It’s interesting how all the polls I’ve seen over the last week have shown this to be a very close race. It’s also interesting to note that Hillary has underperformed her polling in state after state against Sanders. Trump, on the other hand, has over-performed his polling in all but 2 primaries (VA and NC). Even in his big loss in WI he over-performed his Real Clear Politics average by .6 percent. In the primaries starting with NY to IN, he over-performed by an average of 9 percentage points.
If polling of a Clinton-Trump match-up also has this same flaw, Trump could actually be several points ahead at this point.
No, Trump badly underperformed in OK, IA, LA, and TN.
I like Trump, but let’s stay accurate.