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Opinion: Have businesses really run out of people to hire?
Market Watch ^ | June 17, 2016 | Caroline Baum

Posted on 06/17/2016 4:08:44 AM PDT by expat_panama

Throughout the seven-year old U.S. expansion, as the unemployment rate tumbled from a peak of 10% in 2009 to a low of 4.7% last month, policy makers have been focused on the slack in the labor market. Yes, slack....

...surprise to read this week that the problem facing companies is a shortage of workers, both highly skilled and entry-level.

Why not offer them a higher wage?...

...the Roaring ‘90s? That’s what a tight labor market looks like: signing bonuses; offers of free cars, even for mid-level managers; and a sufficiently attractive wage to entice some criminals...

...plenty of business owners who will tell you that they can’t find workers...

...Janet Yellen on Wednesday cast doubt on a significant interest-rate increase in the near future...

...monthly JOLTS report (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) revealed a record number of job openings...

...Can’t businesses tempt labor-force dropouts with a higher real wage? There is no sign of it....

...a wishy-washy attempt to fill the reported number of job openings.

Many economists have been waiting for that beast known as “wage inflation” to boost prices...

...Businesses do not bid up the price of labor (wages) only to find their profits squeezed...

...A more compelling argument to explain the large number of reported job openings going unfilled is that demand isn’t strong enough to support economy-wide price increases...

...6.4 million Americans working part-time for economic reasons...

...wake of the truly awful May employment report, did Yellen concede...

...pointed to the low level of unemployment claims, high level of job openings and modest wage increases as signs “of a healthy labor market.”

Maybe. Until I see signs that businesses are satisfying their stated demand for labor by luring labor-market dropouts with a higher real wage, I remain unconvinced.

(Excerpt) Read more at marketwatch.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: economy; employment
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To: neefer

This is becoming a nightmare problem in Colora-doh. I’ve been personally told of at least one major construction company that has either stopped drug testing or is quietly fudging results somehow because they literally could not find anyone who was clean.

Imagine a whole crew from the welder with flammable gas tanks to the guy driving a hugh-jass bulldozer being some degree of stoned. Nice state of affairs, isn’t it?


81 posted on 06/17/2016 7:22:24 AM PDT by Laser_Ray (Another nifty idea)
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To: ridesthemiles

Absolutley disgusting. Just another day down on the DEmocrat Vote Slave Plantation.


82 posted on 06/17/2016 7:24:00 AM PDT by Travis T. OJustice (I miss my dad. I live my life with a FIERCE ALLEGIANCE!)
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To: SoothingDave

That is just one item that the public is aware of. Try looking at Workmen’s Comp rates. So much fraud for so many long years that those rates have gone thru the roof.

For years in Calif, no employer’s WC insurance company would fight the claim in court with the price of attorneys. Now—a lifetime of payments for a claim that was granted that was fake. NOW-—too late, they are fighting claims. Damages donw.

Want to get a new roof on your house? The WC insurance premium for a roofing company I used to do bookkeeping for in the early 1990’s had a WC premium rate of 105% of the GRO
SS wages.

For every $100 gross paid to a worker, the WC insurance premium was $105. Now you know why your roof is so expensive.


83 posted on 06/17/2016 7:30:33 AM PDT by ridesthemiles
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To: 4yearlurker

Yes. I had a disastrous encounter with them when we were extremely hard up and not knowing where our next meal was coming from! Dreadfully managed chain.


84 posted on 06/17/2016 7:31:10 AM PDT by miss marmelstein (Richard the Third: With my own people alone I should like to drive away the Muslims)
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To: Laser_Ray

Trickle down effect of voting for Legal Marijuana.....

Sow the seeds-—Reap the reward.....


85 posted on 06/17/2016 7:34:46 AM PDT by ridesthemiles
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To: central_va

What’s preventing you from starting YOUR OWN BUSINESS? Sounds like you are old enough to have experience.

I went self-employed in 1980 and haven’t looked back.


86 posted on 06/17/2016 7:35:29 AM PDT by ridesthemiles
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To: expat_panama

Businesses are looking for a 100% trained and experienced worker they can immediately plug into a position, at the lowest possible wage. Training programs are almost non-existent these days, and the notion of hiring intelligent young employees and developing them into trained workers is “antiquated thinking”.


87 posted on 06/17/2016 7:37:41 AM PDT by cincinnati65
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To: ridesthemiles

Read all the posts, for God’s sake. He’s clearly a successful businessman. All he said was that in the past he had bad bosses. Anyone who hasn’t had a bad boss is either very lucky or isn’t very astute in judging other people.


88 posted on 06/17/2016 8:03:56 AM PDT by miss marmelstein (Richard the Third: With my own people alone I should like to drive away the Muslims)
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To: cincinnati65

Which explains what it’s like waiting on the checkout line in any retail store in America!


89 posted on 06/17/2016 8:05:00 AM PDT by miss marmelstein (Richard the Third: With my own people alone I should like to drive away the Muslims)
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To: expat_panama

Right. Make America Great Again.

If you want to go toe to toe, I’m game.


90 posted on 06/17/2016 8:21:20 AM PDT by Moonman62 (Make America Great Again!)
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To: SoothingDave
"Unfilled jobs at the present wages should encourage young people to get training."

It has. 40% of US college students graduate with STEM degrees. There's nobody hiring them. And don't give me this crap about them not being as good as college grads from 20 or 30 years ago. The classes are much more difficult now.

This is nothing more than a bunch of asshats trying to get the rest of the country to accept 3rd world living standards. Plenty of smart educated people running around unemployed or underemployed. They don't have the exact obscure skill the employer is looking for? Train them. That's the surest way to cure any shortage.

The truth is there are no real labor shortages. That's why nobody's offering to train. These mysterious job postings are just companies trying to poach each other's talent, rather than genuine growth in the job pool.
91 posted on 06/17/2016 9:49:11 AM PDT by Eisenhower Republican (Supervillains for Trump: "Because evil pays better!")
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To: jurroppi1

You last sentence and actually everything you wrote is heartbreakingly true.


92 posted on 06/17/2016 2:20:18 PM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: central_va
"The truth is most small businesses are run by greedy incompetents. Big Corps are managed by go along get alongs. I have had maybe 2 supervisors/bosses in 40 years I thought competent."

Be your own boss. Start today.

93 posted on 06/17/2016 3:03:46 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (PS - Vote Trump. Vote Coal.)
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To: central_va
Really? Name one.

I've got three of them within a mile of where I live. And that doesn't count the one that went out of business and was replaced by another one that ALSO went out of business.

Again BS. If a supplier raised the price of a chip set they raise their price. Labor is like any other commodity.

Then why are prices for home electronics products always falling over time?

94 posted on 06/17/2016 4:44:16 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Sometimes I feel like I've been tied to the whipping post.")
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To: Mr. Jeeves
It's not that the potential labor pool is too large or too small -- it's too polluted.

That is a great quote. I'm going to steal it, but I'll make sure I remember to credit you as the source. LOL!

95 posted on 06/17/2016 4:49:59 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Sometimes I feel like I've been tied to the whipping post.")
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To: Brookhaven
That's a good point, but in my line of work "agility" is limited almost by definition -- because most of the work requires professional licensing.

It's one thing to take a junior CADD technician and train him to work in our IT department (we do this a lot), but you can't expect someone in our legal department to be "agile" enough to design bridges when the need arises next month.

96 posted on 06/17/2016 4:55:22 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Sometimes I feel like I've been tied to the whipping post.")
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To: cincinnati65
The flip side of what you said is that a company takes a huge risk in training an employee too much ... because nothing keeps the employee from taking that training and bolting for a competitor.

I always see training as a two-way street. I am willing to commit my company's resources, but I want the employee to have a stake in it, too. For junior staff who aren't making a lot of money and can't be expected to pick up part of the cost, I'll usually ask them to pay their part of the "cost" by donating their time.

97 posted on 06/17/2016 5:00:52 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Sometimes I feel like I've been tied to the whipping post.")
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To: bert

Yes, that was the thrust of that easy read “Who moved my cheese?”. A warning anyone should have been able to understand, and a way to prepare Americans for the high unemployment that was coming (and subsequently arrived).


98 posted on 06/18/2016 4:03:56 AM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic warfare against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: Wonder Warthog

There are plenty of people that aren’t recent graduates who have the necessary skills; companies don’t want to pay them because they are accustomed to better wages and benefits than the McJobs packages offered by more and more employers today.


99 posted on 06/18/2016 4:05:28 AM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic warfare against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: Bryanw92

That’s exactly right; wages have undoubtedly been driven down. About 25 years ago when I came out of school I was surprised by how many “entry-level” jobs required 2-3 years experience.

As for the glass ceiling for white guys, I’ve used that to my benefit over the last few years; I work “like a girl” (the bare minimum hours). I don’t make a lot of money, but I’ve never made so much per hour in my life (since the unpaid “salaried” overtime was dropped). Because the women “playing office” won’t work it, I don’t either - and it is easy enough to document so the company can’t do anything about it.


100 posted on 06/18/2016 4:09:06 AM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic warfare against white males (and therefore white families).)
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