Posted on 02/08/2016 6:05:08 PM PST by Helicondelta
If present polling trends hold (a big "if"), then Donald Trump is poised to not just win the New Hampshire primary by double digits, he also stands to benefit greatly from a confused muddle of also-rans -- a cohort of candidates who may not do well enough to challenge his lead but also likely won't do poorly enough to leave the race.
Thus, the race would move on to South Carolina with Ted Cruz wounded slightly by the New Hampshire results, Rubio wounded badly, and the trio of governors energized just enough to stay in and keep attacking Rubio in the quest to gain exclusive ownership of the so-called "establishment lane."
Under this scenario, the loyal Trump plurality gives him disproportionate power not just in South Carolina but in the massive "SEC primary" that follows one week later.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
With the current N.H. weather forecast, it may be a matter of whose supporters can get to the polls.
Plus, of course, the question of just who will count the vote. Is Microsoft involved as they were in Iowa?
They are starting to see this, and there is this strange IA story of these precincts that went Rubio but when the caucus goers were called back, a lot said they supported Trump.
In short, the anti-Trumpers may not have won quite the victory in IA they thought.
At any rate, this is National Review again trying to demand that the GOPe unify around one candidate.
I thought I just read another article from national review that trump polls numbers were over inflated
I hate agreeing with NR but they are spot on here. And 2 weeks after SEC primaries are winner take all Florida and Ohio. Trump is ahead by a mile here in FL and TPA Teddy is DOA in Ohio outside of evangelicals. Trump could have this just about wrapped up by the middle of next month.
We were just chatting about this. Kasich in 2nd is the preferred finish followed by Bush/Rubio in either order and Cruz 5th. Sets up Trump nicely for future contests.
Could? About a certainty.
The bad NH news for Trump is that the ‘little’ candidates look like they will keep him from getting a majority of the delegates. (No, it doesn’t take a majority of the votes to do that. Romney did it with just less than 40%)
It takes winning 8 state delegations to get the nomination.
It’s a sure thing. But we need to stop the incessant trolling between noob trolls and even some of the older Freepers towards one another. Trump will not go anywhere if he cannot consolidate the party and FR won’t endure if we drive off half our elder donating members. We’ve lost too many good Freepers over the years. I wish I had the ban-hammer myself to shut down some of these newer trolls baiting folks against one another.
Trump and Cruz will hopefully do well, the rest don’t have the balls to build the wall.
Sure sure, AF trolling my posts...
Chasing Annapolis again.
J/K
Been saying similar things on other threads.
Kasich and Bush showing up can stem the Rubio tide and kill the momentum narrative.
That’s good for both Cruz and Trump IMHO.
It harbinges a solid 1-2 by the time we come out of the SECP, and sets up FL as the end of the party for Bush and Rubio.
Ending them fairly early takes them out of their brokered convention dreams of K St.
This uses the state-run election apparatus.
unless there are 3-4 feet of snow, most of us in snow country don’t think twice about a foot or two. We have our vehicles equipped with snow tires, and in many cases studded snow tires.
I don’t see the weather being a factor tomorrow. What I see is a lot of motivated voters who
...who will fight their way to vote?
The storm hitting the area today and tonight is just run of the mill for these parts. Most of New England got 3 to maybe 6-7 inches. By morning, everything will be back to normal.
I’m rooting for that dopey Kasich to finish second in NH...just to see the expression of defeat on Jebra’s face.
It takes 8 state delegations to be placed in nomination.
It takes a majority of all delegates to actually get the nomination.
It takes 8 state delegations to be placed in nomination.
It takes a majority of all delegates to actually get the nomination.
With the current N.H. weather forecast, it may be a matter of whose supporters can get to the polls.
Manchester NH forecast is 2” of snow. AKA a “porch duster”.
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