Posted on 09/22/2016 5:41:50 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT
With the first presidential debate coming on Monday, Donald Trump has moved to a five-point lead over Hillary Clinton, his biggest advantage since mid-July.
The latest Rasmussen Reports weekly White House Watch telephone and online survey finds Trump with 44% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Clinton’s 39%. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson earns eight percent (8%) of the vote, while Green Party nominee Jill Stein holds steady at two percent (2%). Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Excerpt) Read more at m.rasmussenreports.com ...
4 more days, with the fate of the nation riding on a debate performance. Holy catz.
Charlotte has handed Trump the White House. It is over.
Rasmussen doesn’t like Trump - has used ‘weighted’ polls in past - contacting many more dems than ‘pubs.
The only way you can see the count for that in this poll is to give them five bucks - by registering -
no thanks
anyone got access?
BTW - Most are also using voting demographics from 2012. They don’t have the names/numbers to the 1.8 MILLION people who newly registered this year just to vote for Trump in the primaries....and I wouldn’t be surprised if at least that many more have so registered since...these people are not not yet listed on the local voters records of the town records...(that takes months, even years, to totally redo the lists and costs MONEY) but will be/are motivated to vote in Nov.
So, I’m thinking - there might be such a blow out in Nov that the world will be agog.
But I’m worried that the dark side may know this and may pull the Wag-The-Dog (It’s a favorite weapon in the Clinton’s arsenal) of all times to interfere.
Hope ‘all got some food put up -
Amen. Praise God.
I pray America is waking to the obvious choice.
ROFL, you said that about Orlando, so it was supposedly “over” in June. Then you said it about Nice, and about Shrillary’s 9/11 collapse, and now about Charlotte. How many different events can “decide” one election?
A timeline of events that create an avalance event that simply do not help Hillary.
They are landmarks along the way.
LOLOLOL.
XO
My point is that all of your statements referred to cannot possibly be true. If the election was already decided by a prior event, then any new event that does not alter that outcome has not newly decided the election. It might INCREASE Trump’s margin but the outcome in favor of Trump was already decided, according to you.
Right now people are taking a close look at who will be the next President and Mr. Trump shows the best leadership and one to unite the country. Plus he is a TRUE outsider and one with the better ideas Also he represents the future.
Ms. Hillary is old hate and yesterday’s news.
You don’t need to sell me on Trump or convince me to despise Hillary. I’m making a simple point about causality, that once you say “Event X has guaranteed a certain effect” it makes no sense AT ALL to keep saying the same kind of causal statement about new events that don’t change the alleged outcome.
Take another look at the electoral college map. Trump absolutely doesn’t need VA to win. Right now it looks like he will most likely win all of Romney’s states (including NC), plus FL, OH, IA, NV, and the Second Congressional District of Maine. That will leave him a mere 4 electoral votes away from winning. ANY of the remaining swing states (NH, CO, PA, WI, MI, or VA) will put him over the top.
I don’t think so. Don’t think it will really be close.
“Indicative of Hillary dragging down other candidates down ballot? Sure hope so “
We will know the answer to that question around October 1st. If other candidates in “solid blue” states start dragging Obama and not Hillary to their rallies, it means that PIAPS is dragging tickets down.
“Virginia it seems is on the verge of becoming another permanently blue state. “
Nothing is permanent. Get the Karl Rove nonsense out of your head :-) (I was a victim of that too ... I don’t mean to sound argumentative :-) ).
So Virginia shifted ... it doesn’t mean that it’s out of reach this year. Moreover, the Republicans have the opportunity to make inroads in states like Michigan and Wisconsin as well as solidify a base in crucial states like Ohio.
Try looking at things dynamically :-) ... the electoral map certainly has “static” states (CA, IL, NY, etc.), but there are lots of dynamics at play this time around.
The thing about Karl Rove is that he a supporter of the mass immigration that has helped turn Virginia from a reliably and solidly red state to (at best) a purple state. At least I think he is; he worked for Bush who is about as clueless on immigration as any Republican. One of the reasons the static blue states you mention are pretty much permanently blue now is because of this now decades-long era of Democrat-importing mass immigration.
Michigan, Wisconsin, and Ohio do offer opportunity, but mostly by increasing the share of the white vote in those states. The dilemma facing the GOP with regards to whites is that any attempt to get more of their vote will be demonized as racist and white nationalist. And while that may have no impact on poor and working class whites, who are used to be trashed by culture and ignored by politicians, it does seems to have an impact on upper-scale, suburban whites. They probably can’t explain exactly why it’s ‘racist’ or ‘white nationalist’, but they’ve heard it repeatedly in the press and media and so they think it must be true.
Anyway, I hope you’re right, I really do. Recapturing Virginia this year could be big, and to win a state that hasn’t gone GOP since 1984 in Wisconsin, or 1988 in Michigan would be huge.
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