Now, of course, the polls "prove" Hillary will beat Donald Trump
Don't you believe it!
Will there be a “there you go again, Hillary” moment?
What else do the Cruz people have at this point?
They want to scare people into voting for Cruz, nothing else.
As if they can guarantee those numbers up until November.
It’s absurd for anyone to take a poll 8 months out seriously. These are the same people that swore Trump would never break 50%!
The polls being wrong in 1980 is a great indication that they will avian be wrong in 2016.
I don’t remember them saying Carter would win.
The day before the election they were saying the race was too close to call.
Of course they were still way off as Reagan won in a landslide.
Trump will mop the floor with Hilary. It will be a landslide of epic proportions.
Carter wasn’t being investigated by the FBI either.
Fox Spews has a new poll out showing Cruz gaining on Trump.
Don't you believe it!
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I believe it. The media did a real job on Reagan. They had everyone believing that Reagan was a idiot and a mad man that would get us into war. Then, came the debate. He came off as smart and reasonable, and the perception of him changed overnight.
The problem with Trump is that everyone already knows him, and the only surprises will be even more negative. He is losing now before the Dems even got started. He will lose by a landslide.
I am a big believer in the power of a demoralized voting block.... not voting. The Bernie people will not vote for Hillary, the Hillary people will not vote for Bernie. I feel like the indictment or backlash of no idictment of Hillary will drive down her voter turn out.
As I remember the race in 1980, the polls from the last weekend mostly showed Reagan with a slight lead. What was captured in those polls was the late-deciders breaking heavily toward Reagan. IIRC, it was late Sunday evening when Pat Caddell told President Carter that there was no way that he was going to win reelection on Tuesday because some key battleground states had slipped out of their reach.
How many of Donald Trump's supporters are agonized over the polls supposedly demonstrating his unelectability vs. Hillary. None, of course.
I'm a Cruz supporter. Am I likely to change my vote because so many polls point to Trump as the likely, eventual Republican nominee? No.
All these polls do is cause us to worry about that legendary "low-info" voter who will go along with what the media suggests. Of course, if he's that low-info, he won't have heard about the poll, either.
Much wasted ado about nothing, IMHO.
The surprising thing this cycle is how accurate most polling has been. Yes, there have been big outliers and suspicious timing, but those have been easy to pick off.
The RCP and Huffpo averages have been very close in most races considering that primaries are much harder to poll than general elections.
I don’t think many are being fooled by the few outlier polls. They stick out like sore thumbs and look stupid quickly after the voting happens.
There is more chicanery going on in the ancillary polls, like favorability, general election matchups, etc. I’ll stipulate that.
I don’t remember any polls showing Carter was beating Reagan close to the election..
The media was making it a lot closer to keep interest up to sell time and newspapers...