Posted on 04/02/2016 10:58:26 AM PDT by NRx
Donald J. Trumps presidential candidacy has stunned the Republican Party. But if he survives a late revolt by his rivals and other leaders to become the partys standard-bearer in the general election, the electoral map now coming into view is positively forbidding.
In recent head-to-head polls with one Democrat whom Mr. Trump may face in the fall, Hillary Clinton, he trails in every key state, including Florida and Ohio, despite her soaring unpopularity ratings with swing voters.
In Democratic-leaning states across the Rust Belt, which Mr. Trump has vowed to return to the Republican column for the first time in nearly 30 years, his deficit is even worse: Mrs. Clinton leads him by double digits in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.
Mr. Trump is so negatively viewed, polls suggest, that he could turn otherwise safe Republican states, usually political afterthoughts because of their strong conservative tilt, into tight contests. In Utah, his deep unpopularity with Mormon voters suggests that a state that has gone Republican every election for a half-century could wind up in play. Republicans there pointed to a much-discussed Deseret News poll last month, showing Mrs. Clinton with a narrow lead over Mr. Trump, to argue that the state would be difficult for him.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
Remember how Rick LAZY-O cowered in her presence.
1980 USA no longer exists. The white voters who swung to Reagan arent around anymore. Romney would have won in a landslide if he had the demographics of 1980.
You might as well post a graph of an election in Uruguay or Estonia.
And Pastor Ted’s coalition? Nobody likes Ted Cruz. For every mushy moderate anti-Trumper he picks up he loses a conservative disgusted with his sleazy campaign. Ted Cruz will never be POTUS.
This race was over after Trumps beat down of Cruz in Fl and Oh, 1,000,000(margin of Trump over Cruz) pissed off R voters in those 2 states alone, if Trump is booted. Some times facts get in the way of a good story(somebody other than Trump as nominee)
The kenyan won FL by 80k votes in 2012. Open Senate seat in FL also this year. FL is a guaranteed blue state in 2016 without Donald J. Trump on the ballot. It’s that simple. Nobody likes Cruz here in FL.
Disagree. Everyone has been waiting for Trump to pivot and become more presidential. He cant do it. After last weeks antics he’s done. His poll numbers are cratering. There’s a lot of buyers remorse. Look for a contested convention and Perry,Walker or Ryan will be chosen. We’ll just have to see.
I think Cruz has a narrow path to 270 EV if he runs a disciplined campaign and has strong debate performance, both of which he is capable of.
I used to think that Trump had a chance of scoring 300 EVs by expanding the map to the Rust Belt, or he could crash and burn to a 40-state Hillary landslide. The last couple of weeks watching him trip all over himself while digging his hole with women even deeper, has convinced me that the latter scenario is what’s actually in store with his nomination.
Trump will beat Hilolita like a drum.
Push polls have nothing to do with 6 months from now.
I just don’t see Cruz getting much more than 200 electoral votes, let alone 270.
“Everyone has been waiting for Trump to pivot and become more presidential. He cant do it. “
Perfect summation. He’s 70 years old in a month. He is what he is. (Emotionally brittle, ignorant of facts, an unskilled interviewee, repulsive to women voters)
They give him 24/7 coverage. What more do you want? Most low info voters don’t know anyone else is even running.
if you have the time or can find someone that does, it would be great to see the current Electoral math comparison based upon Trump’s wins vs. Cruz.
Such as:
FL 29 + GA 16 MI 16 etc.
Step back from the pipe. You are delusional.
“The polls all lie” will be the mantra of Trump supporters right up until his concession speech.
(And Yes, I will vote for him in the general - though as a California voter I may as well catch a movie )
LOL.
(Borrowed)
Do you have any talking points not created by and shared with Soros, Establishment, democrats, Muslims, MSM, illegals, etc or does the fact its impossible to tell the difference between your posts and their Trump-hate propaganda bother you?
LOL at your fantasies of conspiracy.
Disagree. Everyone has been waiting for Trump to pivot and become more presidential. He cant do it. After last weeks antics hes done. His poll numbers are cratering. Theres a lot of buyers remorse. Look for a contested convention and Perry,Walker or Ryan will be chosen. Well just have to see.
==
You’re seriously not serious, you mean there are still FR members falling for the same ole GoPe/MSM propaganda. Trump owns this election and the Party, he will determine whether GoPe exist as viable party nationally after 2016.
Reread previous post and don’t doubt the actual votes caste and the emotion behind them. Trump will be the nominee or the R’s are done.
Hey, when you’re doing the work for the enemy against the only one they fear something is very wrong - if you are a conservative American.
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