Posted on 03/18/2016 2:11:36 PM PDT by pabianice
The odds simply aren’t there that a more conservative nominee can emerge.
There is an old adage: “Never bet the company.” Its verity was proven during the financial mega-meltdown when hyper-leveraged Wall Street firms went kaput. Put simply, of six imaginable possible presidents only one, Ted Cruz, can be counted on to nominate someone to the right of Merrick Garland. Neither John Kasich, an establishment type, nor Donald Trump, with no discernible judicial philosophy, can be counted on to do so. As for Hillary, the Bern, and Biden, all would appoint judges well to the left of Garland. I assume that Hillary has at least a 50-50 chance of winning — or that Biden does if Hillary is forced out by a smoking-gun email; Sanders would have little chance of winning, as Ds won’t nominate him unless forced by voter-base revolt against super-delegate gamesmanship. Trump is now favored on the GOP side, which leaves less than one chance in four that Cruz wins, on my assumed numbers. But current prediction markets put Hillary at a 72 percent chance of winning; with Trump favored over Cruz for the GOP nod Cruz’s chances are regarded as less than 14 percent (one in seven). Markets are of course more likely to be right as to the odds.
(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.org ...
What are these people talking about? The 2nd amendment IS the company...and confirming this guy means it is gone.
We’ll just have to live with an 8-justice court for less than a year, 7 if necessary.
Leave it alone GOP. Leave the next nominee, for the next president.
Just leave it.
Hearings in August; vote to approve on the Friday before Labor Day weekend. If it hasn’t happened already in the months prior.
They said the same about Breyer, who has been a ninety nine percent leftist. Are we sure these people are on our side?
The compromisers are really showing themselves!
Like we can’t live with an 8 member court for another 308 days.
After all, we have the “Wise Latina”.
That’s exactly the Obama’s plan … throw out a softball to see if the GOPe will confirm him. Then when they don’t, he’ll appoint an even worse one during recess.
Gutless cowards!
About as much as a rattlesnake.
My god given right to own the weapons of my choice are not at the whim of some anti-gun zealot.
Yes there’s a chance Hillary is elected and picks someone even more liberal.
But if we lose this election were screwed anyway.
And there will.probably be two or three more Supreme Court vacancies for the next president to fill. If that president is Democrat then we lose the court anyway.
And for all we know, Breyer or Ginsburg are ready to retire . suppose we confirm this guy, set a precedent that we will confirm justices in an election year, and we find out in June that Breyer or Ginsburg are leaving now???
Compared to this guy’s banner, pale pastels look like bold colors.
No, they will put it off until Nov, if Hillary is elected they will convene hearings and approve (but will the dems?) if Trump wins, they will wait to see what he does.
Agree to the thing we’re afraid might happen. OK ....
any lame-duck Obama nomination is DOA
Merrick Garland is highly likely very much against our Second Amendment.
Nightmare scenario.
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