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Electoral Map Is a Reality Check to Trump’s Bid
NY Times ^ | 04-02-2016 | JONATHAN MARTIN and NATE COHN

Posted on 04/02/2016 10:58:26 AM PDT by NRx

Donald J. Trump’s presidential candidacy has stunned the Republican Party. But if he survives a late revolt by his rivals and other leaders to become the party’s standard-bearer in the general election, the electoral map now coming into view is positively forbidding.

In recent head-to-head polls with one Democrat whom Mr. Trump may face in the fall, Hillary Clinton, he trails in every key state, including Florida and Ohio, despite her soaring unpopularity ratings with swing voters.

In Democratic-leaning states across the Rust Belt, which Mr. Trump has vowed to return to the Republican column for the first time in nearly 30 years, his deficit is even worse: Mrs. Clinton leads him by double digits in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.

Mr. Trump is so negatively viewed, polls suggest, that he could turn otherwise safe Republican states, usually political afterthoughts because of their strong conservative tilt, into tight contests. In Utah, his deep unpopularity with Mormon voters suggests that a state that has gone Republican every election for a half-century could wind up in play. Republicans there pointed to a much-discussed Deseret News poll last month, showing Mrs. Clinton with a narrow lead over Mr. Trump, to argue that the state would be difficult for him.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 1stcanadiansenator; alexanderburns; alexburns; cruztolose; demagogicparty; globalistcruz; jonathanmartin; memebuilding; natecohn; newyork; newyorkcity; newyorkslimes; newyorktimes; noteligiblecruz; openboarderscruz; partisanmediashill; partisanmediashills; selfidentifyinggope; tds; thiswillnotpass; unipartynarrative; wacamole; withcruzyoulose
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To: Albion Wilde

Remember how Rick LAZY-O cowered in her presence.


101 posted on 04/02/2016 12:29:57 PM PDT by Theodore R. (I shudder to think what the American people will do on November 8, 2016.)
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To: Dagnabitt

1980 USA no longer exists. The white voters who swung to Reagan aren’t around anymore. Romney would have won in a landslide if he had the demographics of 1980.

You might as well post a graph of an election in Uruguay or Estonia.


And Pastor Ted’s coalition? Nobody likes Ted Cruz. For every mushy moderate anti-Trumper he picks up he loses a conservative disgusted with his sleazy campaign. Ted Cruz will never be POTUS.


102 posted on 04/02/2016 12:30:07 PM PDT by lodi90 (Clear choice for Conservatives now: TRUMP or lose)
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To: QuigleyDU

This race was over after Trump’s beat down of Cruz in Fl and Oh, 1,000,000(margin of Trump over Cruz) pissed off R voters in those 2 states alone, if Trump is booted. Some times facts get in the way of a good story(somebody other than Trump as nominee)


The kenyan won FL by 80k votes in 2012. Open Senate seat in FL also this year. FL is a guaranteed blue state in 2016 without Donald J. Trump on the ballot. It’s that simple. Nobody likes Cruz here in FL.


103 posted on 04/02/2016 12:32:41 PM PDT by lodi90 (Clear choice for Conservatives now: TRUMP or lose)
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To: QuigleyDU

Disagree. Everyone has been waiting for Trump to pivot and become more presidential. He cant do it. After last weeks antics he’s done. His poll numbers are cratering. There’s a lot of buyers remorse. Look for a contested convention and Perry,Walker or Ryan will be chosen. We’ll just have to see.


104 posted on 04/02/2016 12:32:52 PM PDT by Blackirish ("Political correctness is fascism pretending to be manners." - George Carlin)
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To: lodi90

I think Cruz has a narrow path to 270 EV if he runs a disciplined campaign and has strong debate performance, both of which he is capable of.

I used to think that Trump had a chance of scoring 300 EVs by expanding the map to the Rust Belt, or he could crash and burn to a 40-state Hillary landslide. The last couple of weeks watching him trip all over himself while digging his hole with women even deeper, has convinced me that the latter scenario is what’s actually in store with his nomination.


105 posted on 04/02/2016 12:42:13 PM PDT by Dagnabitt (Islamic Immigration is Treason.)
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To: NRx

Trump will beat Hilolita like a drum.

Push polls have nothing to do with 6 months from now.


106 posted on 04/02/2016 12:43:01 PM PDT by Candor7 ( Obama fascism article:(http://www.americanthinker.com/2009/05/barack_obama_the_quintessentia_1.html)
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To: Dagnabitt

I just don’t see Cruz getting much more than 200 electoral votes, let alone 270.


107 posted on 04/02/2016 12:43:18 PM PDT by Ted Grant
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To: Blackirish

“Everyone has been waiting for Trump to pivot and become more presidential. He cant do it. “

Perfect summation. He’s 70 years old in a month. He is what he is. (Emotionally brittle, ignorant of facts, an unskilled interviewee, repulsive to women voters)


108 posted on 04/02/2016 12:44:38 PM PDT by Dagnabitt (Islamic Immigration is Treason.)
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To: PapaBear3625

They give him 24/7 coverage. What more do you want? Most low info voters don’t know anyone else is even running.


109 posted on 04/02/2016 12:44:45 PM PDT by redangus
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To: mkjessup

if you have the time or can find someone that does, it would be great to see the current Electoral math comparison based upon Trump’s wins vs. Cruz.
Such as:
FL 29 + GA 16 MI 16 etc.


110 posted on 04/02/2016 12:45:22 PM PDT by Beautiful_Gracious_Skies
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To: GOPe Means Bend Over Spell Run
It’s Trump or bust at this point for this lifelong Republican.

I'm with you FRiend. And if Trump is indeed the nominee, it isn't an unreasonable expectation that if the choice is between the treasonous 'RAT party and Trump, that we should vote for Trump.

But stupidity rears it's ugly head all over the political spectrum, you have the fools at National Review declaring their never ending animus towards Trump, many of them actually stating that they would prefer to see Hillary Rotten Criminal in the White House instead of Trump, and then you have the bottom feeders who proclaim (here on FR and elsewhere) that absurd hashtag "#nevertrump", which only proves that the libtard-RINO maggots are busy feasting on whatever neurons are left in their cranial cavities.

There has already been some prominent and well deserved *ZOTS* and our Esteemed Founder is to be commended on having the patience of Job.

But the Trump-hating trolls would be wise not to count on that patience enduring through the general election.
111 posted on 04/02/2016 12:46:28 PM PDT by mkjessup (Trump is kicking the ass of the GOPe, RINOs & the media. Don't like him? He must be kicking YOUR ass)
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To: DoughtyOne

Step back from the pipe. You are delusional.


112 posted on 04/02/2016 12:46:42 PM PDT by redangus
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To: Candor7

“The polls all lie” will be the mantra of Trump supporters right up until his concession speech.

(And Yes, I will vote for him in the general - though as a California voter I may as well catch a movie )


113 posted on 04/02/2016 12:46:57 PM PDT by Dagnabitt (Islamic Immigration is Treason.)
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To: Fiddlstix

LOL.
(Borrowed)


114 posted on 04/02/2016 12:47:54 PM PDT by onyx (You're here posting, so sign-up to DONATE MONTHLY!)
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To: Dagnabitt

Do you have any talking points not created by and shared with Soros, Establishment, democrats, Muslims, MSM, illegals, etc or does the fact its impossible to tell the difference between your posts and their Trump-hate propaganda bother you?


115 posted on 04/02/2016 12:48:16 PM PDT by Mechanicos (Attend a Trump Rally and get to "Punch a Commie for Mommy.")
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To: Dagnabitt; All
“Everyone has been waiting for Trump to pivot and become more presidential. He cant do it. “

Perfect summation. He’s 70 years old in a month. He is what he is. (Emotionally brittle, ignorant of facts, an unskilled interviewee, repulsive to women voters)


And your Magic 8-ball told you all this?

Run and join your Dominionist King Cruz and hide your face with his in Carly Fiorina's skirts.
116 posted on 04/02/2016 12:49:41 PM PDT by mkjessup (Trump is kicking the ass of the GOPe, RINOs & the media. Don't like him? He must be kicking YOUR ass)
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To: Mechanicos

LOL at your fantasies of conspiracy.


117 posted on 04/02/2016 12:49:50 PM PDT by Dagnabitt (Islamic Immigration is Treason.)
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To: Blackirish

Disagree. Everyone has been waiting for Trump to pivot and become more presidential. He cant do it. After last weeks antics he’s done. His poll numbers are cratering. There’s a lot of buyers remorse. Look for a contested convention and Perry,Walker or Ryan will be chosen. We’ll just have to see.
==

You’re seriously not serious, you mean there are still FR members falling for the same ole GoPe/MSM propaganda. Trump owns this election and the Party, he will determine whether GoPe exist as viable party nationally after 2016.

Reread previous post and don’t doubt the actual votes caste and the emotion behind them. Trump will be the nominee or the R’s are done.


118 posted on 04/02/2016 12:50:17 PM PDT by QuigleyDU
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To: Dagnabitt

Hey, when you’re doing the work for the enemy against the only one they fear something is very wrong - if you are a conservative American.


119 posted on 04/02/2016 12:51:51 PM PDT by Mechanicos (Attend a Trump Rally and get to "Punch a Commie for Mommy.")
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To: redangus; DoughtyOne; All
Step back from the pipe. You are delusional.

Got news for you, DoughtyOne has had more intelligent commentary posted on this website than I ever recall oozing out of your pie hole.

D1 has my unconditional respect on ANY topic.

You? Not so much.
120 posted on 04/02/2016 12:52:16 PM PDT by mkjessup (Trump is kicking the ass of the GOPe, RINOs & the media. Don't like him? He must be kicking YOUR ass)
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