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To: GilGil

Not so fast. A new poll shows Cruz winning big:

http://www.redstate.com/absentee/2016/04/29/breaking-new-game-changing-poll-shows-ted-cruz-clobbering-trump-indiana/


6 posted on 04/30/2016 6:39:39 AM PDT by grumpa
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To: grumpa

If other polls confirms Downs poll then ok but smething wrong here.

I’d say these couple of polls are more recent April 27-28 and shows Trump in the lead. Clout Research conducted a live agent telephone poll of likely voting Republican Primary Election voters statewide in Indiana regarding the presidential election. The survey was conducted April 27. It included 423 respondents and carries a confidence interval of 95% and a margin of error of +/- 4.75 percentage points - Trump 37.1 and Cruz 35.2. The second poll conducted April 27-April 28 by the American Research Group shows Trump 41% and Cruz 32%. A CBS poll earlier this week found Trump with about 40% of support in Indiana, compared to 35% for Cruz. The poll had a margin of error of 6.6 points. Other polls have also shown Trump ahead.


7 posted on 04/30/2016 6:47:02 AM PDT by GilGil
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To: grumpa; onyx; Jane Long; PA Engineer; Grampa Dave; KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle; SaveFerris; ...
Correction, isn't that TEDstate.com?

Grumpa, you're gonna be like those disillusioned German generals standing in disbelief OUTSIDE the FuehrerBunker as your wannabe 'annointed king' is ranting and raving away about "TRUMP-this, TRUMP-that, DAMN TRUMP!!!"

Watch that first step Grumpa, it's a long way down.

Trump destroys what's left of the Cruz Campaign:

Image and video hosting by TinyPic

CruzBots fleeing to escape down the CruzHole(c)

Image and video hosting by TinyPic

9 posted on 04/30/2016 6:47:38 AM PDT by mkjessup (If you stand with Cruz, you stand with the GOPe, Jeb, Mitt, iSnarly, Reince & Karl. What's that say?)
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To: grumpa

The one that took them two weeks to poll 400 people? And started WAY before a lot of people realized Cruz had begun to slide into fantasyland?

It took them two weeks to find the right 400 people where 45% of them would prefer Ted Cruz. Maybe you guys can get a judge to keep the polls open for two weeks and have guards at the polls that only let Cruz supporters in to vote. MAYBE then, you guys might pull off a win.


10 posted on 04/30/2016 6:48:06 AM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm
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To: grumpa

Redstate jumped the shark for cruz months ago with that fat slop erikson...they are totally unreliable for anything.


11 posted on 04/30/2016 6:49:03 AM PDT by Mmogamer (I refudiate the lamestream media, leftists and their prevaricutions.)
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To: grumpa

Mike Downs Indiana Polling or something other? WTH? Really?


12 posted on 04/30/2016 6:51:04 AM PDT by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man a subject)
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To: grumpa
Redstate...REALLY???
14 posted on 04/30/2016 6:52:54 AM PDT by mountn man (The Pleasure You Get From Life, Is Equal To The Attitude You Put Into It)
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To: grumpa

Cruz will be his normal annoying (infrequent) winner self if that poll is reliable.


15 posted on 04/30/2016 6:57:26 AM PDT by PghBaldy (12/14 - 930am -rampage begins... 12/15 - 1030am - Obama's advance team scouts photo-op locations.)
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To: grumpa

Oh you bet. Be sure and take a look at that poll. At best it is dodgy


21 posted on 04/30/2016 7:01:56 AM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: grumpa

Cling to the most-dated (started April 13), obvious outlier poll. Let me know how that works out for you on Tuesday night.

25 posted on 04/30/2016 7:04:38 AM PDT by Trump20162020
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To: grumpa

Cruz is going to get schonged in Indiana. He needs to pull out the next morning but because he is a screwball he will attempt to stick around til June 7th so he can burn the house down. If Cruz does not drop out he is going to ruin whats left of his political career and I will not be shedding any tears for the Ahole.


37 posted on 04/30/2016 7:14:53 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: grumpa

The last poll that outfit did was in 2011 for the mayor of Ft. Wayne.


43 posted on 04/30/2016 7:18:17 AM PDT by bigbob
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To: grumpa

That poll appeared out of thin air done by a firm who hasn’t polled anything since 2011. Out-liar


47 posted on 04/30/2016 7:23:40 AM PDT by BigEdLB (Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
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To: grumpa
IPFW’s Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics commissioned one over the past couple of weeks, giving Cruz something to smile about.

Among 400 likely voters surveyed, Cruz won out, getting nearly 45 percent, compared to Donald Trump's 29 percent.

so over a couple WEEKS, all they could poll was 400 people... OH yeah, i'm gonna put a lot of faith in that one i am

59 posted on 04/30/2016 7:36:32 AM PDT by Chode (Stand UP and Be Counted, or line up and be numbered - *DTOM* -w- NO Pity for the LAZY - Luke, 22:36)
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To: grumpa

I was able to stomach Fox News for a few minutes this morning. They only showed the one Indiana poll that had Cruz ahead. FNC is funnier than the Comedy Channel.


71 posted on 04/30/2016 7:54:33 AM PDT by Wilderness Conservative
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To: grumpa
Red State 😂 You don't think they could be "leaning" Toward Cruz do you? 😎 Shocked you had the temerity or naivety to post that !
92 posted on 04/30/2016 8:33:47 AM PDT by theoldmarine (luuzin with Cruz?)
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To: grumpa

widely?

The guy hasn’t released a poll since 2011


98 posted on 04/30/2016 8:43:36 AM PDT by winoneforthegipper ("If you can't ride two horses at once, you probably shouldn't be in the circus" - SP)
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To: grumpa

Look at all the other polls on RCP. They use a 1 to 3 day window to collect their numbers of what voters are thinking.

This poll, finished on 27 April went back 14 days. In other words it is NOT a picture of NOW.

Almost half of it is right after the Wisconsin primary and before the New York primary. New York and the NE primary changed the narrative.

So, the bottom line is that there was a shift in Indiana AFTER the NY and NE primaries. The polls capturing 1 to 3 day information are the ones actually depicting what is happening now.


102 posted on 04/30/2016 8:53:07 AM PDT by xzins ( Free Republic Gives YOU a voice heard around the globe. Support the Freepathon!)
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To: grumpa

RED STATE !!!! BS!!!!’


117 posted on 04/30/2016 9:21:45 AM PDT by Kit cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: grumpa
(1) One poll showing Cruz winning is called an outlier, just as the one poll that showed Trump winning Wisconsin was an outlier ...
131 posted on 04/30/2016 9:42:29 AM PDT by StAnDeliver ("Too bad your overhauled unicorn start-up failed, Ted.")
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To: grumpa
Completely suspect. That small sized poll took over 2 weeks to complete LoL. The Walking Tead.

While Trump is going to fill this place up today.



132 posted on 04/30/2016 10:05:05 AM PDT by Red Steel
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