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Fighting ISIS With an Algorithm, Physicists Try to Predict Attacks
The New York Times ^ | June 16th, 2016 | By PAM BELLUCK

Posted on 06/16/2016 1:09:49 PM PDT by Mariner

After Orlando and San Bernardino and Paris, there is new urgency to understand the signs that can precede acts of terrorism. And with the Islamic State’s prolific use of social media, terrorism experts and government agencies continually search for clues in posts and Twitter messages that appear to promote the militants’ cause.

A physicist may not seem like an obvious person to study such activity. But for months, Neil Johnson, a physicist at the University of Miami, led a team that created a mathematical model to sift order from the chaotic pro-terrorism online universe.

In a study published Thursday in the journal Science, Dr. Johnson and Miami colleagues searched for pro-Islamic State posts each day from mid-2014 until August 2015, mining mentions of beheadings and blood baths in multiple languages on Vkontakte, a Russia-based social media service that is the largest European equivalent to Facebook. Ultimately, they devised an equation that tries to explain the activity of Islamic State sympathizers online and might, they say, eventually help predict attacks that are about to happen.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; US: Florida; US: New York; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: 2016election; election2016; neiljohnson; newyork; newyorkcity; newyorkslimes; newyorktimes; pambelluck; trump
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To: Mariner

there is new urgency to understand the signs that can precede acts of terrorism.

Can’t they just check the phone logs and visitor logs at the White House to see who the next Johnny Jihad is??


21 posted on 06/16/2016 1:26:59 PM PDT by eyeamok (destruction of government records.)
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To: Mariner

I have a better idea. How about the FBI treat reports of islamist tendencies seriously instead of dismissing those who report them as islamaphobes.


22 posted on 06/16/2016 1:27:19 PM PDT by pgkdan (The Silent Majority Stands With TRUMP!)
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To: Mariner

That’s really stupid.


23 posted on 06/16/2016 1:28:17 PM PDT by I want the USA back (Islam mandates warfare against unbelievers and is absolutely incompatible with Western society.)
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To: Mariner

A better predictive tool might be to observe, monitor, and watch young Muslim men who have ever given rise to extremism. once you are on the list, you stay on the list forever. I’d even expand the list to include Christians and Jews.

ANYBODY SUSPECTED OF EXTREMISM ARE ON THE LIST, FOREVER.


24 posted on 06/16/2016 1:28:39 PM PDT by FLCowboy, ( When does Bill Clinton go away?)
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To: Mariner
Fighting ISIS With an AlGoreRhythm?
25 posted on 06/16/2016 1:29:15 PM PDT by SandRat (Duty - Honor - Country! What else needs said?)
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To: khenrich

Right, because that list would never be abused politically.


26 posted on 06/16/2016 1:31:09 PM PDT by mrmeyer (You can't conquer a free man; the most you can do is kill him. Robert Heinlein)
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To: BitWielder1

You validate it after you deploy it. Just like Obamas prediction of $2,500 per family savings under Obamacare and just like the 100 global climate models all predicted the 18 year “pause” in warming.


27 posted on 06/16/2016 1:31:49 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: I want the USA back
"That’s really stupid."

What is stupid?

28 posted on 06/16/2016 1:37:12 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Mariner

Premise is incorrect.

Professor said Orlando is rare...not so much in Israel when fatwas are released the junkyard dogs in Palestine respond. Israel fights back but it gets ugly first

Since they cannot predict the next Orlando I suggest they game theory is not very well developed


29 posted on 06/16/2016 1:52:38 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: pfony1

Use gas worked in Iraq under other regimes.


30 posted on 06/16/2016 2:08:27 PM PDT by ptsal
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To: Nifster
"Professor said Orlando is rare...not so much in Israel when fatwas are released the junkyard dogs in Palestine respond."

"Since they cannot predict the next Orlando..."

-------------------

I can and did...In Israel AND in the US.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/religion/3437199/posts?page=7#7

A very specific window & less than 3 days beforehand. First TA, then Orlando.

Chaos/game theory or physics is a waste of time for predicting Muslim terrorist attacks.

31 posted on 06/16/2016 2:13:49 PM PDT by Mr. M.J.B.
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...
Yeah, that's another way to avoid dealing with reality, while pretending to be scholarly and intellectual -- and probably scoring a nice fat grant to boot.

32 posted on 06/16/2016 2:25:21 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (I'll tell you what's wrong with society -- no one drinks from the skulls of their enemies anymore.)
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To: Mr. M.J.B.

You are correct humans are the key


33 posted on 06/16/2016 3:12:28 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: Mariner

It would be easier to just to stop bringing them into the country. Silly physicists..


34 posted on 06/16/2016 3:43:01 PM PDT by Trillian
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To: Mariner

...because Muslims are just so darn rational and predictable.


35 posted on 06/16/2016 6:04:39 PM PDT by YogicCowboy ("I am not entirely on anyone's side, because no one is entirely on mine." - JRRT)
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To: sparklite2

We can’t “fight friendly” if we want to win the war.

Why do “we” think that a slow motion defeat will win us “friends” and “allies”?

Yet ANOTHER “Liberal” denial of reality....


36 posted on 06/17/2016 8:53:34 AM PDT by pfony1
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To: pfony1

We can’t “fight friendly” if we want to win the war.


As Napoleon said, “If you’re going to take Vienna, take Vienna.”

IOW, don’t go to/pursue war half-heartedly or in a limited fashion. We’ve been fighting friendly in every war since WWII, and have many of those wars did we win?


37 posted on 06/17/2016 9:42:22 AM PDT by sparklite2 ( "The white man is the Jew of Liberal Fascism." -Jonah Goldberg)
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