Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Virginia Poll: Trump Cuts Lead in Half, Trails Clinton by 7 Points
Newsmax ^ | 22 Sep 2016 | Mark Swanson

Posted on 09/22/2016 7:44:45 AM PDT by mandaladon

Donald Trump cut Hillary Clinton's lead in half in the key battleground state of Virginia, but still trails by 7 points, according to the latest Roanoke College Poll.

The results of likely voters in Virginia:

Clinton: 44 percent Trump: 37 percent Gary Johnson: 8 percent Jill Stein: 1 percent Undecided: 9 percent In the August survey by Roanoke College, Clinton was leading Trump by 16 points. However, Trump ate into Clinton's hold on Independents, turning an 18-point lead last month into just an 8-point deficit in Thursday's poll, 37 percent to 29 percent.

The Roanoke College Poll interviewed 841 likely voters in Virginia from Sept. 11-20 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percent.

(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; 2016swingstates; polls; trump; va2016; virginia
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-92 next last
To: mandaladon

If Trump closes the gap or goes ahead in these swing states, I think there will be more riots. They will be planned and executed by SJW types with the aid of George Soros funded groups and tacit support of the Hillary campaign.


21 posted on 09/22/2016 8:00:41 AM PDT by Truth29
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Blue Turtle

What happened to VA? The same thing thing that the dems are going to do to the rest of the US. Move in an arse load of government dependents to overwhelm the makers.


22 posted on 09/22/2016 8:01:54 AM PDT by FlipWilson
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon

where do they get these polls? I seriously doubt Clinton ever led Virginia by 14 points.


23 posted on 09/22/2016 8:03:34 AM PDT by Reno89519 (It is very simple, Trump/Pence or Clinton/Kaine. Good riddance Lyn' Ted, we regret ever knowing you)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Blue Turtle
I agree, but I must ask: What the hell happened to Virginia?

Which state do you suppose takes in more than their share of immigrants? I can go four blocks from my house and need a visa. English is not spoken, and there is no conservative outreach to speak of for that demographic.

24 posted on 09/22/2016 8:03:38 AM PDT by Salvavida (The restoration of the U.S.A. starts with filling the pews at every Bible-believing church.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon

Gov. Mcauliffe will not let Hillary lose VA. He will dig up the dead voters himself and personally sign felons’ absentee ballots to avoid that. Can Trump get enough voters out in the battleground states to overcome the vote fraud by Dem pols and Soros? It will take ten of thousands of new voters to do that.


25 posted on 09/22/2016 8:04:13 AM PDT by txrefugee
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: AppyPappy

Not this time we are watching voter fraud very very closely. I am one of the GOP Gestapo in dealing with it.


26 posted on 09/22/2016 8:06:21 AM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: Voluntaryist
Gallup has Virginia a R +1.6 with leaners for its 2016 Report.

Red States Outnumber Blue for First Time in Gallup Tracking

So this is ONLY 12 points off. What a joke
27 posted on 09/22/2016 8:06:33 AM PDT by nhwingut (Trump-Pence 2016 - Blow Up The GOPe)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon

I read through the posting of stylin19a and the first poll answers. I have a new track in mind for the voters. They need education rather than instruction. They have no idea what they are making decisions on in these polls.

red


28 posted on 09/22/2016 8:07:19 AM PDT by Redwood71 (uad.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon

If Trump takes VA>.. he’s going to take a LOT of other states that she has been up by 15 or 20 in polls...

VA is a state that by all reasonable analysis should stay Clinton... the NOVA region is completely dependent on the corrupt system that is in place in DC.. so folks there will vote for their wallet/pocket book and show up to vote Clinton even if they have no innate support or love for her... they will be motivated to show up and vote for her just to protect the suckling off the tit that keeps them fat and happy.

IF, she can’t hold VA, where so much of the population of the state has a direct self interest in her victory, she won’t hold much of anything....

VA Falls, probably isn’t a state on the map that is fundamentally safe for her.


29 posted on 09/22/2016 8:07:31 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rigelkentaurus

Concur; she is probably up by 2-3 points; Trump can win VA if he consolidates GOP women and Independent conservatives with no more errors.


30 posted on 09/22/2016 8:08:14 AM PDT by af_vet_1981 (The bus came by and I got on, That's when it all began.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon

JOIN US IN ROANOKE, Virginia SATURDAY!

Trump is coming to a 10,000 seat arena on Saturday. Let’s fill it up!

Remember to get your tickets to join Donald J. Trump and team in Roanoke, Virginia this Saturday, Sept. 24th @ 6:00 PM for a rally!

Saturday, September 24th: Roanoke, VA
Berglund Center - Colliseum
710 Williamson Road
Roanoke, VA 24016

Doors Open: 3:00 PM
Event Begins: 6:00 PM
Get your tickets here:

https://www.donaldjtrump.com/schedule/register/roanoke-va1/


31 posted on 09/22/2016 8:08:25 AM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

Yes, I’m aware and they’ll prolly be using dem +20 in all the polls by the time we get November lol


32 posted on 09/22/2016 8:08:46 AM PDT by Voluntaryist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: Blue Turtle

We were invaded by northeastern liberals and illegal aliens from south of the border.


33 posted on 09/22/2016 8:09:30 AM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Know Islam, No Peace - No Islam , Know Peace)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: HamiltonJay

I disagree with those that say that Virginia should be written off and is permanently blue. Yes, Northern Virginia is going to vote their interests and will come out strong for Hillary. The thing is, there are a lot of people in the western, southwestern, and southside part of the state that are going to come out for Trump in much higher numbers than for McCain and Romney.

The other factor to consider is African-American turnout. I lived in the City of Richmond in 2008 and 2012, and the turnout with Obama on the ballot was astronomical. Hillary is not going to get that kind of turnout, nor is she going to get the same percentage of that turnout this time. In addition, millenials are mostly going to stay home.

Virginia is winnable.


34 posted on 09/22/2016 8:11:06 AM PDT by mrs9x
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon

Hill shill Johnson is serving his purpose


35 posted on 09/22/2016 8:12:00 AM PDT by montag813
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon
1. Trump was never behind by 16. That's silly.

2. It's a telephone poll -- it is becoming more socially acceptable to admit support for Trump now than it was just 1 month ago.

36 posted on 09/22/2016 8:12:37 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Every nation has the government it deserves." - Joseph de Maistre (1753-1821))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Dr. Sivana

Lots of them in NOVA but they are becoming very divided.


37 posted on 09/22/2016 8:14:23 AM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Gay State Conservative

Along with the government check cashers and the Beltway Bandits in the Northern Virginia area, in the Valley and on down to the tip, there are vast swaths of welfare recipients. Basically, nice people but they have done the math and realize they can lay in the hammock and get hand-outs for the same amount (or more) dough than they would get by working a labor job. Don’t count on personal pride to lift up the masses, anymore.


38 posted on 09/22/2016 8:14:48 AM PDT by ArtDodger
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Gay State Conservative

Being adjacent to D.C. has to be an infectious environment.


39 posted on 09/22/2016 8:15:58 AM PDT by fwdude (If we keep insisting on the lesser of two evils, that is exactly what they will give us from now on.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon; LS

This poll is truly curious.

Weighting was done to match the demographic groups’ representation in the 2012 Virginia exit poll.

In other words, the actual weighting of the poll was based on Obama’s campaign in 2012.

Next, in the data section, we discover that fully 51% of the respondents had a college degree (BA) or higher. Of those fully 23% had an advanced degree beyond a BA.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_by_educational_attainment

The truth is, though, that only 34% of Virginians have at least a BA and that only 14% have a graduate degree.

One wonders exactly who was calling where when making phone calls?

Question 8a calls into question the competence of those administering the poll: The question about Romney reported results for McCain. That’s pretty shoddy work.

8. a. [IF YES] Do you recall if you voted for Barack Obama or Mitt Romney for President in 2012 or did you vote for someone else?
Obama 55%
McCain 39%
Someone else 4%
Don’t recall/Refused 3%


40 posted on 09/22/2016 8:17:04 AM PDT by xzins ( Free Republic Gives YOU a voice heard around the globe. Support the Freepathon!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-92 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson