Posted on 09/17/2016 9:11:32 AM PDT by Hojczyk
An election analysis conducted in the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project shows that the race has tightened considerably over the past few weeks, with Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump projected to win Florida, an essential battleground state, if the election were held today.
The project, which is based on a weekly tracking poll of more than 15,000 Americans, shows that the 2016 presidential race could end in a photo finish on Nov. 8, with the major-party candidates running nearly even in the Electoral College, the body that ultimately selects the president.
The States of the Nation project, which delivers a weekly tally of support for the candidates in every state, shows that the race has tightened in several traditional battlegrounds. Pennsylvania has been moved from a likely win for Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton to a tossup; Ohio has been moved from a tossup to a likely win for Clinton.
And Florida is now considered a likely win for the Republican nominee, with 50 percent support for Trump to 46 percent support for Clinton. If the election were held today, the project estimates that Clinton has a 60 percent chance of winning by 18 electoral votes. Last week, the project estimated that Clinton had a 83 percent chance of winning the election.
(Excerpt) Read more at yahoo.com ...
Ohio for Clinton? Seems odd with everything else going on.
“Ohio has been moved from a tossup to a likely win for Clinton. “
Misprint?
Why a photo finish if Trump has been gaining so much ground in the first furlong?
Probably really caught up with her months ago
Then Reuters just lied, got caught in a fabrication...if they say Trump tied in EC, then either this is wrong, or the Clinton winning 60% chance is wrong or both are wrong.
That’s sexist. Like the parishoner who chased a man through the church and caught him by the organ.
Well, she has Kasich's vote. Is he a Super-Voter?
No. They shuffled bigger states toward Trump.
I figured it out and they messed up the crosstabs, whether intentionally or the result of human error.
Quite simply put, Trump is leading with 42% and Hillary with 38%.
The names were wrongly assigned. Once you correct for it, it all falls into place and Trump is leading in both FL and OH.
It wouldn’t be the first time a pollster made such a simple mistake.
And it tracks now with state polls showing Hillary in the 30s.
OHIO .... IS NOT....A 'LIKELY' FOR CLINTON.....
The FL airwaves are flooded with anti-Trump ads on TV, radio, and websites, including programing that I thought was an odd choice (Rays baseball, The First 48, Fox local news). I can’t remember the last time I saw a pro-Trump or anti-Hillary ad. That Trump is holding his own under the onslaught is miraculous.
SWMNP probably has a deal with Kaysuck
(She Who Must Never Be President)
With Obamas recent decision on a new national park in Maine and the fishing restrictions off the coast of NE, those states are now in play. As it was they thought Maine would be portioning out their electoral college votes.
See my explanation.
If my theory is correct, Trump is really up by 4+ in their national poll and Hillary is performing far worse than any Democratic presidential candidate in modern times.
Their own poll shows her well under 40%! Now we’re closer to the truth about this election.
I bet that feels right and bottom line number is a disaster for Hillary!
Because you are absolutely correct. It is a blatant lie. Trump will walk away with Ohio.
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