Posted on 06/20/2016 10:45:25 AM PDT by usafa92
West Long Branch, NJ – In a head-to-head contest for president, Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 7 points among registered voters and by 8 points among likely voters. The Democrat’s lead shrinks by a point when potential third party support is taken into account.
Both major party nominees remain unpopular, but more voters say it is important to keep Trump rather than Clinton out of the White House. The latest Monmouth University Poll also finds that attitudes towards terrorism and the Republican nominee’s proposed Muslim ban have not changed much since the Orlando tragedy. Currently, Clinton holds a 7 point lead in a direct match-up against Trump – 47% to 40% among registered voters nationally. Among those who are likely to cast ballots in November, the Democrat’s edge expands to 49%–41%. Importantly, Clinton holds a 47% to 39% lead in the all-important swing states – ten states where the winning margin in the 2012 election was less than seven points.
(Excerpt) Read more at monmouth.edu ...
I do find it fascinating that I don’t know a single open supporter of Hillary. My ultra-lib ex teacher is disenchanted by the IG report on her e-mails, and all my other lib friends are still Berning.
Yup.
They’ll take a congenital liar over a guy they see as racist and a loose cannon.
The odds where always uphill for Trump.
Internal Poll or Public Poll ?
I think an indictment is highly likely... indictment of Trump that is. Probably for "hate speech" or some such nonsense.
Democrats could run Genghis Khan and he would win.
Democrats outnumber Republicans in a presidential year electorate.
That plays to Hillary’s strength.
I work as an attorney at a large law firm in NYC and it’s wall to wall Obama/Hillary supporters.
I know of two other Trump supporters working here, but both keep their support quiet.
NYC is 9-1 Democrat.
If there are Trump supporters, they’re well hidden or non-existent.
I think your comment was meant for another poster. Doesn’t pertain to what I’ve posted.
If it were Jeb vs Hillary, I would agree wholeheartedly with your assessment. I suspect that he had already written his concession speech to Hillary...no big deal, a national campaign would have kept friends and family on the payroll for a while, and he could add a presidential run to his biography.
But honestly, I haven’t figure our Trump yet. His support doesn’t fit typical political templates. I have no idea what will happen, but his is a strange phenomenon which may come at just the right time to beat Hillary. I have hope.
And I have no illusions. I’m confident that a President Trump would almost immediately defy conservative principles...but he’s right on the big stuff - the mass influx of third worlders.
HAHAHAHA I asked myself how many posts it would take until someone said they were “skewed.”
Yeah, keep deluding yourselves, just like in 08 and 12.
Just saying that when people claim to know no Hillary voters, that’s not my experience. I know thousands.
Most likely folks are hiding their decision to support Trump because they do not want to called all kinds of names.
Monmouth and Morning Consult put Trump at 40%.
The difference in Hillary lead is 7 points in the first and two points in the second.
If we split the difference, she’s getting around 44%.
Polls nearly always overstate D+ support.
Trump though has his work cut out for him to turn those numbers around.
The important thing is that there be no massive voter fraud, which is my very big concern.
Yes. Yes. And yes.
Maybe this poll is accurate, maybe it isn’t. Don’t dismiss polls you don’t like by saying “it’s a biased poll, we have nothing to worry about.” Don’t look at polls you agree with and say “See? Trump’s going to win in a landslide.” Assume nothing. Take nothing for granted. We need to approach this election with the belief that we will have to fight for every single vote right up until the last polling place closes. It’s better to fight harder than we needed to, then learn we won, than it will be to sit back, take things for granted, and discover afterwards we made a grave miscalculation.
The law dictates how much politicians can collect in campaign contributions, limits their ability to make money on the side,, and requires the disclosure of those contributors. Hopefully, politicians are also limited to some extent by their conscience. A sense of decency and good judgment ought to prevent politicians on both sides of the aisle from engaging in certain transactions—even if they think they can get away with it.
But while there is ample debate about which transactions should be limited and how, there is a near-universal agreement that the game, however muddy, should be exclusively played by Americans. For this reason, it has long been illegal for foreigners to contribute to US political campaigns. In 2012 two foreign nationals challenged the constitutionality of that law. The US Supreme Court decided 9-0 declaring the law not only constitutionals, but eminently reasonable.
The Clintons, however, often take money from foreign entities. And that money, donated to the Clinton Foundation or paid in speaking fees, comes in amounts much larger than any campaign contribution. Indeed, the scope and extent of these payments are without precedent in American politics. As a result, the Clintons have become exceedingly wealthy.
http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/bluman-v-federal-election-commission/.
I posted this in another thread, but I will repeat it here. Over the weekend, I was with extended family, all of whom are relatively conservative. Several family members said they were turned off by Trump’s statements about the judge and other comments, but that they agreed with him on policy. In my opinion, a lot of the undecided vote is in this camp.
Trump needs to lay off the schtick through November. The good news is that these voters are there to get, and I suspect a number of them will come around when the election is looming. But right now there are a lot of right-leaners who are not on board yet.
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