In a head to head match up, Clinton and Trump tie at 44%.
um.... no way in the world that 12% are undecided about Hillary.
that missing 12% will eventually come around to voting for Trump or stay home.
Trump is going to take this state.
Looks to me like the analysis is saying the opposite. If (I realize a big if) the Sanders supporters break for Hitlery, that’ll give the state to the Demon Rats.
Overall the number clearly show Pennsylvania would much rather have a Democrat.
Once 0bama has his meeting with Bernie and Bernie fully endorses Hillary, PA will be long gone for Trump.
Trump has a chance in PA this year, but I would not bet the farm on that state. He might have a better chance in Michigan.
Too early to take the polls too seriously. But I assume Trump is outperforming Romney and McCain in PA...a good sign.
Hillary’s original plan was to be cornated in March and have a few polite debates with Jeb (who likely wrote his concessi9n speech to the first woman president a few years ago). Well now she’s got to compete.
PA is gone I have to concur, there will be no indictment because the clintons are untouchable, and yes I’m packing it in because I need another Xanax to take be back from the cliff
I’m amazed at how pessimistic some are on here about Trump’s chances in PA! Obama only won by about 5 points in 2012. I’ve seen analysts saying PA is trending red. I think PA is definitely winnable for Trump.
Gary Johnson you cuck...
Zero beat Minion by 5% here in 2012, 310,000 votes.
Dems are down 30% in primaries, so 207,000 is the number to beat. If Trump can flip just 50,000 of those voters, he only needs 107,000 new voters/indies to win.
This is very doable.
All polls are garbage until you know the ticket on each side. Hillary will consolidate the democrats and Trump will probably consodidate the Republicans as always. I will be surprised if Hillary does an Obama like turnout which is why everywhere is in play at the end. I think Rand Paul will be the VP
Use to live in PA. PA is solid Dem. Drive through Scranton during election time feels like Soviet Russia on May Day. Union Dem propoganda everywhere.
Clinton’s family is buried there. Joe Biden was born there. However, Scranton, as well as many “Slate Belt” towns, have taken it in the pants due to Obama’s war on the coal.
Additionally, hunting in PA is a religion that spans both sides of the isle. Anyone who threatens the 2nd Amendment does poorly in the state.
If Trump hammers Hillary on energy and guns he will win PA.
If Trump emphasizes coal and the industrial sector jobs that have been lost, and how he will bring a lot of them back, plus her utter corruption, he will win going away.
Trump can take PA. Huge numbers of Democrats switched and not just for operation chaos style mischief. Hillary is close in places where there shouldn’t be a contest and I don’t think even Bernie or Obama could save her. Obama actually may make things worse.
Is Hillary doing poor with Democrats because of Sanders like author suggested or because of Trump? Is Trump getting cross overs?
a LOT of obama’s kids in Philadelphia. Turnout among white men with a brain has to be HUGE.
WE CAN’T LOSE THIS ELECTION.
God forbid we do, I open to any suggestions.
Because i’m not handing the country over to a lazy 12 percent and a hispanic 20 percent who want a Mexico 2.
No other group that’s come here wanted that.
Clinton wants to shut down the coal industry there... Trump wants to keep them going. Doesn’t that make it easy for Trump to win?
The 3-way (or 4-way) polls are useless for predicting what % any fringe candidates are likely to get in November, but they are useful for showing how many “persuadables” are out there. If a poll shows Trump 44/Clinton 44 but the 3-way as Trump 41/Clinton 41/Johnson 6, my view is that Clinton is sitting on 41, and everything else (other than the 2-3% that the fringe candidates will end up getting) is up for grabs. It is doubtful that too many late deciders are breaking for Hillary, so if we get to October, and she can’t get close to 48% in the polls with all the candidates, she’s sunk. If the pre-election RCP average shows it as Clinton 47/Trump 40/others 6, she might squeak through. But if it’s Clinton 45/Trump 40/others 6, I think she probably loses, unless the electoral college is out of whack with national trends.
Consider this, if that state swap isn't weird enough - YOU STILL HAVE TO WIN OHIO. IT ALL COMES DOWN TO OHIO.
Free Republic could play an important role in winning OHIO, if we wanted to, if we made it a priority - as we did in 2000. We could genuinely Make America Great Again...