Posted on 02/19/2016 10:36:37 AM PST by BigEdLB
A new poll out one day before Saturday's South Carolina primary shows Donald Trump maintaining a wide lead in the state and with Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio in a fight for second place. In the poll, which was conducted on Wednesday and Thursday, Trump leads with 32 percent, followed by Cruz at 19 percent and Rubio at 18 percent.
Snip
The telephone survey of 500 likely South Carolina GOP primary voters was conducted by Adam Geller, a veteran GOP pollster who had been working for Chris Christie until he dropped out of the race last week. Geller has said he is neutral in the race.
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
If this is correct, it looks like possibly Rubio drew some support from Trump.
Looks like Trump is down from 36 to 32, Rubio up a little, and Cruz unchanged.
Consistent with ARG although Trump rebounded a bit there.
Yeah, Trump is taking Cruz support because the voters that were for Cruz can see now through all the lies and disgusting people have on his campaign, the ‘porn’ star ‘that he knew nothing about’ lie; Dan Gabiel running his ‘phyops’ to gain voters,
Liar - Definition: comes from the root word, Lawyer.
Synonyms: Politician, person with subversive, hidden agenda, member of a cartel, cabal, conspiracy, consortium, coven, cult, and/or clique.
It's all crumbling in one big heap on the floor, where it belongs....
The WSJ polls can be finally completely 100% viewed as corrupt Murdoch propaganda if Trumps gets 30+ percent
Comparing different polls or last iteration of this poll? If different, not smart to directly compare with polls of different methodology and sample sizes. If same, the difference is likely within MOE.
I have to admit, I expected smoother sailing than this. It is one nail-biter after another. Even NH was a bit worrisome with threats of a lower-than-expected finish.
The Pope comments make sure Trump wins big in South Carolina. Rubio is Roman Catholic. He comes in third behind Cruz.
Based on what, has this poll been done previously? If not, then it’s apples/oranges. If it has been done, then it’s accurate to draw conclusions.
Look at this page, the RCP average, and the graph at the bottom.
It appears that Trump has receded from a peak of a few days ago, Rubio has spiked up and Cruz has stayed flat in recent days, after rising in December from a lower plateau.
I think it is fair to say that Trump is not as strong in SC as he was pre-debate. Was it the debate itself? I dont know.
I personally wish he would have said, in regards to *did GWBush keep us safe*, that the election of Obama is Bushes fault, because of the big mistake that was Iraq.
And we have never been less safe as a country than we are with Obama. And blame that on Bush.
I do.
see my post 11.
Doesn’t matter the percentage...a win is a win, a loss is a loss. Yes, a large margin looks better and a smaller margin raises questions, but the bottom line is delegate count. I’m not aware of any more or less delegates being apportioned based on percentage of win/loss.
Again, is the poll the same polling company/person? You can’t compare an Emerson poll with an ARG poll for cause/effect, but you can compare consecutive Emerson polls and consecutive ARG polls for cause/effect trends. You can compare polls across polling company as a broad average, but that’s dicey. For example, one SC poll shows Trump with a 15 point lead, a totally different company shows a poll with Trump 2 point lead...can you say there’s been a 13 point drop or a “weakening”? Perhaps, but it is meaningless because of different biases and methodologies...hard to compare.
BUT BUT BUT Rupert Murdoch and his cheap labor whores at the WSJ say different.
Here is the link.
And average of 8 polls.
What poll shows Trump with only a 2 point lead in S C?
I forgot the link. Sorry.
Here. Look at the graph at the bottom.
Doesnt matter the percentage...a win is a win, a loss is a loss.
Those are the numbers that really matter.
We will see tomorrow.
It doesn’t...it was only example to explain comparing polls that are done by one company with another company.
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