Posted on 09/22/2016 5:41:50 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT
With the first presidential debate coming on Monday, Donald Trump has moved to a five-point lead over Hillary Clinton, his biggest advantage since mid-July.
The latest Rasmussen Reports weekly White House Watch telephone and online survey finds Trump with 44% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Clinton’s 39%. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson earns eight percent (8%) of the vote, while Green Party nominee Jill Stein holds steady at two percent (2%). Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Excerpt) Read more at m.rasmussenreports.com ...
Hildabeast must be crushed.
Emerson’s Wisconsin poll is suspicious, showing her up by 7—when the gold standard Marquette poll has it at 2 or 3 points.
Illinois is closer than Virginia, according to Roanoke.
Romney supporters very short-lived, or very old in 2012. Pffff......
Of course it is BS, but as I have written before, take especially care with polls this season. Probably all over the place for a lot of reasons*. However, most likely (though of course not certain) they underestimate Trump.
* eg. low response rates, shy pubbies, new voting groups, one candidate fully supported by media and political establishment, etc.
What are the 10 states he isn’t going to win? Courtesy of Obozo.
Mistake in post. Raus had it Trump +2 a week ago. It is now Trump +5. Sorry for the inadvertant post.
You have to subscribe to get Raus’ Internals. Anyone on their list. Like to compared with the NBC Poll which is D+6.
Indicative of Hillary dragging down other candidates down ballot? Sure hope so
RCP and here on FR, Rasmussen has Trump up by 5 points.
Great to see this today, what with the drop in the L.A. Times tracker.
I was almost happy to see Kirk lose but now I’m thinking about readjusting to welcoming an across the board Trump inspired tidal wave of victory across the nation.
Yet yesterday NBC says Hillary ahead by 5. That’s a 10 point spread. Someone is insane.
Trump is looking good for the win!!!
Past polls:
Sept. 22, 2008 Obama 47.9% McCain 44.4% Obama up 3.5%
Sept. 22, 2012 Obama 48.3% Romney 44.8% Obama up 3.5%
Virginia it seems is on the verge of becoming another permanently blue state. That’s what you get with decades of demography-altering policies of mass immigration and an ever-growing federal government workforce that has spilled out in the northern part of the state.
When you watch the comparative enthusiasm different between Clinton's few and small events of a couple hundred people (likely counting staff and media) to Trump's 10s of thousands, it is clear who is winning the heart and soul of Americans.
Agreed. Trump needs a GOP Senate and House
I have been following the LA Times/USC. The slight downturn is by dropping off the last of the 7 day average. Last Tuesday and Wed were Trumps biggest days. They were right after the 9/11 Seizure. It makes sense they would settle down a little since Trump was +7 on his biggest days.
Hillary isn’t moving up. She is now dropping like a stone in State polls(see earlier posts on this thread). I originally thought she would have trouble reaching 42% Nationally. It now looks like she is having trouble reaching 40%. Big :)
11 point spread b/w this and NBC....hmmmmmm
Now this is huge!!!! She was leading in this polling two weeks ago, big time. And since Rass uses rolling averages, the lead may be even greater.
Did anyone see the clip of her, going postal as to why she’s not beating Trump by 50pts? The woman makes me sick to my stomach.
Actually, NBC had it Beast+7 head to head, Beast+6 four way. So it’s an 11 or 12 point spread. Ras hasn’t been great, but I’d bet my last dollar they are closer to reality
The insanity explained:
NBC/Survey Monkey -- online. No scientific measurement, ergo, no validity.
NBC/WSJ -- Of survey respondents, 47% voted for Obama in 2012; 33% voted otherwise. Obama's margin of victory in 2012 was 3.9%. Also, the party ID breakout was 47D, 39R. The country at large may be close to that in raw data, but I highly doubt that's going to be how the voting electorate shakes out on 8 Nov.
What poll is that?
I’ve said 57 states.
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