Posted on 02/10/2016 9:18:06 PM PST by GilGil
With the republican primary race now heading to South Carolina we take a look at the last verifiable polling (large sample, low MOE) which was taken by NBC and the Wall Street Journal in January (full pdf below).
Remember the golden rule of MSM polling. “When polls are silent, it generally means the outcomes are adverse to their preferred media narrative."
(Excerpt) Read more at theconservativetreehouse.com ...
Don’t tell Levin , Beck , and Cruz ...
For the last 16 years. I think this is the only primary that I pay so much attention to
Save us, future President Trump.
LOL!!
I’ve seen a lot of people on FR talking about how Cruz is going to win SC, because of the high number of evangelicals who vote in the primary. They never seem to have an answer when it’s pointed out that in the last poll (pre IA and NH) has Trump leading Cruz by 16 points. Sometimes they point out that the poll does take into account a hoped for IA bounce for Cruz. I grant them that, but point out that Trump had a massive crushing victory in NH, so if Cruz gets and IA bounce, Trump would likewise get a NH bounce. One poll I saw from FL taken AFTER IA doesn’t show that Cruz got much, if any, bounce from IA, because Trump still has a huge lead.
And Trump is leading by 19% over the same time frame in another. See post 9.
Plus keep in mind South Carolina does not have the hanky panky of the caucuses. That had a lot to do with the results. Look what they did to Bernie in Iowa.
Trump has a big lead. I thought the silly ad actually helped Trump look tough and like an action hero knocking down the house (which never happened).
Cruz has hardcore fans here (he’s my 2 and a SCOTUS pick).
But Trump has the momentum and the lead. A 1/2 finish would be great. Need to keep the Rubo/Bush votes well below Trump and Cruz.
You should read Dick Morris’ article on why it will be just Trump Cruz by March 15.
http://www.dickmorris.com/a-two-way-race-by-march/
What the Toe Sucker overlooks is the GOPe has to pay Kasich Rubio and Bush to play. They’ll likely pull the money strings and narrow it down to ONE establishment guy. Christie is already out, so they just need two more to die off after S.C.
Then they get Trump/Cruz war to go on and try to sneak up like Romney did.
Can anyone remember a candidate drawing these kind of crowds during primary season? Unprecedented.
I Stand With Ted! But, anyone who says Trump isn’t way ahead, or that it is unlikely Trump will prevail, is just whistlin’ Dixie. I wish it were otherwise, but in States that allow crossover voting in primaries, Trump will win handily. In some ways, that’s probably not a bad thing.
That’s just my opinion.
Oldplayer
Look at that security.
Wow. They have a good perimeter set up. Excellent.
Hope he has a vest on.
I’ll probably catch heck for this, but you know what folks, once in a while I like to see a crowd that looks like me.
There are others there too, but it’s just refreshing once in a while.
you will be disappointed. LOL
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