Posted on 04/25/2016 11:33:19 AM PDT by Red Steel
The idea was floated over the weekend by Jon Karl on ABC, as you’ll see below, and started some conservative tweeters chattering. I think there’s more upside to it than downside, but there are downsides.
Cruz needs media oxygen in the next week, a way to have the story not just be Trump's NE sweep. Not a lot of ways to get that.
— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) April 25, 2016
Picking a running mate now could limit his dealmaking options at the convention. But first you gotta get to the convention.
— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) April 25, 2016
Cruz is going to get blown out again tomorrow night, which raises the question of how he wants to spend the next week ahead of the big vote in Indiana. If he does nothing, he’ll spend most of his time fielding questions about collusion with John Kasich and whether his wipeout in the northeast proves that the party has come around to Trump. If he names a VP, he’ll spend most of his time talking about his veep pick and how it fits into his vision for America. That’s a move a would-be nominee makes, not an also-ran. Karl suggests, probably correctly, that Carly Fiorina is the frontrunner. Not only was Fiorina the first former candidate to endorse Cruz, she was the first big name to support him after various Washington Republicans had signed on with Rubio. If Cruz were to name her this week, he’d got a ton of buzz for putting a woman on the ticket and Fiorina would instantly be elevated to a super-surrogate who could barnstorm Indiana and other states as a draw in her own right to turn voters out for Cruz. Fiorina was also the most effective attack dog in the field against Trump during the debates. If you wanted someone on the trail on your behalf making the case for why a contested convention, with all the chaos it entails, is a better option than nominating Donald Trump, that’s who you’d pick. And don’t forget the regional play at stake: Fiorina graduated from Stanford and ran for Senate in 2010 in California, by far the most important state left on the board. If she can help Cruz hold Trump down there, that’s reason enough to pick her given its role in deciding the eventual nominee. And Fiorina helps in the general election too, of course, blunting Hillary’s pitch to women voters. There are lots of advantages in naming her.
So what not do it? The risk you run in naming a VP when you’re not the nominee yet is that voters will see it as a stunt, which is what it is, and stunts smell of desperation. That’s extra risky for Cruz given that he’s just pulled another stunt in colluding with Kasich in Indiana. Instead of seeing him as more presidential, some voters may view the veep pick as a gimmick by a fading candidate to try to revive his campaign. On top of that, it would limit Cruz’s strategic options later. Cruz’s chances at the convention may turn on his ability to horse-trade more effectively than Trump. If Trump offers Kasich the VP slot, what does Cruz counter with if that position’s already been filled by Fiorina? In fact, notes John McCormack, if you’re all about consolidating anti-Trumpers and winning California in June, wouldn’t it be smarter for Cruz to offer Kasich the VP slot now? No “alliance” will unite the two camps’ voters like that would. And if Kasich won’t accept the offer now, wouldn’t it be better to wait a few weeks and try again than to appoint someone now in case he becomes more amenable in mid-May? To paraphrase Rod Blagojevich, the vice presidency is a f***ing valuable thing.
I don’t think Cruz can wait for Kasich to figure out what he wants, though. Indiana is must-win. If picking someone this week would help win it, do it and worry about Cleveland the day after Indiana’s in the bag. Exit question: Is there any VP pick who might end up being blocked at the convention? Patrick Ruffini raised that possibility last night in contemplating the possibility of a Trump/Kasich ticket. What if, Ruffini wondered, Kasich made a deal with Trump to endorse him, all but handing him the nomination in exchange for the VP slot, and Cruz’s delegates responded by refusing to vote for Kasich for vice president? Remember, there’s no such thing as a bound delegate when it comes to the VP race; the delegates can vote for whoever they want. Ttypically the nominee’s choice is rubber-stamped, but since many (if not a majority) of delegates at the convention will be pro-Cruz, they’d be free to block Kasich even if Trump picked him. In reality, I doubt they’d have the nerve: Having been forced by the rules to nominate Trump on the first ballot, they’d support whoever Trump wanted for vice president before washing their hands of the general election. But they have the power to block if they choose to exercise it.
.@jonkarl says Ted Cruz may name a running mate soon to shake up the race—and he has a guess as to who that might be https://t.co/c7VhTPFe0V
— This Week (@ThisWeekABC) April 25, 2016
Whoa. I thought JimRob’s 2 threads would have been clear enough.
Guess it wasn’t for a couple. That being said, there’s three I certainly won’t miss, still here.
No, not saying. Nopardons knows, though, lol.
Reviewing the list, I remember reading most of them at least once and most of them won’t be missed.
Disruptors.
There are some freepers who are Cruz supporters who I would not want to see zotted.
Some of them are my favorite freepers before this internecine war began.
I hope they comply with house rules. Jim’s house, Jim’s rules.
(I was a lurker for like 10 years before my sign up date, I still remember pissant who got the zot long ago)
s/b “we’ll probably hear”
Cruz, by running, has shat upon and shredded The Constitution!
I won’t miss the spam-bots functioning as thread disruptors.
Not at all.
Yes, there are more who need to be gone.
Are you Teddy’s “fluffer?
except maybe the oath of office thing he did at a rally with that Beck clown.
Hahahah. Cruz opens new doors into new dimensions of white Republican assholery and asshattery.
I didn’t think it was possible. I was wrong.
Teddy boy is definitely digging new holes. And doesn’t care that it shows him as a dirtbag, just as long as he can disrupt Trump. That’s OK, because the true believers are still running interference.
They’ll still be in denial after Tuesday night, yapping like Hillary about ‘second ballot’ which is just another way of saying ‘We demand a GOP Establishment brokered convention’.
“Should Cruz pick who will never be his VP this week? “
Yes, and I’m a gonna pick the Playmate of the Year who refused to marry me too !
Kay-sick is worse than Cruz. Open-borders socialist. Hard to fathom, I know......
The irony of your post did make me chuckle.
My mom’s maiden in Himel.
But OH MY GOD the letters, and letters and letters.
Most awesome sounding language on earth though.
It’s a form of mental illness. Do you think Cruz has any appreciation for the fact that a sizeable segment of the voters are very alienated by him and his antics?
It could send a ton of money towards any GOP primary challenger of his in 2018.
[ It’s a form of mental illness. Do you think Cruz has any appreciation for the fact that a sizeable segment of the voters are very alienated by him and his antics? ]
My guess is Teddy Boy is very concerned about paying back that $1 million to his Goldman-Sachs account. Now that he’s got the GOPe backing him, he thinks he’s secure.
He definitely has no problem burning a lot of what could have been good will. I used to say Trump/Cruz. I don’t trust him at all now and don’t want him anywhere near Trump. Especially what with his Stabby the Clown good buddy.
A few more zots.
http://www.freerepublic.com/~godgunsguts/
http://www.freerepublic.com/~pacificus/
http://www.freerepublic.com/~katwoman5779/
http://www.freerepublic.com/~flfreedom/
http://www.freerepublic.com/~unclericosfootball/
http://www.freerepublic.com/~traditionalmerica/
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