Posted on 12/23/2015 7:10:48 AM PST by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
Donald Trump has been a front-runner in the 2016 presidential election since he entered the race over the summer, and now new analysis of the polls has suggested that Americans may actually be understating their support for him.
In an analysis conducted by Morning Consult, it was discovered that Trump has done better in online polls than in surveys conducted over the phone.
The study noted: "Trump receives about 5 percentage points more support among registered Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents online compared with live telephone interviews."
The firm's polling director, Kyle Dropp, spoke with the Los Angeles Times and explained why Trump's support may appear higher in online polls and why the online polls are more accurate.
Dropp noted that many of Trump's supporters, especially those with college educations, are "less likely to say that they support him when they're talking to a live human" than when they are in the "anonymous environment."
In fact, the study showed that adults answering questions about Trump on the phone were more likely to hide their opinion from the surveyor because of "a social desirability bias in which respondents answer questions in a manner they believe will be viewed favorably by others."
On the other hand, blue-collar Republicans answered the same regardless of the method.
The study was widespread. Some 2,397 potential Republican voters were polled in early December, either by telephone survey, an online survey or by an interactive dialing technique.
Dropp said that the results of the experiment were clear.
"Voters are about 6 points more likely to support Trump when they're taking the poll online then when they're talking to a live interviewer," he said.
While Trump continues to lead in the Republican Party primary, voters may be surprised by Trump's overwhelming number of supporters.
(Excerpt) Read more at conservativetribune.com ...
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I always felt that is what the answering machine / voice mail are for.
From the article (which is on our side) I saw this phrase ".....Trump supporters with college educations..."
Wait a minute...there ARE no college-educated Trump supporters. All the anchors, pundits, panel members and guests tell us so, every day, every night!
They quote fraudulent polls to prove that most Trump supporters never attended college and are uneducated, low-lower-lowest class, uninformed, non-open minded, unsophisticated, bigoted, racist, homophobic, narrow-minded, prehistoric and simplistic boobs....like me.
Leni
...and me.
Exactly.
Good Catch!!! You said it, we aren’t suppose to be ‘educated’ LOLOL!!!
I am around a lot of teachers in a conservative area. They seem to lean Trump because he can’t be bought. Then there is this young teacher who was a big Carson supporter and big Trump hater. I am not sure why the hate. She is young, naive, easily influenced by a soft, squishy, feel good package. And then there are some of my military friends and family. They are terrified of Trump. From officers to enlisted.
The people they are polling probably have higher paying jobs, where they fear what their colleague may think.
It would be a factor I suppose.
That’s one I’m not sure of.
Wow. Interesting mix.
That’s right! I caught that too! That’s why I posted this article!
Trump has voters from ALL demographics and educational backgrounds!
Merry Christmas!
A couple of my friends answer and lie
Every day is a new Pole.
Why don’t they ask a Rumanian or a Ukrainian for once?
>>>typically votes democratic<<<
This is Free Republic. We say Democrat, not Democratic when referring to that Domestic Terrorist group.
There is nothing Democratic about the Democrat Party.
Even Trump says “Democrat” Party. LOL
I don’t think that’s uncommon. Most people don’t like to be inconvenienced.
I should have used democRAT party actually.
DemoncRat is more accurate. LOL
We were discussing over dinner. Four Trump supporters Four with masters degrees. All knew multiple others. Many small business people also on list.
My democrat cohort on election board is planning on voting for Trump in the fall. She states she is not alone!
Like in a voting booth n'est-il pas?
WOW....love that your sister is a Trump supporter and that Trump’s numbers are as high as they are....on line.
That annoyed me too, but with President Trump, we will all be FREE to say exactly what we think, without the fear of the IRS coming down on us.
Mark Steyn is filling in for Rush and he just did a segment on this. He’s getting call after call saying that they have college degrees and they are all in for Trump. :-)
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