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Iowa - Trump Widens Lead Over Clinton
Monmouth ^ | 9/15/2016 | Monmouth

Posted on 09/15/2016 10:02:49 AM PDT by usafa92

West Long Branch, NJ - Donald Trump now has an 8 point lead over Hillary Clinton in the battle for Iowa's electoral votes, according to the Monmouth University Poll . He held a slimmer 2 point edge in July. In the race for U.S. Senate, incumbent Chuck Grassley maintains a double digit advantage over Democratic challenger Patty Judge.

Among Iowa voters likely to participate in November's presidential election, 45% currently support Trump and 37% back Clinton. Another 8% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson, 2% say they will support Green Party candidate Jill Stein, 2% say they will vote for another candidate, and 6% are undecided. Trump's current standing is similar to his 44% share two months ago, but Clinton has lost support since July when she had a 42% vote share.

Among self-identified Republicans, 81% support Trump, which is down from 87% in July. Clinton has improved her standing among Democrats from 86% two months ago to 91% in the current poll. Trump has been able to increase his overall lead, though, by improving his share of the independent vote. He now leads Clinton 44% to 29% among independents, compared to a much narrower 39% to 35% edge he had in July.

Nearly half (48%) of Iowa voters under age 50 currently support Trump compared to 33% for Clinton, 10% for Johnson, and 4% for Stein or another candidate. Two months ago, the under 50 vote split 51% for Trump, 32% for Clinton, 7% for Johnson, and 3% for another candidate. In Monmouth polls conducted nationally and in other states, Clinton has had the advantage with younger voters.

Voters age 50 and older are almost evenly divided between the two major party nominees. Currently, Trump has the support of 42% of this group, Clinton has 41%, Johnson has 6%, and other candidates have 4%. In July, Clinton actually had an advantage among voters age 50 and older, with 50% support compared to 38% for Trump, 4% for Johnson and 1% for other candidates.

Trump (42%) and Clinton (43%) are basically tied among voters with a college degree while Trump leads 47% to 34% among those without a college education. In July, Clinton had a 46% to 34% edge with college graduates while Trump had a 50% to 40% lead among those without a college degree.

"Iowa is one of the few places where Trump has been able make inroads among voting blocs that generally support Clinton," said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.

Iowa voters take a dim view of both major party candidates. Only 32% have a favorable opinion of Trump while 55% hold an unfavorable view of him, which is similar to his 33% - 51% rating in July. Likewise, only 30% have a favorable opinion of Clinton while 58% hold an unfavorable view of her, which is similar to her 32% - 56% rating two months ago.

Turning to the Hawkeye State's U.S. Senate race, six-term incumbent Chuck Grassley has nearly doubled his prior lead over former Lieutenant Governor Patty Judge. The race now stands at 56% for Grassley and 39% for Judge, with 2% supporting other candidates and 3% who are undecided. The incumbent held a 52% to 42% lead in Monmouth's July poll.

Grassley's electoral strength is built on a strong job performance rating from Iowa voters - 58% approve and 31% disapprove of the job he has done in Washington. He also has a solid personal rating of 50% favorable and 29% unfavorable, compared with a 46% favorable and 31% unfavorable rating in July.

Voters are more divided about the challenger. Judge holds a 27% favorable and 20% unfavorable rating with 52% having no opinion of her. Her July rating was slightly better at 30% favorable and 14% unfavorable, with 56% having no opinion.

The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from September 12 to 14, 2016 with 404 Iowa residents likely to vote in the November election. This sample has a margin of error of + 4.9 percent. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; 2016swingstates; clinton; donaldtrump; elections; hillary; hillaryclinton; ia2016; iowa; polls; trump; trumplandslidecoming
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To: GraceG

She promised to tell all about the Aliens and UFO’s why is she still holding out on us for?


41 posted on 09/15/2016 1:03:47 PM PDT by eaglestar
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To: Political Junkie Too

Who put out the poll?

On the ground, I think we’re definitely in play. Virginia is tight, but possible. Northern VA is a basket case, but western VA and Ricmond are pro Trump. As usual, tidewater is the question mark.


42 posted on 09/15/2016 1:04:53 PM PDT by RKBA Democrat (Make phone calls. Knock on doors. Write letters. Or wake to a nightmare in November)
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To: RKBA Democrat
No problem here, just a little smoke, no fire, USS Hillaryburg all well !!! I walked up the stairs today so vote for me !!
43 posted on 09/15/2016 1:10:53 PM PDT by IVAXMAN
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To: Clintonfatigued

Monmouth, 8 points.


44 posted on 09/15/2016 1:49:24 PM PDT by Impy (Never Shillery, Never Schumer, Never Pelosi)
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To: eaglestar

[ She promised to tell all about the Aliens and UFO’s why is she still holding out on us for? ]

Yup, the ONLY thing at this point that could “save” her campaign would be to release everything about aliens (if they exist).

but it would be a BIG gamble...


45 posted on 09/15/2016 2:50:51 PM PDT by GraceG (Only a fool works hard in an environment where hard work is not appreciated...)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

I am most proud of the fact that he is a New Yorker and his inner circle is from here; Christie, Giuliani, his kids and even Kelly Anne is a Jersey girl. There are many good and conservative people here and I’m so happy that finally we can contribute. I think this is why you see Trump being competitive in places where Republicans usually aren’t. But I really can’t wait to see the wall start going up and the government start deporting illegals. They’ve overrun the tri state area.


46 posted on 09/15/2016 3:02:10 PM PDT by usafa92 (Trump 2016 - Destroying the GOPe while Making America Great Again!)
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To: Impy; Keith in Iowa; fieldmarshaldj; GOPsterinMA; NFHale; ExTexasRedhead; stephenjohnbanker; ...

This is notable, given that Iowa has supported Democrats in five of the past six Presidential election, with W only narrowly winning it in 2004.

Charles Grassley is up for reelection and his political machine is working overtime for the entire ticket. Democrats wakened a corn-fed sleeping giant when they targeted Grassley for defeat.


47 posted on 09/15/2016 3:29:59 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (The barbarians are inside because there are no gates)
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To: Clintonfatigued

I’m seeing Trump with 283 EV to the Beast getting 255 EV. He wins Florida, Ohio, Iowa, North Carolina, Nevada, Arizona, New Hampshire and a majority of Maine and Nebraska.
She probably ekes out Virginia, Pennsylvania and Colorado.
Anyone who seriously thinks Georgia is in play is out of their mind.


48 posted on 09/15/2016 3:38:44 PM PDT by roostercogburn
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To: roostercogburn

Georgia isn’t in play anymore. Neither is Missouri. Gary Johnson is hurting Trump in Arizona, but I don’t see him actually losing the state.


49 posted on 09/15/2016 3:50:06 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (The barbarians are inside because there are no gates)
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To: roostercogburn

If Trump is winning the election it’s very unlikely he’ll fail to carry Nebraska’s 2nd district.


50 posted on 09/15/2016 4:16:56 PM PDT by Impy (Never Shillery, Never Schumer, Never Pelosi)
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To: Clintonfatigued
Democrats wakened a corn-fed sleeping giant when they targeted Grassley for defeat.

:D

51 posted on 09/15/2016 4:17:30 PM PDT by Impy (Never Shillery, Never Schumer, Never Pelosi)
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To: Impy

“If Trump is winning the election it’s very unlikely he’ll fail to carry Nebraska’s 2nd district.”
You’re correct sir. My bad on that.


52 posted on 09/15/2016 4:55:43 PM PDT by roostercogburn
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To: usafa92

Limbaugh: The Trump Campaign Is Sneaking Up on the People Who Don’t Understand It - the race is over!


53 posted on 09/15/2016 5:29:15 PM PDT by GilGil
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