Breaking: First South Carolina Poll after NH (Trump 36 Cruz 19 Rubio 15 Bush 11)

OpinionSavvy ^

[springwater13]

Coming hot off his win in New Hampshire -and with a significant amount of his time devoted to South Carolina- it’s little surprise that Trump is 16-17 points ahead. It appears that the only demographics that Trump isn’t currently winning are 18-29 year-old voters and self-described “very liberal” voters, who prefer Rubio and Kasich, respectively. Evangelists prefer Trump to Cruz by a margin of 10 points – a significant change from Iowa, where Cruz led with evangelical voters by four points.

When respondents were asked of their second choice for the nomination, Rubio and Cruz command the first and second spots (within 2 points), with others trailing closely.

The poll was conducted for the Augusta Chronicle, Morris News Service, and Fox 5 Atlanta.

[Jane Long]

Lou Dobbs - who has been on fire, about Trump, lately - made this exact same point, yesterday.

He said (summarizing), Here we have a candidate that is pulling in ALL of the groups that the GOP has long said they’ve wanted to attract, yet this candidate is being fought tooth and nail...every. step. of. the. way.

And, that if this were Yeb/any other candidate they’d be calling it for that candidate, already.

Lou has been doing such a great job of breaking down the Trump demos/force, on his show.

[xzins]

see #21

[2nd Amendment]

This is great! Invest the future of the Republic to a johny-come-lately “ conservative” who has never had to ask God for any forgiveness!

[WTFOVR]

I’ve been consistent in opining this - but there are many FReepers who, for whatever reason, do not “get it.” Trump has broad and deep demographic appeal: Cruz does not. It is that simple.

[TexasFreeper2009]

Trump should win South Carolina, but I dont think it will be by this big of a margin.

I am guessing the final numbers will be closer to:

Trump 30%
Cruz 25%

[xzins]

Dobbs is one of the best.

He defended Megyn Kelly when at first it appeared Trump was attacking her, but since then she has outed herself as ACTUALLY attacking Trump, and his defensiveness toward his employer, FoxNews, has abated.

[Cboldt]

Kasich says he does not expect to win here. He expects only to compete.

[TexasCruzin]

Kristol’s lies didn’t change a damn thing. Thank goodness.

[Parley Baer]

“So I guess Bill Krystol’s super secret mysterious poll from the magic land of fairy gumdrops and gingersnaps.....was a bit off?”

Bwahahaha. That is the first thought that came to my mind. This just shows what a partisan jerk Krystal is.

[lodi90]

I’ve been consistent in opining this - but there are many FReepers who, for whatever reason, do not “get it.” Trump has broad and deep demographic appeal: Cruz does not. It is that simple.

---

Denial isn’t just a river in Egypt. It’s understandable. I myself was duped by Cruz’s beltway theater performances for many years. Now I see him for the climbing careerist he is.

[Ohioan]

It is a long time from February till November. Trump's negatives among people to the right of center, will fade away, as more of them realize that he is not only for real; his disdain for political correctness has the potential to burst the chains that have defeated previous Conservative efforts to stop the erosion of our heritage.

Think about it It is precisely the stick with which many of our politicians, educators, clergymen, journalists, etc., have been beaten & held in line, by the Marxist influenced promoters of a new egalitarian/collectivist America.

[Flick Lives]

Good explanation on delegates for SC.

[Proudcongal]

Last night’s rally was awesome.

[vette6387]

And look at this polling with two earlier polls where the recent dropouts were included:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/sc/south_carolina_republican_presidential_primary-4151.html

Looks to me that the “beneficiary” (not that it matters ) of these people’s “supporters” was Kasich. Also, this poll is a large sample size and an MOE of 3.5%. This starts to put to bed the nonsense that Cruz (or anyone else) is “surging.” I will lay odds that SC will be the end of the line for everyone but Trump and perhaps Cruz, but since the GOPe is still trying to figure out how to ciminally disenfranchise all of us, the “Three Amigos” will press on to Nevada and Super Tuesday. I just wished that I had invested some money in Orville Reddenbacher Popcorn.

[newfreep]

How’s RushRINO dealing with the setback to St Canuck and Rubes, “the full-throated conservative”?

[Flick Lives]

Trump's Boeing is run along military lines, by people who could be working in the military. They are incredibly picky and time-sensitive. They are not exactly cowed by Trump, but they are constantly on the hop, and Trump keeps them that way. They could be on a military staff.

I call that good management.

[dragnet2]

[Ohioan]

You make excellent points--and they have more general applicability than just to the deep South. In our Ohio, many of us instinctively cringe when we hear someone with a strong New York accent, talking politics. That comes from a lifetime of hearing that accent promoting Leftist causes. Donald has not only put the PC crowd on the defensive. He has already broken through a major stereotype, which feeds regional antagonisms.

And it is only early February!

[rrrod]

Well said and true.....

[Syncro]

Bush supporters not too bright.