Posted on 09/15/2016 10:02:49 AM PDT by usafa92
West Long Branch, NJ - Donald Trump now has an 8 point lead over Hillary Clinton in the battle for Iowa's electoral votes, according to the Monmouth University Poll . He held a slimmer 2 point edge in July. In the race for U.S. Senate, incumbent Chuck Grassley maintains a double digit advantage over Democratic challenger Patty Judge.
Among Iowa voters likely to participate in November's presidential election, 45% currently support Trump and 37% back Clinton. Another 8% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson, 2% say they will support Green Party candidate Jill Stein, 2% say they will vote for another candidate, and 6% are undecided. Trump's current standing is similar to his 44% share two months ago, but Clinton has lost support since July when she had a 42% vote share.
Among self-identified Republicans, 81% support Trump, which is down from 87% in July. Clinton has improved her standing among Democrats from 86% two months ago to 91% in the current poll. Trump has been able to increase his overall lead, though, by improving his share of the independent vote. He now leads Clinton 44% to 29% among independents, compared to a much narrower 39% to 35% edge he had in July.
Nearly half (48%) of Iowa voters under age 50 currently support Trump compared to 33% for Clinton, 10% for Johnson, and 4% for Stein or another candidate. Two months ago, the under 50 vote split 51% for Trump, 32% for Clinton, 7% for Johnson, and 3% for another candidate. In Monmouth polls conducted nationally and in other states, Clinton has had the advantage with younger voters.
Voters age 50 and older are almost evenly divided between the two major party nominees. Currently, Trump has the support of 42% of this group, Clinton has 41%, Johnson has 6%, and other candidates have 4%. In July, Clinton actually had an advantage among voters age 50 and older, with 50% support compared to 38% for Trump, 4% for Johnson and 1% for other candidates.
Trump (42%) and Clinton (43%) are basically tied among voters with a college degree while Trump leads 47% to 34% among those without a college education. In July, Clinton had a 46% to 34% edge with college graduates while Trump had a 50% to 40% lead among those without a college degree.
"Iowa is one of the few places where Trump has been able make inroads among voting blocs that generally support Clinton," said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.
Iowa voters take a dim view of both major party candidates. Only 32% have a favorable opinion of Trump while 55% hold an unfavorable view of him, which is similar to his 33% - 51% rating in July. Likewise, only 30% have a favorable opinion of Clinton while 58% hold an unfavorable view of her, which is similar to her 32% - 56% rating two months ago.
Turning to the Hawkeye State's U.S. Senate race, six-term incumbent Chuck Grassley has nearly doubled his prior lead over former Lieutenant Governor Patty Judge. The race now stands at 56% for Grassley and 39% for Judge, with 2% supporting other candidates and 3% who are undecided. The incumbent held a 52% to 42% lead in Monmouth's July poll.
Grassley's electoral strength is built on a strong job performance rating from Iowa voters - 58% approve and 31% disapprove of the job he has done in Washington. He also has a solid personal rating of 50% favorable and 29% unfavorable, compared with a 46% favorable and 31% unfavorable rating in July.
Voters are more divided about the challenger. Judge holds a 27% favorable and 20% unfavorable rating with 52% having no opinion of her. Her July rating was slightly better at 30% favorable and 14% unfavorable, with 56% having no opinion.
The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from September 12 to 14, 2016 with 404 Iowa residents likely to vote in the November election. This sample has a margin of error of + 4.9 percent. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.
We know who to blame if Trump loses.
not a stronger candidate but for sure has more democratic support and running a lot more ads then conlin ever did and dems are fired up a bit over Grassley not holding hearings on Supreme court. A lot of dems I know that used to vote for Grassley I know are ready to vote for Judge. We are still a pretty close to 50/50 state I think. Grassley will win but not sure the margin will be as big.
been banging my head against a wall at some of my republican friends who just don’t get it that if they don’t vote for Trump they are voting for Hilary. Gary Johnson has a lot of traction here and even my neighbor has a Johnson sign. ughh...
Ohio has swung decidedly towards Trump, too.
Yep, barely even worth mentioning at this point.
It’s really all about Virginia, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Colorado, Wisconsin, Oregon, Nevada, and the rest of Maine.
The good news just keep coming...
Virginia “too close to call”!
Debias the poll and it’s Trump +7
Thank you!! Go Trump!!!
I don’t see Trump spending much time in Maine because even if he won 55% of the popular vote, he would only get 2 EC votes.
North Carolina is a tossup state, too.
North Carolina, Ohio, Iowa and Florida are no longer toss-ups anymore, they are all clearly in the lean Trump category, even 538 agrees.
Bottom falling out for Clinton. Unlike her husband she is no Comeback Kid - this campaign is as good as over.
Not only is Hillary stumbling but she is tumbling too.
Donald Trump vs. Ms. Frump in the Iron Lung
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4AKRqDtzOlQ
A few weeks later, Bill will be found dead in a prostitute's bed, dying from an overdose of Heroin.
Hillary's handlers don't like losers. And they will leave no trace behind.
Trump up by 4.
http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/OS-GA-General-9.15.16.pdf
Dornsife has Trump +7 Nationally
I think we will see the polls start their inevitable “drift to the truth” in the next couple of weeks. These crooks can’t let their credibility dissolve by continuing to lie to us. At some point, they have to start living to fight another day.
1. Watching the lefts complete meltdown online
2. Seeing the facial expressions of those reporting the news
3. Knowing that Trump will pick Scalias replacement
4. Knowing that the left will turn on Hillary viciously.
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