This poll is a week old...why post it?
Spock “ Interesting “
While no one was looking, Pataki has had a dramatic surge in the polls. Former NY Gov. and certain-to-be nominee George Pataki has gone from O to 0.9% in just a few days! => http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR130/filters/PARTY_ID_:2,LIKELY_PRIMARY15:1,PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20150823-20151127/type/smallest
I thought New Hampshire was the bellwether state for how the nomination should go. Here’s the Nov. 18th Fox News poll out of New Hampshire:
1. Donald Trump: 27%
2. Marco Rubio: 13%
3. Ted Cruz: 11%
4. Jeb Bush: 9%
4. Ben Carson: 9%
6. John Kasich: 7%
7. Chris Christie: 6%
Gilmore, Pataki, and Graham leveling off at 0.
My sense is that Cruz supporters are more “solid” than Trump supporters. Cruz appears to move only in one direction: Up
I am new here and just figuring out the coding to post. I came here for Trump and making America great again. But every one of my posts is censored for approval. It is getting tiring posting and figuring out this code and then it taking a day for each post to post.
It is easy to drop by the polls after work and vote for somebody. It takes more time to go sit at a caucus. So you need to poll true believers in Iowa. And because of that, I think Bernie is going to do very well against the Hilldebeast.
On the R side, I can go either way on Trump's support, which makes it interesting. He is getting a lot of non-traditional voter support, which makes me wonder whether people who support him, the non-political, will take the time to go caucus for him. But on the other side, he draws huge crowds. Those people are obviously taking the time to go see him.
Having participated in several Iowa caucuses, I think Cruz will win Iowa. And if I have to pick up top 3 (because the nominee will be one of the top 3 in Iowa), I think the order will be Cruz, Trump, Rubio.
The poll is a week old, thats ancient history in Iowa as we come down to the wire.2 days old is history at this point.
Trump never left the lead. The truth is his real lead is probably being hushed.