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Polls may actually underestimate Trump's support, study finds
dailypress.com ^ | David Lauter

Posted on 12/21/2015 5:29:30 AM PST by RoosterRedux

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To: onyx

It’s kinda like the MSM mantra, “more guns, fewer owners” since people are reluctant to answer phone pollsters’ asking “Do you own guns & if yes, how many?”

“Do you support Donald Trump, YOU RACIST!!?”

;^)


21 posted on 12/21/2015 6:12:44 AM PST by elcid1970 ("The Second Amendment is more important than Islam.")
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To: usafa92

Ted Cruz’ lead in Iowa, and four bucks, will get you a cup of coffee at Starbucks.

Still six weeks out, that is all it means.

Ted Cruz may, if the needle is threaded exactly right, end up as the Republican Presidential candidate. At the moment, the issue is in a great deal of doubt, with no degree of certainty for anybody.

But beyond the Republican primary, there is a much wider pool of potential voters, and there is a sort of double campaign going on right now, one for the primary, and one for the general. In the general, The Donald has an appeal that is magnetic in nature, among what many here term the “low-information” voters. Face it, folks, partisans determine the primary winners, but charisma determines the general winners. And charisma showered on the “low-information” voters is what wins elections. They simply have to be persuaded to vote the “right” way, even if for all the wrong reasons.

There are way more of them than there are of us.


22 posted on 12/21/2015 6:17:36 AM PST by alloysteel (Do not argue with trolls. That means they win.)
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To: Yashcheritsiy

I don’t know if you’re being sarcastic or not, but Trump has put out more salient position papers in his plans than other candidates.

All the more sweeter is that he’s showing promise in a stronger relationship with Russians than with the Chinese.


23 posted on 12/21/2015 6:18:54 AM PST by Fhios (How about we call it a a war on sharia law?)
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To: Fhios
I was being sarcastic. To hear the hard-core of Cruz's supporters put it, Ted Cruz plays ten-dimensional chess and moves the pieces with his mind!
24 posted on 12/21/2015 6:20:42 AM PST by Yashcheritsiy (Aeterna Aduersus Tyrannos)
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To: stanne

Cruz is running an ad blitz here in Texas, not a good sign. He should be able to carry his home state of Texas without an ad blitz. I have not heard a single ad for Trump and last time I checked Trump was ahead in Texas.


25 posted on 12/21/2015 6:22:45 AM PST by jpsb (Believe nothing until it has been officially denied, Otto Von Bismarck)
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To: RoosterRedux

Lots of “quiet” Trump supporters. Myself included. I will tell people to their face I prefer Rubio or Christie (I admit I’m pretty RINO but I’m a long time freeper) but I know neither of them will get it.


26 posted on 12/21/2015 6:28:12 AM PST by tellw
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To: jpsb

Cruz is running an ad blitz here in Texas, not a good sign. He should be able to carry his home state of Texas without an ad blitz. I have not heard a single ad for Trump and last time I checked Trump was ahead in Texas.
__________________________________________________________

If true, that does not bode well for Cruz.

You do, however, hear ads for Trump 24/7. No newscast is complete without a Trump segment. Why waste money on commercials between the free ads?


27 posted on 12/21/2015 6:31:05 AM PST by FerociousRabbit
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To: FerociousRabbit

Being part of a newscast is significantly better than a paid advertisement.


28 posted on 12/21/2015 6:34:40 AM PST by RoosterRedux (Long is the way and hard, that out of Hell leads up to light - John Milton, Paradise Lost)
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To: HarleyLady27

Same here, my friends will gladly lie to any polling just to see how much it messes them up.


29 posted on 12/21/2015 6:37:54 AM PST by Daniel Ramsey (Trump to win! He wins, we win, the nation wins!)
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To: FerociousRabbit

“She’s a liar everybody know that” LOL, on national TV too. Telling like it is, in plain language is why Trump is ahead. Trump explodes more heads than all the other (GOP) candidates combined.


30 posted on 12/21/2015 6:38:12 AM PST by jpsb (Believe nothing until it has been officially denied, Otto Von Bismarck)
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To: RoosterRedux

I was ‘polled’ Friday night by a Gallup pollster, or so they said......................


31 posted on 12/21/2015 6:41:32 AM PST by Red Badger (READ MY LIPS: NO MORE BUSHES!...............)
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To: stanne

But . . . he’s “surging.”


32 posted on 12/21/2015 6:41:43 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: RoosterRedux

I believe this to e true because they are not polling democrats who plan to vote for Trump


33 posted on 12/21/2015 6:42:41 AM PST by silverleaf (Age takes a toll: Please have exact change)
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To: jpsb

“She’s a liar everybody know that” LOL, on national TV too. Telling like it is, in plain language is why Trump is ahead. Trump explodes more heads than all the other (GOP) candidates combined.

Truth in politics is hate speech. Got to reach across the aisle and bend over, that is the only acceptable way.


34 posted on 12/21/2015 6:49:36 AM PST by JayAr36 (How much more corruption will we willing to take from the Washington???????)
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To: RoosterRedux

I believe Trump has far more support than any of the polls are actually picking up.... I know the GOPe currently is hoping for a contested convention, but I fully expect Trump to not just have a plurality, but a straight majority at least from the election side, doesn’t mean the GOPe won’t try to play games with superdelgates.


35 posted on 12/21/2015 6:51:53 AM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: jpsb
"She's a liar everybody know that" LOL, on national TV too. Telling like it is, in plain language is why Trump is ahead. Trump explodes more heads than all the other (GOP) candidates combined.

Watching the CNN Cuomo try to swallow his human face with his lizard mouth this morning was worth a pay per view. He was reacting with anger to Donald asking Cankles for an apology.

36 posted on 12/21/2015 6:53:00 AM PST by Stentor
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To: RoosterRedux

This might be the case, a kind of Bradley effect. While I would support him in the general, I am a little embarrassed to admit to others that I would, unless the express support for Trump first.


37 posted on 12/21/2015 7:00:42 AM PST by Paradox (Not on the Trump Bandwagon, but I do enjoy the show.)
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To: Stentor

LOL, got a link? I’d like to see that.


38 posted on 12/21/2015 7:03:59 AM PST by jpsb (Believe nothing until it has been officially denied, Otto Von Bismarck)
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To: RoosterRedux

Probably correct. I’ve thought for some time, with fewer landlines and more cell only voters, that an online polling company with a large database of voters, scientifically categorized as to various demographics, etc., could conduct polls with more accurate samples than one relying on telephone calls.


39 posted on 12/21/2015 7:08:44 AM PST by Will88
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To: RoosterRedux

I would like to believe this, and they have some evidence, but overall we placed way, way too much stock in the “Wilder Effect” in 2008 and 2012. So I prefer to take the polls as they are-—good and bad.


40 posted on 12/21/2015 7:15:18 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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