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To: BlueStateRightist

Big jump for Hillary today. Something changed in this poll. Too big a jump for one day in a moving poll.

Seems to me.


2 posted on 08/13/2016 4:37:38 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you should have endorsed. Big mistake.)
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To: InterceptPoint

Bad news but will balance out when new bad stuff about the felon comes out.


3 posted on 08/13/2016 4:41:18 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: InterceptPoint

Like you said, there must be some change in methodology or just a really bad sample.


4 posted on 08/13/2016 4:42:59 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: InterceptPoint

Perhaps. Let’s assume at a national level, PIAPS is ahead.

Very easy to overload a national poll with liberals from CA and NY.

I’ve been seeing the Longroom.com poll data which calculates bias for either side and washes it out.

That site has been showing Trump with a slight lead.

Interesting though in that the site has been down with a “server error” for the past two days. A bit suspicious to me.


9 posted on 08/13/2016 4:48:59 AM PDT by HombreSecreto (New Tagline: TRUMP is the MOCKINGJAY! Defeat the Capitol!)
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To: InterceptPoint

The internals have been showing a steady decline for Trump all week. If you go to the page with the tracking chart and select details in the upper right you can check the daily raw totals. He’s had a bad week. I’m the biggest Trump apologist and supporter around, but facts are the media just has been crucifying him the last two weeks. The drop is due solely to the 2A dust up which was seen also in the CVoter poll yesterday. It should clear over the next few days, but I hope Trump realizes the array of forces aligned against him.


11 posted on 08/13/2016 4:53:23 AM PDT by usafa92 (Trump 2016 - Destroying the GOPe while Making America Great Again!)
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To: InterceptPoint

Correct - Rolling average - One day 3 point jump means a 21 point difference on a single day add new take out old. That does not happen unless there is fooling with the numbers


12 posted on 08/13/2016 4:56:41 AM PDT by BigEdLB (Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
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To: InterceptPoint

Polls seem to be falling apart for Trump. Still, he is on message and drawing large crowds. Saw his Erie, PA rally yesterday. Trump was great.

The brutal media attacks have been run 24/7 and may be affecting some of the marginal Trump supporters. Since the media is controlled by the left it is difficult to counteract.

What I saw in the Erie, PA rally was Trump clearly stating his main issues and how Hillary differs. No teleprompter, the crowd ate it up; Trump signed autographs, “worked the line,” — the huge audience was gaga.

Trump closed the deal urging the audience to vote and that with wins in PA, Ohio, and Florida, “we win, game over for Hillary.”

Quite a different picture than painted by the media.


15 posted on 08/13/2016 5:02:52 AM PDT by Memphis Moe (Ww)
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