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To: Robert DeLong
No, Trump needs 56% of the remaining delegates, while Cruz needs 81%. Cruz’s only hope is a contested convention. He will not be able to secure that 1,237 magical number.

Trump needs to play this rather sleazy game by the known and written rules. Besides winning bound delegates in primary elections and caucuses, he needs to court the unbound delegates. If he ends up 50 or so bound delegates short, he needs to have enough unbound delegates who favor him to put him over the top.

If Cruz is "stealing" unbound delegates, I have no more sympathy for Trump than in a baseball game when the opposing team is stealing bases. That is how the game is played, and Trump needs to pay attention to everything, not just to hitting a huge number of home runs.

If Trump has not learned how this game is played by now, and hired the right people to manage all aspects of his campaign and win in the first round of voting at the convention, he has no business going up against Hillary in the general election. He has to know that subsequent ballots will not be in his favor if he doesn't win on the first ballot. Trump has my vote, but that is not enough.

10 posted on 04/09/2016 12:16:40 AM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: Pollster1

Trump spent his life in the real world, building real things and creating real jobs for real people. Canada born Ted is just a career politician, who lies, cheats, spreads false rumors, and gullible Americans think he is a conservative. Is it any wonder America is in a decline? People get the government they deserve.


13 posted on 04/09/2016 1:00:41 AM PDT by entropy12 (When you vote, you are actually voting for the candidate's rich donors!)
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To: Pollster1

Besides winning bound delegates in primary elections and caucuses, he needs to court the unbound delegates.


I think digging up the dirt on them might be more effective.


19 posted on 04/09/2016 1:31:37 AM PDT by MIA_eccl1212 (When you see a drowning liberal, throw them the anchor...)
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To: Pollster1

Oh I agree whole heatedly, but he does the most obtainable path to 1,237, and that was my point. Cruz’s path is impossible because he cannot win enough elections and New York will put him in an even more impossible path to a first round win. Ted’s only hope is a contested convention.


47 posted on 04/09/2016 6:55:54 AM PDT by Robert DeLong (u)
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