Posted on 04/06/2016 11:16:58 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
A Monmouth University survey released Wednesday shows Trump taking 52 percent support, followed by Kasich at 25 percent. Ted Cruz has 17 percent.
The April 19 primary in New York will go a long way toward determining whether Trump can reach the 1,237 delegates he needs to win the GOP nomination outright and avoid a contested convention.
At Trump’s current level of support, he’s on pace to take a strong majority of the state’s 95 delegates, and it appears that he may run the board.
“If this result holds in every single congressional district, Trump will walk away with nearly all of New York State’s delegates,” said Monmouth University pollster Patrick Murray.
A majority of New York Republicans — 57 percent — said Trump’s myriad controversial remarks, from musing about punishing women who get abortions should they be made illegal to encouraging a nuclear arms race in Asia, will have no impact on how they vote in the primary.
Twenty-nine percent said Trump’s controversial remarks make them less likely to support him, while 7 percent said they’re more likely to support Trump because of his comments.
Seventy-two percent of Republicans in New York say that sharing their home state with Trump will have no bearing on whether they support him or not. Fourteen percent said they’re proud to hail from the same state as Trump, while 13 percent said they’re embarrassed.
Kasich is the Republican candidate who does best in a head-to-head match-up against Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton, according to pollsters.
If the Ohio governor were the GOP nominee, 80 percent of Republican primary voters said they’d cast a ballot for him over Clinton. Only 70 percent said the same of Trump, and 66 percent of Cruz.
“It is interesting that Kasich would be a stronger nominee in Trump’s home state, but it is purely academic,” said Murray. “There is almost no probability that any Republican would be able to win New York’s electoral votes.”
Kasich has no chance to win the nomination outright, but is staying in the race in hopes of an open convention. He’s argued that he’ll run stronger than Cruz as the anti-Trump alternative in upcoming contests in the northeast.
There is still an opening, however, for Kasich and Cruz to make gains on Trump, the poll found.
Forty percent of New York Republicans said they are unlikely to change their minds from the candidate they currently support, but 34 percent said they’re willing to consider a different candidate. Twelve percent said they’re hardly committed to their candidate at all, and 14 percent are undecided.
The Monmouth survey of 302 likely New York GOP primary voters was conducted between April 3 and April 5 and has 5.6-percentage-point margin of error.
Kasich should call for Cruz to drop out now saying he’s just a spoiler now.
No. He damages conservatism.
Trump never said that he’d punish women who had abortion.
He said that IF it became illegal to have an abortion, then women who have abortions would have to be punished in some way.
Nor did Trump say he’d encourage a nuclear arms race. There already is a nuclear arms race in Asia. It’s just that the only ones racing are North Korea and China.
I was just wondering do you New Yorkers have transgender bathrooms yet? Cumonme will not let his people go to North Carolina because he likes states with diversity....
How do I know I am not a NYer.
NY Republicans defending liberal “New York Values” does not impress me. Nor does their support of Democrat-supporting crony capitalist Trump.
Trump might as well campaign in California by supporting “Hollywood Values”. Its exactly the same thing. Disgusting.
Keep in mind that most of the rest of the states are Trump-friendly. Wisconsin was about the last really pro-Cruz state of any consequence.
Not a surprise. Everything is hard left in NY. Even Republicans. A Constitutional Conservative has no chance in a place like that.
Surprise bridge closure?
Christie is just across the river....
Idiot Cruz just won delegates in a whole state that hasn’t voted republican since 1984. No difference. Nice try at your dribble again. Loser Cruz another third place finishes. He should be getting used to third place by now.
No, because the city doesn’t even have regular bathrooms yet, why do you think the whole city smells like piss?
But all the other polls are saying the same thing - or worse (for Lyin’ Ted).
Kasich is done
Trump will win New York and New Jersey
Easily
Cowering behind Moochelle.
Yep Cruz stepped in it when he didn’t say New York City and trump jumped on it and slammed Cruz back to hell. I think Cruz will have a dreaded two weeks that trump just had.
For New York like Utah, trump needs 50.1 to get all the delegates.
Wisconsin voted to keep their public union-fighting Republican Governor in office - twice, and have a Republican majority legislature.
I’ll take that over “New York Values” any day.
“But all the other polls are saying the same thing - or worse (for Lyin’ Ted).”
I agree all of the polls look good for Dishonest Donald in New York.
A Couple of things do not look good though.
1. It is a closed Primary.
2. NY voter registration is stagnant.
http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3418003/posts
Dishonest Donald has depended on crossover and new voters for support. Since New York is probably one of the most liberal states in the country Dishonest Donald has a Yuge chance of winning it.
Now THAT is comedy gold right there.
Seeing Cruz start drowning will be a wonderful sight. Couldn’t happen to a better person.
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