If that does happen, the very LAST thing the GOP should take such an event is one of validation of their efforts.
If it does happen, it will be a byproduct of disgust with 8 years of Obama, coupled with an abject condemnation of traditional GOP establishment candidates.
The ONLY way this happens is with a Cruz or Trump win, and it will be pure coat tails. GOPe is over in my book.
I thought we had “57”...
I think Republicans will win comfortably in November - maybe over 300 EV’s. Stupid shit like this, though, just makes me question Laffer’s sense.
He should stick with Supply Side Economics, it WILL NOT be that easy.
Run Jeb, Rubio, or just about any of the other kiddies, and THIRD PARTY will become a force and I, for one, will probably vote for it (definitely in the case of Rubio, Jeb, and some others). That’s how ANGRY I am with the GOPe...they gave this country to Obama for 8 years, and I’m sick of rewarding them.
Trump, on the other hand, definitely will win in a LANDSLIDE, particularly if he runs with a true conservative (like Cruz) given how extensive his support is and how brilliant he is as a campaigner. He’ll defeat any Democrat with ease.
Cruz should be able to defeat Hillary, given how compromised she is, but not a chance against a strong Democrat, like Elizabeth Warren and possible even Biden. He just doesn’t have the reach to overcome a motivated Democrat base.
As to Hillary, I think the odds become less and less every day that she winds up on the ticket. I agree with Laughter that her day is over (thank God), but her replacement will be MUCH TOUGHER to defeat, as that replace will bring out droves of Democrats...something she cannot do.
Yup. It's Trump or Cruz vs. Bernie or Hillary.
I won't settle - I want all 57!
I think he’s getting senile,but it”S not like any of the Republican candidates would do anything conservative.
IF Hillary is indicted and still the nominee, then maybe you get that kind of win, but I don’t think you are going to see that big of a landslide without something like that happening, no matter the nominee.
Time will tell.
But, but.. when the African muslim won re election in 2012 we were told the country had realigned ideologically, and along with demographic change the Democrat party were going to be in a permanent majority from then on. There was no way the GOP could ever win another national election again. So what happened ? What did I miss ?
The scary thing is that, if the Republicans retain the House, Senate and win the White House, they may actually have to lead.
That would require growing backbone.
However, if the GWBush years are any indicator, the Pubbies can win and still manage to lose the House and Senate fairly easily.
Yes. Or lose 47 states. Don’t count your chickens.
One slight revision of Laffer's analysis: ". . . it's about principles, not people."
For instance, the founding principles of "limited government" power, strict "division and separation of powers, with checks and balances," and "fidelity to the Constitution and its limits and bounds on the exercise of power" in all circumstances--these should be the measures by which citizens should choose the next President.
Following the attempts at eroding the Constitution's limits on power by this President, Republicans should choose a candidate who will vow that he/she will not choose to attempt to enact conservative values, using the same un-Constitutional tactics as this President. The Constitution's limits must be respected, no matter how frustrating is the process.
Not so fast. (D)ummies might say this to depress our turnout. Math challenged people that never have looked at the electoral demographics might say this out of ignorance.
The only way that such an event can happen is with wholesale defections from (D) voters to (R). Hence, if that headline story at drudge ...
DEMS DEFECT: 20% WOULD VOTE TRUMP!
... has any substance, THEN there is a chance to get a foot in the door in NY, CA, IL, MA, VT, but that door is not open in almost any scenario because of the padding of the "blue" state demographics with replacement voters from the welfare roles despite the exodus to "red" states.
Crossover voters are not only key, but they are the single most valuable thing there is. 5% of definite voters who crossover is a net 10 percent movement, absent them it would take an increase of 10% of new or stay at home voters to match 5% of definite crossovers. The (D)ummies are ripe for picking because Dumbo maxed out the (D)ummycrat turnout with his "historic" arrival.
Unfortunately I calculate a necessary 15% crossover being the minimum necessary to put NY into play. That is huge. 2% or 3% ( net 4% or 6% ) is all it takes to get most of the dozen swing states into play ( IA, NC, IN, MI, WI, NM, NV, FL, OH, PA, VA, CO ) and that is eminently do-able with the right candidate ( Dole and McCain and Romney could not ).
With the right candidate against a severely damaged (D)ummy with economic malaise and Second Amendment threats and terrorism and promise of jobs and tax cuts a perfect storm can certainly arise. However their actions with creating an alien invasion and citizenship and voting was and is their firewall and it must be overcome now or never.
It is a tall order. Up here in NY, President A-Hole actually improved in 2012 over 2008, which he did not manage in most other places, and this should highlight the problem in the enemy strongholds like NY State.
At least Trump is demonstrating what I had hoped to see, a genuine 50-state strategy, something the (R)INOcrat establishment never had cross their minds. If it is for real, he can definitely win this thing, but we should leave landslide out of our vocabulary for now.
Reality Check: At this moment it is quite possible that Trump could actually win the popular vote but still easily lose the electoral college in a perfect reversal of 2000. We can not take anything for granted this year.
There is not a single poll, or trend in public opinion tracking to suggest this.
The fact is there are too many dependent types, for medical, unemployment, disability, welfare, food stamps, student loans, and government employment.
It will be made clear to them by the democrats, that their money would be cut off by Republicans, even if untrue.
Ie. the 47% mentioned by Romney, which has not diminished.
I have NOT heard Republicans talking about cutting those funds off.
We need more conservative governors ... AND more State Legislatures... This is the path.
None of the other candidates have showed me anything.
Only 47???
Didn’t King Obama declare that there are 57???
RR was a landslide. TRUMP is a giant TSUNAMI. Waves of flood waters over the country to clean out the mess of the previous landslide, the corruption, criminals taking all the trash back into the waters of the deep blue sea. This country is about to see something like we ain’t never seen before!
GO TRUMP/CRUZ
Make AMERICA ours again
I like Arthur Laffer, but he is smoking crack if he thinks Jeb Bush could carry 47 states in the highly unlikely event should he be the nominee.
California, Washington, Oregon, New York, New Jersey, Colorado... Sorry, not going to happen.
I see very few blue states flipping, and a couple of purple up for the dems (Virginia has a very strong anti GOP vibe now).
This is at best mistaken, at worst propaganda.