of-cheating.
+5 isn’t big.
“Right-leaning” Rasmussen?
Other “polls” have Hillary +6 today.
That video is excellent. Thank you for sharing it.
“a Thursday poll from right-leaning Rasmussen found.”
IMHO that makes Business Insider a left leaning organization.
“Fox news keeps pushing that Johnson takes votes from Clinton more than Trump. Does any genius Freeper know if this is true or if these Johnson voters flip if it could swing back to Hillary?”
Only surmise based on Johnson’s behavior. He has been pandering to the left pretty hard in the past 30 days. So he’s acting as if his votes were coming from HRC.
Of course the Johnson/Stein vote in the polls could flip back to HRC. Polls probably overstate Johnson and Stein’s support. If history is a guide, many pissed off voters “come home” for the actual vote. But that will be true for both parties. There are plenty of voters pissed off big time at their party’s nominee. Much more so than a normal election year. Which side comes home may determine this year’s winner.
This is an insane election year. So I have no idea how it’s going to work in the real world.
I don’t think looking back to previous years tells us much in 2016. For example, Obama won in 2012 with a $100 million blitz of negative ads about Romney very early on. Rich, out of touch, gives women cancer etc. White working class voters stayed home in swing states largely because of those ads and that was the margin of victory for Obama. This year, HRC has spent 100’s of millions on negative ads and she is just running about even with Trump and, if trends continue, is losing ground. Are the negative ads not working in 2016? When Trump starts a serious TV campaign (assuming he does), will they work against HRC? Don’t know.
And we know the media will run a hard October campaign about HRC’s amazing comeback, powering through pneumonia to prove what a great president she will be, blah blah blah. That stuff has worked before. Is it going to work this year? Don’t know.
A lot of things could still go right and a lot could still go wrong.
I don’t know how people aren’t burned out on poll watching. It just causes anxiety and depression.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.