Posted on 04/05/2016 9:04:58 PM PDT by Mifflin
David Wasserman
"Coincidentally, after tonight both Trump and Sanders need 58 percent of remaining delegates to reach a majority (in Sanders’s case, this refers to pledged delegates only). But only Trump has a realistic path to a delegate majority, because the remaining Republican calendar is heavily winner-take-all."
why should he, he will be way ahead of Cruz.
Trump doesn’t have a path to 1237 either.
https://www.conservativereview.com/commentary/2016/04/cruz-and-trump-likely-to-miss-delegate-target
Enjoy the primaries. Cruz will be 150-190 short of Trump going to Cleveland.
They really know how to do mind control in WI.
Yet he will wrap up Colorado this coming Saturday...
Then he will likely lose NY, but I think it will be MUCH closer than many realize. Sure NYC will vote for Trump, but upstate NY is very conservative. Trump does terrible with conservatives. He only won the moderates in WI... Anyone remotely conservative is not supporting the man.
He’ll win NY, but it will not be a blowout. His other negative is his 40% ceiling. If Kasich collapses after tonight, Cruz has a good shot at making some solid headway...
“very unlikely for Trump to reach 1237”
TRUMP has a good chance to reach 1237, especially with NY and the N.East coming up, after Cruz had Texas and the S.East, (where he mostly got beat).
All the Cruz supporters have is “he will win on the 2nd and 3rd ballot.”
What a bunch of losers. Cruz will only get about 25% of the total delegates, and will say I can win on the 2nd or 3rd ballot.
Good luck with that dream.
63# Wisconsin rules!
The GOPe hates Cruz as much or more than they hate Trump. The best he can hope for is VP if he cooperates. And I wouldn't place any bets on that.
Trump has a much better chance of building a coalition to win even if he falls short of 1237 than anyone else. Cruz and Kasich are both delusional.
Cruz gave up his Canadian citizenship in 2012, was it?
California anyone?
Why is it di you suppose that Trump is predicted to do well in the liberal to ultraliberal NE?
Looks to me like he will lose to Cruz on the 2nd or 3rd ballot at the convention.
The GOPe hates Cruz as much or more than they hate Trump. The best he can hope for is VP if he cooperates. And I wouldn’t place any bets on that.
Trump has a much better chance of building a coalition to win even if he falls short of 1237 than anyone else. Cruz and Kasich are both delusional.
==
YEah and It just doesn’t matter how much you like Cruz he can’t win FL and OH.
How old was Cruz when he left Canada?
How are the next 7 races gonna go?
Will Cruz take any of these?
04/19/2016
New York
04/26/2016
Connecticut
Delaware
Maryland
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Indiana
Trumps got an easy path. If he’s short a few some of the unbound delegates will put him to 1237 and it will be done on the first ballot like with others who came with a little less than 1237. That’s what Reince Priebus said tonight. Cruz can’t make it to 1237 even with 100% of the unbound delegates.
“Cruz gave up his Canadian citizenship in 2012, was it?”
Cruz, a natural born US citizen, could have been a citizen of Mars and STILL would be a natural born US citizen. Unless you can show that Cruz surrendered his natural US citizenship, you have no basis for denying Cruz’s citizenship!
CRUZ is just a spoiler.
Any candidate only angling for a 2nd or 3rd ballot, when only reaching 25% of the delegates is a loser.
Rubio and Bush should have stayed in to the end, no, they are not idiots like Cruz.
“Anyone who believes the GOPe did all this work and spent a sh**load of money to take down Donald Trump just to give the nomination to Ted Cruz is kidding themselves.”
If they have no other choice, Romney and associates will give the nomination Cruz.
Then, they will quietly work to make Hillary their president.
Mission accomplished. Trump, the rebellion, is defeated; the Uniparty is saved.
You can’t win the nomination if you do not have 1237 delegates. That is the only mark. If Trump can’t get to 1237, then why continue to campaign.
We both know the answer. Neither Trump nor Cruz should drop out.
Kasich isn't going anywhere. Serious evangelicals are seriously unpopular in the northeast. Especially in New York. Trump will win in a blowout, Kasich a distant second, and Cruz will come in third or maybe even fourth after someone who already dropped out.
Don’t kid yourself. All of NYC will go heavily for Trump. My in-laws are in Buffalo and they’re all for Trump. A weasel like Cruz could never be chosenby NYers.
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