Posted on 04/05/2016 9:04:58 PM PDT by Mifflin
David Wasserman
"Coincidentally, after tonight both Trump and Sanders need 58 percent of remaining delegates to reach a majority (in Sanders’s case, this refers to pledged delegates only). But only Trump has a realistic path to a delegate majority, because the remaining Republican calendar is heavily winner-take-all."
Great post
So Cruz wins by 15 it’s a blowout, but you don’t think Trump wins by at least that in NY?
And no one remotely conservative supports Trump? That moronic statement should disqualify from ever being able to share your idiocy here again amongst many patriotic conservatives who support Trump and the issues he is carrying singlehandedly. Get bent with that garbage.
“Trumpanzees disgust me!”
Trumpanzees...hadn’t seen that one before. Maybe once this mess is over FReepers can get back to a normal level of civility and camraderie again. Not kissy-kissy, but not this garbage talk.
Cruz has a great chance to win California which is much larger than New York
Cruz could easily finish with more delegates than trump with current trends.
TRUMP will have a chance for 1237, until the final week of primaries, with California and the rest.
Cruz will be mathematically eliminated on April 26th, to reach 1237 and should drop out, like he asked Kasich to.
I wasn't even talking about the election. Cruz is almost guaranteed to lose to Hillary. He has nothing beyond the hardcore evangelicals who always vote GOP - and guess what? They've lost twice in a row and Bush won his elections by a hair.
Only Trump builds a new winning coalition for the future. If we stick with the same old issues that gave us presidents Bush, Clinton, Bush and Obama, all aiding in our constant retreat as the left overran the culture, we're done. The GOPe will purge us and replace us with Lindsey Graham clones, globalist warmongers for the IMF.
“Why is it di you suppose that Trump is predicted to do well in the liberal to ultraliberal NE?”
Same reason he did ultra well in the SE.
Next week Cruz is going to get swept in the North East and it would then he would have to win like 99% of the remaining delegates to win!
Which would be impossible.
If Cruz and Trump were close in delegates that would be a different story, but he isn't and in two weeks he is going to be further behind.
Cruz is in it for the same reason Kasich is in it, to do the GOP bidding to stop Trump. He’s just better at it than Kasich that’s all.
So what. I am fully prepared to support Trump if he is the nominee. However, I have watched Ted Cruz get trashed here by quite a few people for the past six months, and they have all been whining lately how Cruz won’t do what’s good for the nation and drop out. It’s stupid. They also constantly predicted how Cruz was about to lose, and it was all over. I have also been saying for months that Trump supporters need to realize that Trump cannot win without the millions of Cruz supporters who voted in the primaries and caucuses. But most just won’t listen.
I have attributed this knee-jerk reaction to the anti-Cruzers as probably being that they are just trolls, for the most part. But lately, it looks like they are true patriots who just were too stubborn to listen.
Trump would have wrapped the nomination up if he had stayed on message instead of getting into all the childish nonsense of name-calling and insults. At least that should have been rare. Unfortunately, his supporters followed suit. They have been non-stop bashing Cruz for months.
If you do not want Hillary to be president, you better get ready to compromise and support a Trump-Cruz coalition. It is the ONLY way to stop the left. Anyone who does not recognize this is living in fantasy land.
This applies to both Trump AND Cruz supporters.
The GOPe is it seems calling the shots now.
Yep.
Does a twitter post belong in News?
Cruz ain’t winning California. In your dreams.
If we put the same faith in the RCP Poll Average for WI That we do for CA, Trump is winning by 8 points.
Goodbye, Cruz.
RCP Average 3/6 - 4/3 — — 35.4 27.2 16.0 Trump +8.2
SurveyUSA 3/30 - 4/3 356 LV 5.3 40 32 17 Trump +8
LA Times 3/16 - 3/23 LV — 36 35 14 Trump +1
PPIC 3/6 - 3/15 321 LV 7.3 38 27 14 Trump +11
Landslide/NSON 3/9 - 3/10 407 LV 4.9 38 22 20 Trump +16
Smith Johnson Research 3/7 - 3/9 454 LV 4.0 25 20 15 Trump +5
All California Republican Presidential Primary Polling Data
None of the polls since the phony Fox/Marquette crap had Cruz up more than 6. So it’s not like everyone should have believed the polls.
In fact, Cruz “overperformed” and they’re looking into faulty machines in four counties. No poll in the United States should have electronic voting. It’s obviously prone to fraud and errors.
Yup I wish people saw it. The GOP is going scorched earth w Trump supporters now because they really don’t care if they sit home in November and Hillary wins. Hillary keeps the Uniparty going for them
It’s why Romney laid down for Obama and only wanted to fight against Trump.
Wayyyy too many people supposedly on our side still don’t get it.
Only Trump builds a new winning coalition for the future. If we stick with the same old issues that gave us presidents Bush, Clinton, Bush and Obama, all aiding in our constant retreat as the left overran the culture, we’re done. The GOPe will purge us and replace us with Lindsey Graham clones, globalist warmongers for the IMF.
++
Preach it!
If TRUMP keeps getting his ass kicked, I don’t know how realistic his chances are of getting to 1237.
I agree with your analysis.
And for those who think that Trump’s supporters will sit out the election if Cruz wins on the 2nd ballot...that goes both ways. A lot of Cruz supporters may sit out the election if Trump happens to win the nomination.
If I were Cruz’s campaign manager, I would work on NY to try and get as close as I can. See if I could pick up a handful of delegates. Mostly though try to beat Kasich in New York. For the rest of those states Pennsylvania, Connecticut, and Indiana are the prizes I would focus on.
PA, has 54 delegates that are unbound
CT, the last poll I saw was weeks old and had Cruz in a very close second.
IN, Also has a very big delegate haul.
If Cruz can limit Trump to only winning 85 delegates in New York. Carry IN and CT, and get the unbound delegates in PA he would be in good shape.
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