Posted on 05/06/2016 4:50:52 AM PDT by expat_panama
We don't know the future will bring but we do know what the futures markets are today and what we got is uncertainty. OK, I suppose if that doesn't make sense then you probably are with me. The point is that markets and economies usually follow trends that we can gear up to, and this is not the case now.
What's happening now is that we got a lot more upheaval brewing than usual and things may break severely in many different directions.
So That's why these days I'm hunkering down and going into 'wait and see' mode...
I’ve never seen a double head and shoulders - just sayin
Just Gold? Or are all precious metals going to go down with it.
The article seems to jump from a rational argument that gold has had growth in supply because it’s being overbought. Then the author adds in silver, too. Why would other metals necessarily crater when gold does? There are very different rationales and conditions associated with silver.
I have been long gold & silver (physical possession) for years. Honestly, for every sound reason to sell there are countless reasons to hold. That said I have yet to learn what moves the PM markets, so I simply store and hold the shinny stuff.
Happy Friday traders!
Investment prices all seem to in 'what's-the-other-guy-doing' mode, kind of like a same-sex dance and everyone's waiting for the other partner to lead. Problem is the music's already beginning...
8:30 AM Nonfarm Payrolls
8:30 AM Nonfarm Private Payrolls
8:30 AM Unemployment Rate
8:30 AM Hourly Earnings
8:30 AM Average Workweek
3:00 PM Consumer Credit
Related link: Why Jobs Reports Are Less Useful For Business. Other reading:
Bookmark
Now you have.
Whatever is going on in markets as to our impressions (eg; bull/bear) is IMO these days dominated by 1: worldwide currency wars and 2: flight of capital from NIRP or NIRP-coming countries. It’s not whether AAPL or MRK or JNJ is/are over or undervalued so much as it is (again, IMO) where do people with container ships full of money put their money when govts & central banks all over the world are trying to force-create inflation using negative interest rates.
This for example; makes US Tsys very attractive so buyers buy them up, despite some of the lowest coupons in history. Well, 1.6% for ten years is better than -.2% for...??
It is very confusing, it is a continuation of value distortion across all sectors and for non-rapid traders it is IMO largely uninvestable. The appetite/disdain for risk oscillates between the two of them far too often.
There is absolutely nothing wrong with holding cash, now, then, forever.
Don’t like the rounded top in SPX.
Need to see a breakout before getting back in.
YTD bonds are winners over the SPX
That could change but not until we see new highs.
Bet’cha all said and done, the treasury and not so federal reserve are manipulating the markets in an effort to buoy during the election year.
Trump takes the reigns and the bottom will likely drop out of the markets.
I’m not an economist, but I did stay in a Holiday Inn Express last night. lol
Thanks!
Where did you settle in Panama?
The Fed are going to declare another QE.
There’s also a good chance that the petrodollar is going to end this year, which will mean a frackton of foreign-held dollars will be coming home.
It’s not a good time to hang onto fiat.
And it’s definitely not a good time to sell precious metals.
If the price of PMs lowers for a week or two, it won’t last.
I’ve been scooping up all the .925 silver I can find in my area in order to refine it myself alongside purchases each payday of fine silver. Since Douche Bank disclosed the PM manipulation by many, many banks and now China getting into price fixing via their exchange, I see one last smack down coming for PM’s before the banks can no longer manipulate and control and PM’s take off in value/price.
It is nice to read that from someone who seems to know about these things. It is my theory, as well, but based only on instinctual fear of the other options.
...Gold? Or are all precious metals going to go down...
Things change. Right now pm's are lookin' pretty good.
Betcha all said and done, the treasury and not so federal reserve are manipulating the markets in an effort to buoy during the election year.
Trump takes the reigns and the bottom will likely drop out of the markets.
^^^^^ This + a million. The fundamentals that in the past were recognized as market drivers are in pathetic shape worldwide. That no longer matters in a globalist manipulated world market. As long as they can print, and suppress the value of gold they can continue their game. Once gold starts to breakout (as in China going to a gold backed Yuan) the game is up an the house of cards is blown away.
my theory, as well
Most people go w/ their feelings and some go w/ hard reality; the trend over centuries time frame is stocks are smart, cash is stupid:
Poor job report today just bumped gold higher. Thank for the graphs. It will be interesting to see what the dollar does.
Cash or “flat” as we weasels call it is a perfectly valid position.
The key to making money in any market is in controlling your losses. The wonderful thing about stocks is that you can cut off your pain at any time. That does not mean that it is a smart thing to do, it does not mean that being underwater on an investment is smart or dumb. Nobody can predict the future.
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