TED CRUZ MAKES HUGE LEAP, now just FOUR points away from Trump in new poll!!!

Right Scoop ^ | 12/22/15 | Staff

[VinL]

Ted Cruz is going to wake up to an early Christmas gift from the polling elves at Quinnipiac University, as their new results show him making a YUGE leap in popularity to gain on the front-runner Trump. For his part, he increased by one point as well.

Donald Trump’s perch atop the 2016 presidential polls is looking a little shakier this morning.

In the latest Quinnipiac University national survey released Tuesday, Trump leads Texas Sen. Ted Cruz by just four percentage points.

Trump’s share remained essentially unchanged from the university’s last poll, ticking up one point to 28 percent. Cruz, meanwhile, shot up eight percentage points to 24 percent.

Florida Sen. Marco Rubio finished third with 12 percent, a five-point drop since late November, while retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson continued his downward spiral with 10 percent, a six-point hit in the same period. New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie registered 6 percent, his highest level of support in a telephone poll since late May. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush took 4 percent, while all other candidates earned 2 percent or less and 8 percent remained undecided. Of those who named a candidate, 58 percent of Republican voters said they might change their mind before voting in their state’s primary.

Cruz commanded pluralities of support over Trump among those describing themselves as members of the tea party (38 percent to 27 percent) and white, born-again Evangelical Christians (33 percent to 22 percent). Cruz also led Trump among very conservative supporters (38 percent to 27 percent), while Trump led at least nominally in every other demographic polled.

But it’s close. Among men, for example, Cruz trails Trump 30 percent to 29 percent, while among those with a college degree, he trails 24 percent to 21 percent.

In other results, it looks like Cruz does best in a head-to-head competition with Hillary, but he finishes even:

[alstewartfan]

What do you mean, “even the GOP-e”? They are part of the Democrat Party. You use the words “ultra”, “right wing”, “hard liner”, “extremist”. Just what Karl Rove wants us to think! Ted is the best solution, and I believe that the vast majority of Americans who know the country is going down will vote for Ted over Hillary.

[Jeff Head]

Well, here's my latest average polls for the GOP Presidential race.

I have been taking the top four polls each week and averaging them. Here are this week's polls:

And here is what the trend lines look like by candidate over the entire time:

Those number speak for themselves.

I then compare my averages and trend lines to Real Clear Politics who also does averaging of the major polls...but they use more. Here's how their numbers look:

Tracking very close.

Trump continues to rise...but Cruz is rising too. In my averages, the two of them now have just under 51% of the polling. Real Clear Politics has them even higher at 51.6%.

Carson has dropped off to 9%, Rubio is around 10%. This means the top four are polling 70% of the polling data now.

Everyone else is polling at 4.5% or less.

Right now it is a two man horse race, with Trump well out in front, but Cruz continuing to rise.

IMHO, they should only allow the top four on the main stage in the future debates.

[cport]

I would argue that his appearances in front of the SCOTUS as Texas’ Solicitor General well establish his conservative achievements, which include successful oral arguments in the Heller 2nd Amendment decision and defending national sovereignty against the International Court of Justice in Medellin vs. Texas. Conservative talk only indeed.

[sitetest]

Then they aren’t actual conservatives. Sen. Cruz would alienate a large part of his currently-dedicated base by association with them ultimate establishment guy, the guy who admits to buying politicians of both parties to engage in crony capitalism to make billions.

[sitetest]

Lol.

[Blue Turtle]

Not doing a good job, is he? Obama is dumping them everywhere...

[American Constitutionalist]

A poll that has Trump still in the lead, I am shocked.. Sarcasm.

But once Trump is not in the lead it will be a bogus poll.

[bolobaby]

FYI - Bringing up a candidate’s history is not a good idea if you support Trump. Because if you REALLY want to go back and start looking at a candidate’s past...

[American Constitutionalist]

Right, that’s ironic to say with the double standard the Trump supporters have set over the past few months proclaiming that TRUMP is already President elect, Trump already has it in the bag even making lists on whom should be his cabinet picks..

Pleaaasssee give me a break...

They even with their smugg selves have with their comdensending attitudes say that President Trump can pick Ted CRUZ as VP.

This has been going on for months on end with the Trump supporters.

It’s called double standard.

[inpajamas]

winning doesn’t matter, success after winning does. Trump cannot deliver what he boasts.

[moehoward]

Your right. He’s the picture of failure. /s

[EvilCapitalist]

Got it. So when a poll shows Trump in the lead, it is infallible. And when a poll shows Trump NOT in the lead, it must be wrong.

[jaydee770]

Didn’t intend to lead you to think I was blaming you for the post — the post is appreciated. I was just pointing out how I can’t trust *any* poll. To put it another way, I consider these polls like I consider the media — simply biased. Just like I couldn’t trust the media to report on an “even playing field”, I see no reason for anyone to expect them to cover Trump with the kid-gloves they use to cover Hillary.

Similarly, I can’t find any reason to think the pollsters would construct and conduct a poll fairly for anyone opposed to their favorite dem (or gop’er for that matter) candidate.

Even with Real Clear Politics — they may present an average of many polls, but it’s still garbage-in/garbage-out if they are averaging biased-polls however slightly or blatantly biased they may be.

Yet another example I read today — I used to think that Luntz tended to be more of a straight shooter and we find out today that they selectively edited his muslim panel video to fit an agenda, which calls into question all of his work.

So no offense at all intended towards you, but when it comes to polls, all I see with the hype around each poll is the media applying their spin & propaganda, giving easily led low-info-voters their instructions on how to vote. And this is regardless of whether the poll appears good or bad to my favorite candidate.

[MIA_eccl1212]

I post an opinion about a poll.
And you make a personal attack.
I sent Ted money.
I’m not a pipe dreamer but I recognize an outlier when I see one. Acting like that as a cruise supporter by attacking and making such a statement about me reflects poorly on Ted and those of us who actually do support him financially.
When the majority of polls show him catching up instead of one or two out of 20 or however many there are right now, then we can say Ted is making a move until then one or two outliers mean nothing.

[kygolfman]

No offense taken.

I guess I have questioned polls less since 2012.
I think a lot of us expected Romney to win.
We thought the polls were underrepresenting his numbers, and in fact most of the polls were fairly accurate.

[inpajamas]

You could say the same about Soros. Good at good is not the same.

[gwgn02]

CRUZmentum!!! up Up UP UP!!!!

[bolobaby]

I do love how you contradict yourself though.

Cruz has been a senator less than three years!

He’s a career politician!

Cognitive dissonance on display.

[dp0622]

shouldn’t even put those two in the same sentence.

Cruz runs circles around Carson.

[lodi90]

It was the right question and I was asking you!

I will ask those other people the same question.

---

Cruz does seem to have the “I don’t vote for liberals” demo sewn up. They will take their ball and go home when Trump wins the nomination. OTOH, Trump supporters IME universally wouldn’t have a problem backing Cruz in the general should Trump fail. That’s the difference in the two camps right there.