Posted on 06/08/2016 12:08:19 PM PDT by NYRepublican72
PPP's new Pennsylvania poll finds a close race between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in the state, although both a generic Democratic candidate and Bernie Sanders have more substantial leads that bode well for Clinton's chances if she can get the party unified around her in the weeks ahead.
Clinton has 41% to 40% for Trump, with Gary Johnson at 6% and Jill Stein at 3%. In a head to head match up, Clinton and Trump tie at 44%. Similarly to what we found on the Florida poll we released yesterday, Republicans are more unified around Trump (79/8) than Democrats are around Clinton (75/15). That dynamic is what's making the state competitive.
Democrats lead a generic ballot question for President 45/41, which is pretty similar to Barack Obama's margin of victory in the state in 2012. Bernie Sanders has a substantial advantage over Trump, 45/36, with Johnson at 5% and Stein at 1%. In a head to head contest Sanders leads Trump 51/39.
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
a LOT of obama’s kids in Philadelphia. Turnout among white men with a brain has to be HUGE.
WE CAN’T LOSE THIS ELECTION.
God forbid we do, I open to any suggestions.
Because i’m not handing the country over to a lazy 12 percent and a hispanic 20 percent who want a Mexico 2.
No other group that’s come here wanted that.
I read somewhere a few years ago that PA had the highest retention of seniors/retirees than any other state.
Clinton wants to shut down the coal industry there... Trump wants to keep them going. Doesn’t that make it easy for Trump to win?
The 3-way (or 4-way) polls are useless for predicting what % any fringe candidates are likely to get in November, but they are useful for showing how many “persuadables” are out there. If a poll shows Trump 44/Clinton 44 but the 3-way as Trump 41/Clinton 41/Johnson 6, my view is that Clinton is sitting on 41, and everything else (other than the 2-3% that the fringe candidates will end up getting) is up for grabs. It is doubtful that too many late deciders are breaking for Hillary, so if we get to October, and she can’t get close to 48% in the polls with all the candidates, she’s sunk. If the pre-election RCP average shows it as Clinton 47/Trump 40/others 6, she might squeak through. But if it’s Clinton 45/Trump 40/others 6, I think she probably loses, unless the electoral college is out of whack with national trends.
I agree with you 100%. Pundits drone on about the Hispanic vote, but PA has a relatively small Latino population and I believe Trump stands a very good chance of winning the state.
Consider this, if that state swap isn't weird enough - YOU STILL HAVE TO WIN OHIO. IT ALL COMES DOWN TO OHIO.
Free Republic could play an important role in winning OHIO, if we wanted to, if we made it a priority - as we did in 2000. We could genuinely Make America Great Again...
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