Posted on 04/21/2016 5:33:24 AM PDT by dennisw
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_________THE FULL BREAKDOWN IS AT THE SOURCE__________
Good!
The full breakdown may well be in Cleveland.
After watching his performance on the Today show this morning, I believe it is possible he doesn’t make 1237.
Voting for President in a particular state has National implications. As such, these primaries should be identical in each state. Enough of these sates with complicated delegate nonsense.
What did he do?
Where’s the big headline that say’s “Cruz likely to 300-400+ delegates short of Nomination?”
???
Silly. I have him at 1170 WITHOUT Indiana, without a single delegate from MT, NM (which is polling big in his direction right now), NE, SD, and very, very low splits in OR and WA.
He will get 1200, and more than likely closer to 1300.
But dream on, little Cruzer, dream on.
The author’s 1185 is something of a low-end estimate. Even at that, there are still 132 uncommitted delegates. If Trump gets a proportional share of those, he is in on the first ballot.
Gee, I guess you will be voting for Cruz because of this performance, right? Do you still have your cruz statue on your dash?
This guy can’t do basic math.
Trump has 103 with MD, PA (being generous to the anti-Trump side), MD, DE. 103-his 57=1283 . . .
WITHOUT a single one of Carson’s, Paul’s, or any of the unbound Virgin Islands delegates (another 30). Give him half of those for . . . 1298.
Or, close enough to my 1300 estimate.
Cruz got skunked in NY, and may very well come in dead last in the next 5 primaries. By this time next week Cruz will be about 400 delegates behind Trump, well over 2 MILLION popular votes behind, and 20 states or more behind.
If he doesn’t, he is mathematically eliminated.
So much for conservative principles of a Federal Republic.
The founders weep.
I didn’t see the whole thing, but I saw him support pervs (Jenner) using bathrooms of the opposite sex and wants to change RNC platform on abortion to include rape and incest. But what I thought was interesting is when a woman whose family has been here illegally for 25 years asked if he’d deport them, he almost said they’d be fine, then he went into the “they have to leave” thing. To me, it looked like he has no intention of deporting, but I’d have to watch it again.
Everybody in the media is wishing for a wild wide open convention, but it isn’t going to happen. Even if Trump is “52” short after CA, he has more than a month to convince that many uncommitted delegates which will be easy. I think eventually, he will strike a deal with Kasich who he will pick as VP>
Anything for Trump.
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