Posted on 08/15/2016 5:51:15 AM PDT by mrs9x
Cankles 45.6, Trump 42. Trump had a good day yesterday to counteract some of the skewed samples from Friday and Saturday. Yesterday it was Cankles 46.3, Trump 41.6.
It will be interesting to see the trend line in this poll over the next 7-10 days.
These fake polls continue to show a close race to justify the outcome after the massive voter fraud that’s planned for Hillary...
That’s coming...But it’s coming later...Remember that most Americans attention span is quite short...Ads running today will be gone from recollection in two weeks...
“Is this another poll where 85% of the people they called are democrats?”
No.
Exactly what I shared with my wife yesterday: too many on the freebie express these days. Whenever Trump talks about tax cuts, he is not affecting about 48% of the workers who pay no income taxes and in fact some get outright grants from the IRS. So, he is speaking to just 52% of the income generators and even some of them are democraps.
IMO the tax cut train has long departed the station as an effective political concept....I don’t think anyone has ever been elected by suggesting everyone pay their fair share or a straight tax or even a fair tax system. The politics of envy is alive and well. Once the voting rolls are tilted in favor of “the poor” it was checkmate on that issue.
I think Trump needs to go back to pounding on the immigration issue alone. He needs to put fear in some of the freebie collectors: more collecting freebies, the less there will be to go around.
This is a 7 day rolling poll, so it moves slower and it will keep a “bubble” day in the sample for a week..something effecting the numbers 6 days ago would still be in there.
So...no telling.
Am I the only one who thinks this is amazing? After a relentless pounding by Cinton, the entire media, and half of the Republicans — and with no visible advertising — that he’s only a few points down?
Wow!
I like this poll. I’ve read how it goes about what it’s doing.
It had Trump up 7 when he was up 7.
This is good news. With all the BASHING he’s been taking for 2 weeks STRAIGHT, he is only down 3?
He’ll pick up ten in the debate.
Some other FReeper told me Fri and Sat were outliers, which boosted his numbers, but then never said another word to explain herself.
I hate that!!! :)
Trump!!!
They had some big swings there on Friday and Saturday, not sure why such a skewed sample those two days. Then Sunday, another skewed sample way in favor of Trump. It is strange, you would expect a poll like this to fluctuate slowly if at all, and only if some big event were to happen.
Hopefully Trump is purchasing huge blocks of advertising for the last 60 days. I would really like to see some hard-hitting ads for during football season and in primetime. It would be nice if there were Trump ads constantly and Cankles had no time whatsoever on the airwaves.
There is a link for detailed data. The file I use is pop.csv
Here’s the problem for Hillary. She has blown so much money over the past two months with ads, and it has done very little with regard to moving her numbers.
If Trump is saving his powder to pound her during the last 60 days, it could payoff huge.
I hear that starting Labor day weekend it will be UUGE
I feel the same way. A good debate and a commercial pounding of Hillary starting after the debates will shrink up her small lead.
Interesting day to day view, thanks. Did you calculate that, or just lift it from the daily detail? Not questioning the numbers, they look about right to me. Not a super consistent pattern there, but the Wednesday and Friday cohorts appear to be more DEMs than other days.
I was thinking the same thing. To hear some of the pundits, pollsters, mainstream media and some left-leaning friends, you'd think Trump was down by 30 points. Didn't someone recently pronounce that the elections probably don't even need to occur at this point?
The methodology of the poll has 1/7th (about) of respondents in each day. They ask roughly the same people, once a week, three questions.
I would not expect each of the 7 subgroups to be the same, and you can see pretty wild swings in the day to day rsults. The swings are smoothed out by averaging.
Most college and pro football fans are working class people. A few strategic commercial buys on Saturday and Sunday afternoons,plus as we get closer to the election during Sunday, Monday, and Thursday night NFL games would be good too. All the people wringing their hands over Trump not buying commercial time yet has to understand that nobody watches regular network TV anymore. Football season is an exception. We’re a football loving nation and from Labor Day on to the election you will get the largest audiences to view network TV. Trump knows that and expect to see his hard hitting ads are that time.
Exactly. Win a state by one vote and you get all the marbles that state has to offer.
Last I checked Johnson is only on 39 ballots and Jill Stein was only on 27.
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