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A little bit of a funky link here. The link to YouGov brings you up to a poll on Trump and Ryan and endorsements. The headline numbers are buried in 172 pages of internals, hence the link to Huff Post. Trends are confirming a general decline in Clinton numbers and the media is fiddling with RV models rather than LV to keep Hillary in the lead. This is an RV poll and she's at 42 with a 2 point lead. Very likely tied in a LV poll.
1 posted on 05/11/2016 1:16:29 PM PDT by usafa92
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To: usafa92

Would suggest that most polls’ estimates of likely voters would understate the effect of Trump’s drawing in a lot of new blood. That is to say, it would understate the Trump vote. (I really think he already has a slight lead.)


2 posted on 05/11/2016 1:20:34 PM PDT by Ohioan
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To: usafa92

Trump loses Big to Bernie- Operation Choas!!! Californika Freepers cross over and vote for Hillary!


3 posted on 05/11/2016 1:21:32 PM PDT by 11th Commandment ("THOSE WHO TIRE LOSE")
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To: usafa92

Polls are moving toward Trump. Can’t ignore the trend.


4 posted on 05/11/2016 1:24:08 PM PDT by LongWayHome
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To: usafa92

The latest trend in the polling is disastrous for the commie libs. Just last night the comrades at CNN were spinning the results of the 3 swing State Quin poll as outliers that under sampled minorities. Now with some National polls indicating that the Donald has dramatically closed within the margin of error, the leftists are realizing their biggest fears.


7 posted on 05/11/2016 1:46:33 PM PDT by Kahuna
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To: usafa92

It’s interesting how all the polls I’ve seen over the last week have shown this to be a very close race. It’s also interesting to note that Hillary has underperformed her polling in state after state against Sanders. Trump, on the other hand, has over-performed his polling in all but 2 primaries (VA and NC). Even in his big loss in WI he over-performed his Real Clear Politics average by .6 percent. In the primaries starting with NY to IN, he over-performed by an average of 9 percentage points.

If polling of a Clinton-Trump match-up also has this same flaw, Trump could actually be several points ahead at this point.


9 posted on 05/11/2016 1:55:45 PM PDT by euram
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To: usafa92

Trump is Hillary’s worst nightmare. Attacks don’t work on the man as all his ‘flaws’ (and flaws) are publicly known and publicly internalized, and the man hits back hard! Some Liberals think that Trump is a weak candidate, but what they don’t realize is (1) Hillary has a ton of issues as well, (2) people have real issues they are worried about (eg jobs, politics as usual, etc), (3) Trump is simply the most unconventional candidate in decades. While the election will not be simple, those who think Trump cannot win are quite likely to be very surprised.


13 posted on 05/11/2016 2:18:18 PM PDT by spetznaz (Nuclear-tipped Ballistic Missiles: The Ultimate Phallic Symbol)
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To: usafa92

The felon is hearing the footsteps. Trump made up 12 points in one week on her on Reuters poll; from -13 to - 1 so this is more supporting evidence that the non-sense of “She’s kill Trump” is falling apart.


15 posted on 05/11/2016 2:55:03 PM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: usafa92

If using RV instead of LV is only an average change of 2 points to Clinton, that in and of itself is a terrible sign for her.

The task of getting her elected will prove too Herculean. People just plain don’t like her and there’s a lot of reason for that and oh she could be going to jail too.


16 posted on 05/11/2016 2:55:45 PM PDT by thoughtomator
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To: usafa92

attacks on Bill’ sex crimes are working...


18 posted on 05/11/2016 6:16:36 PM PDT by drewh
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