Posted on 03/09/2016 10:12:46 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Last night, Donald Trump called on Republicans to unite behind him and declared that only he could defeat Hillary Clinton. A new NBC/WSJ poll out this morning disputes that claim — although the general election is still a long way off. Trump loses to both Hillary and Bernie Sanders by double-digit margins in this sample of 1200 registered voters, but Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz look much more competitive:
Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders would handily defeat Donald Trump in a general election match-up, while a clash between Clinton and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz or Florida Sen. Marco Rubio would be a toss-up, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.
The poll shows that Trump, who frequently boasts in interviews and campaign appearances that he would beat Clinton in November, would lose a one-on-one contest against her by double digits. In a head-to-head fight, Clinton gets the support of 51 percent of registered voters compared to 38 percent for the real estate mogul.
For Sanders, the margin of victory would be even greater, the poll shows.
The Vermont senator gets 55 percent support in a hypothetical two-person race against Trump, while the GOP front-runner would get just 37 percent.
For the record, Rubio ties Hillary at 46%. while Cruz trails within the margin of error, 45/47. The pollsters didn’t ask about head-to-head matchups against Sanders for either of the two Republican Senators, which is too bad, as a Sanders nomination is still not out of the realm of possibility.
Readers should consider a couple of caveats in this poll. First, the sample leans toward desiring a Democratic president, 46/42, asked prior to the candidate questions (the sample overall is D+6). Second, head-to-head polling at this stage still carries a lot of emotional freight that may well disappear after the conventions, or at least diminish significantly. If Trump wins the nomination, he will have months to shift his approach for the general election and test whether he’s right about building a large coalition of disaffected non-Republicans.
However, the favorability numbers show why Trump struggles against the two Democrats, at least at this stage. Hillary gets a 38/51, or -13 favorability rating, in this poll; Sanders has a +7 at 43/36. Rubio has a -11 at 28/39, likely the product of his fierce and personal attacks on Trump, but Cruz does worse with -18 at 27/45. Trump, however, gets only 25/64 for a -39 rating, by far the worst in the field. Trump also does worst among all candidates for potential support in a general election at 32/67 (although not that far behind Cruz and Rubio), and also worst among Republican primary voters for support for the nomination at 56/43.
Given that, it’s hardly surprising that Trump does poorly in a general pool of registered voters — now, anyway. Would that change once the GOP infighting stops and Republicans accept Trump as the nominee? Maybe, but at that point the media will likely become entirely hostile to Trump and probably a lot less generous about air time, too. If Trump didn’t adjust by organizing effectively on the ground — and there’s still time to do that, especially with the RNC’s efforts already in place — then those negatives would likely drive Trump’s chances into the slim or none category.
The establishment wing of the media had Carter 20 pts up from Reagan.
Bravo Sierra polls...IMHO of course.
Up until the eve of the election in 1980, they thought Carter was going to beat him.
Those “polls” didn’t work out either.
He’s losing by a few points because the conservative vote is split between 3 candidates and Trump has the Other vote all to himself.
You will see a different picture if Rubio finally has the sense and grace to drop out.
Kasich is just too crazy to do it.
The oligarchs are revealing all their rat lines of influence now. Write them down for later pay back when Trump is President.
Please.
Thanks for that video of Trump.
I’ll be having nightmares now.
[ABC - All Bill Clinton
CBS - Clinton Broadcasting System
CNN - Clinton News Network]
Due to their rabid anti-Trump reporting, you can add Fox to this list...
FOX = Full Of eXcrement
That's all....
I agree. People like his straightforwardness and his being unafraid to speak the politically incorrect plans to build a wall and review Muslim immigration.
I live in very liberal Marin County. I know several Democrats who like Trump but no Democrats who like Cruz (or any other Republicans).
Hmmm...
Homer Simpson or the Wall Street Journal, the Wall Street Journal or Homer Simpson...?
Which is more cartoonish?
“Trump is so nasty, vile, foul and dishonest...”
I promised Johnnie I’d be nice so I won’t say that stuff but I do appreciate your viewpoint.
The question I have relates to this statement of yours:
“But polls for primaries a week from now showing Trump wiunning are inaccurate.”
I asked: Can you show me where a Cruz fan actually said that?
Your response was to show me the link.
Well, I browsed through 3 pages of responses on that link (184 posts ) and I do not see anyone questioning the South Carolina poll showing Trump winning.
Sorry, Gramps, but we still have a right to our opinions around here.
And my opinion is that defending and condoning all the many evils of The Trump, some people are ... if not selling their souls, at least chipping away at them.
‘Zactly...
At least the fourth time this junk poll has been posted today, albeit from different sites.
I totally agree. We cannot afford 4 more years of socialism.
That’s why now is the time to be careful who we nominate.
I worked for a company who had a management crew everyone hated, feared, and suffered from with grueling demands for measurable performance. The reward was being acquired and every employee was made handsomely comfortable financially based on our increased value and continued prosperity under our new employer who worshiped our workforce.
Liking leadership in favor of working for strong leaders (who make you uncomfortable) leads people to eventual disappointment. In world affairs it leads to disaster and death.
Nope, I don’t think so.
(channeling the vast vocabulary of The Don)
Bovine Excrement
That graph right there is enough to convince me that this poll is a PHONY FAKE FABRICATED SET UP JOB.
I have seen absolutely NOTHING from Marco Rubio which indicates that he can campaign his way out of a paper bag. He could not even get close to Kasich in Michigan for cripes sakes.
Toughest opponent for Hillary? Don’t make me laugh!
Way to go, Seek and Find.
Don’t let the lies go unchallenged.
WSJ owned by Rupert Murdoch says it all about the findings of this poll.
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