Posted on 03/09/2016 10:12:46 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Last night, Donald Trump called on Republicans to unite behind him and declared that only he could defeat Hillary Clinton. A new NBC/WSJ poll out this morning disputes that claim — although the general election is still a long way off. Trump loses to both Hillary and Bernie Sanders by double-digit margins in this sample of 1200 registered voters, but Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz look much more competitive:
Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders would handily defeat Donald Trump in a general election match-up, while a clash between Clinton and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz or Florida Sen. Marco Rubio would be a toss-up, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.
The poll shows that Trump, who frequently boasts in interviews and campaign appearances that he would beat Clinton in November, would lose a one-on-one contest against her by double digits. In a head-to-head fight, Clinton gets the support of 51 percent of registered voters compared to 38 percent for the real estate mogul.
For Sanders, the margin of victory would be even greater, the poll shows.
The Vermont senator gets 55 percent support in a hypothetical two-person race against Trump, while the GOP front-runner would get just 37 percent.
For the record, Rubio ties Hillary at 46%. while Cruz trails within the margin of error, 45/47. The pollsters didn’t ask about head-to-head matchups against Sanders for either of the two Republican Senators, which is too bad, as a Sanders nomination is still not out of the realm of possibility.
Readers should consider a couple of caveats in this poll. First, the sample leans toward desiring a Democratic president, 46/42, asked prior to the candidate questions (the sample overall is D+6). Second, head-to-head polling at this stage still carries a lot of emotional freight that may well disappear after the conventions, or at least diminish significantly. If Trump wins the nomination, he will have months to shift his approach for the general election and test whether he’s right about building a large coalition of disaffected non-Republicans.
However, the favorability numbers show why Trump struggles against the two Democrats, at least at this stage. Hillary gets a 38/51, or -13 favorability rating, in this poll; Sanders has a +7 at 43/36. Rubio has a -11 at 28/39, likely the product of his fierce and personal attacks on Trump, but Cruz does worse with -18 at 27/45. Trump, however, gets only 25/64 for a -39 rating, by far the worst in the field. Trump also does worst among all candidates for potential support in a general election at 32/67 (although not that far behind Cruz and Rubio), and also worst among Republican primary voters for support for the nomination at 56/43.
Given that, it’s hardly surprising that Trump does poorly in a general pool of registered voters — now, anyway. Would that change once the GOP infighting stops and Republicans accept Trump as the nominee? Maybe, but at that point the media will likely become entirely hostile to Trump and probably a lot less generous about air time, too. If Trump didn’t adjust by organizing effectively on the ground — and there’s still time to do that, especially with the RNC’s efforts already in place — then those negatives would likely drive Trump’s chances into the slim or none category.
If we compare Rat turnout to Republican turnout in the primaries this poll doesn’t make sense.
Ummm...yeah. This is so counter intuitive that it borders on fantasy.
“Trump is so nasty, vile, foul and dishonest”
Dont worry, the press you have duped yourself into thinking is Cruz’s good buddy, will make sure he is seen the same way too.
Please at least a different source. This group has the worst polling ever.
Oh, well, that settles it. I am going to change my mind right now and vote for Cruz. Thanks for this insightful data. Gee, how does Romney do head to head? In short, this is a crock.
Still lying and selling your soul to the open border thugs like the owner of Facebook, so they can bring in thousands of non American to be ITs.
You are supposedly an IT consultant. Who is paying you to post this crap each day?
I believe it as long as the GOP elites are attacking Trump. If they’d start attacking hillary and supporting Trump there may be a big difference.
Maybe not, but when the republican party is telling republican voters not to vote for a republican candidate it probably has an affect.
There were at least two yesterday that show just the opposite and there have been many others where Trump beats Hillary.
THINK. He beats ALL GOP contenders!!
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Why Hillary Clinton Cannot Beat Donald Trump
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Zero Hedge ^ | 2/26/2016 | Tyler Durden
Awesome. Those Cheap Labor Express polls are known for their accuracy.... it’s safe to bet that the opposite of what they say will happen, like in South Carolina. LOL
I don’t know about demolish but I’m very afraid that Trump is the one Republican.... well, running as a Republican ... that the dems could beat.
Go to real clear politics and compare this group with all the other pollsters
I was called by this poll last fall. The rather rude obnoxious guy on the phone took my personal info then hung up on me. I am convinced he filled out “my “ answers for me.
LOL, if this was true, why are they all trying to stop Trump rather than push him? Uh uh, ok, sure, I believe it. Riiiiight. Fool me once, shame on shame on you. Fool me you can’t get fooled again.
Didn’t they also have Trump losing in South Carolina or one of the early primaries? They were the only ones reporting that and they were wrong.
Nonsense, I think those polls are backwards.
+SeekAndFind
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