Posted on 08/07/2016 6:30:11 AM PDT by Zakeet
Contrary to most of the media-sponsored polls (The LA Times stands alone now calling the race a tie at last view), I agree with this one: Trump will draw in millions of voters who didn't show up to the polls before and he will beat Hillary Clinton.
I don't pretend to be a polling expert but note others who claim to be have said much the same thing using different statistical methodologies, including Yale Professor Ray Fair (economic models) and Emory University President Alan Abramowitz (presidential approval ratings), Politik.com predicts a landslide, noting in recent years the number of people voting for Democrats has dipped while the number of those voting for Republicans has risen.
Conservative Treehouse has argued along the same lines and notes that the NYT buried its own key finding that American voters are whiter than "historic leftist presentations".
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
Her dishonesty ... the scandals ... the payoffs ... the lies ... the corruption ... the alcoholism ... her charm and personality ... are all taking a terrible toll on the witch's chances!
In today’s world, never say “never”.
She is the epitome, the end result, the sum of all things rat, the personification of the American socialist, liberal movement, taken over by an evil bitch who would sell her own daughter for personal gain and power.
Pundits, press and pollsters are coming unglued because the physical laws of politics have evolved beyond their duplicitous machinations. They fear for their very sustenance now.
If the press did its job and voter rolls were accurate, democrats would never win another election.
Also, the alleged cocaine and lesbianism, along with the brain damage and resulting seizures.
In this particular case, I don’t think polls matter. It’s a race about enthusiasm. Go look at photos of arenas that she was renting in the fall of 2015 for the primary period...and throughout this spring. These were arenas built for 3,000 to 4,000 people, and she rarely had more than a thousand people show up. There are various photos out there of the half-filled buildings to hear her speak.
Go look at the arenas that Trump has rented....FULL. He generates enthusiasm.
What November is about....is people showing up to vote. Bernie would have generated the enthusiasm to get people to show up....she can’t produce that kind of enthusiasm. Trump ends up with 55 to 60 percent of the vote based on this one single dynamic. Go and look at Romney or McCain....neither one ever really generated real enthusiasm (the root failure of their campaigns in the end).
If the LA Times says they are tied you can rest assured that Trump is at least 5 points or more ahead.
They are in a panic.
My wife registered to vote for the first time in her life to vote against Hillary.
Is someone lying to us?
Take today’s WaPo: 1000”adults” of which 800 are “registered” -—but did they actually only take registered or mix in the adults?
The sample was D+10 but they say the registered sample was D+6 (even then too high by at least one), but for this election (vs 2012) probably too high by 3-4.
She knows SHE is unlikable and stays behind the scenes as much as possible.....but she sure can't send Kaine out to do the heavy duty campaign lifting.
Kaine always looks like he's thinking, "what the hell am I doing here?"
Kaine's amazing confession---that he feels like he's been "kidnapped"----makes it clear that Hillary goofed.
I think some people are lying to themselves.
Ask someone who is letting you know that they are voting for Hillary....what she did as a Senator or State Department chief to influence their vote. Note the silence and the thinking involved. They can’t really prove the reason for the vote....so they are lying to themselves. Note, there are only three bills that Hillary wrote over eight years as a senator....that were passed via the senate (one had to deal with the renaming of a post office, and a second one had to deal with a federally-paid road being named for some dead guy). It’s a resume that is six to eight lines long....with the first line noted: Married to Bill.
She shall be gone someday.
Her voters will remain among us ...
Who wants a piece of gutter trash who talks like this as their president?
When Hillary loses her temper all Hell literally breaks loose.
“Where is the G-damn f**king flag? I want the G-damn f**king flag up every f**king morning at f**king sunrise.”
(From the book “Inside The White House” by Ronald Kessler, p. 244 - Hillary to the staff at the Arkansas Governor’s mansion on Labor Day, 1991)
“You sold out, you mother f**ker! You sold out!”
(From the book “Inside” by Joseph Califano, p. 213 - Hillary yelling at Democrat lawyer.)
“It’s been said, and I think it’s accurate, that my husband was obsessed by terrorism in general and al-Qaida in particular.”
(Hillary telling a post-9/11 world what a ‘great’ commander in chief her husband was; Dateline, NBC 4/16/2004.)
“I have to admit that a good deal of what my husband and I have learned [about Islam] has come from our daughter.”
(TruthInMedia.org 8/8/1999 - Hillary at a White House function, proudly tells some Muslim groups she is gaining a greater appreciation of Islam because Chelsea was then taking a class on the “religion of peace”)
“F**k off! It’s enough that I have to see you shit-kickers every day, I’m not going to talk to you too!! Just do your G*damn job and keep your mouth shut.”
(From the book “American Evita” by Christopher Anderson, p. 90 - Hillary to her State Trooper bodyguards after one of them greeted her with “Good morning.”
“If you want to remain on this detail, get your f**king ass over here and grab those bags!”
(From the book “The First Partner” p. 259 - Hillary to a Secret Service Agent who was reluctant to carry her luggage because he wanted to keep his hands free in case of an incident.)
“Get f**ked! Get the f**k out of my way!!! Get out of my face!!!”
(From the book “Hillary’s Scheme” p. 89 Hillary’s various comments to her Secret Service detail agents.)
“Stay the f**k back, stay the f**k away from me! Don’t come within ten yards of me, or else! Just f**king do as I say, Okay!!!?”
(From the book “Unlimited Access”, by Clinton FBI Agent in Charge, Gary Aldrige, p. 139 - Hillary screaming at her Secret Service detail.)
“Many of you are well enough off that [President Bush’s] tax cuts may have helped you. We’re saying that for America to get back on track, we’re probably going to cut that short and not give it to you. We’re going to have to take things away from you on behalf of the common good.”
(Hillary grandstanding at a fund raising speech in San Francisco; SFGate.com 6/28/2004.)
“Why do I have to keep proving to people that I am not a liar?!”
(From the book “The Survivor,” by John Harris, p. 382 - Hillary in her 2000 Senate campaign)
“Where’s the miserable c*ck sucker?”
(From the book “The Truth About Hillary” by Edward Klein, p. 5 - Hillary shouting at a Secret Service officer)
“Put this on the ground! I left my sunglasses in the limo. I need those sunglasses. We need to go back!”
(From the book “Dereliction of Duty” p. 71-72 Hillary to Marine)
One helicopter pilot to turn back while en route to Air Force One.
“A right-wing network was after his presidency ... including perverting the Constitution.”
(To Barbara Walters about the Republicans who impeached her husband; 20/20, ABC 6/8/2003.)
“Son of a bitch.”
(From the book “American Evita” by Christopher Anderson, p. 259 - Hillary’s opinion of President George W. Bush when she found out he secretly visited Iraq just days before her highly publicized trip to Iraq)
“What are you doing inviting these people into my home? These people are our enemies! They are trying to destroy us!”
(From the book “The Survivor” by John Harris, p. 99 - Hillary screaming to an aide, when she found out that some Republicans had been invited to the Clinton White House)
“I mean, you’ve got a conservative and right-wing press presence with really nothing on the other end of the political spectrum.”
(C-Span, 1/19/1997 - Hillary complains about the mainstream media, which are all conservatives in her opinion)
“Come on Bill, put your dick up! You can’t f**k her here!!”
(From the book “Inside The White House” by Ronald Kessler, p. 243 Hillary to Gov. Clinton when she spots him talking with an attractive female at an Arkansas political rally)
“You show people what you’re willing to fight for when you fight your friends.”
Is this a even-tempered presidential candidate? Her entire journey from Little Rock to New York to a spot on the ballot for president has been fraught with danger. Not for her, but for the pile of dead bodies that she has left in her and Billy Goat’s wake.
Bttt.
5.56mm
all this great, but, unless it’s a Trump landslide on the order of Ronald Reagan, focus should be on a path to 270.
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