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Why Trump Isn't Fading Like the Establishment Expected
Washington Post via RCP ^ | 10/27/2015 | Marc Thiessen

Posted on 10/27/2015 2:26:51 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

The conventional wisdom among Donald Trump’s detractors is that his current surge in the polls won’t last because as we get closer to actual voting, Republicans excited by his political incorrectness will start factoring in “electability.” When GOP voters realize that he can’t beat Hillary Clinton, the theory goes, they will switch their support to other more electable candidates.

One problem with that theory: Right now, GOP voters believe Trump is the most electable candidate.

A new Post/ABC News poll asked GOP-leaning voters which candidate “has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2016?” The winner was Trump by a landslide. An incredible 43 percent of GOP voters say that Trump is the most electable GOP candidate. In a distant second place, Ben Carson trails Trump on electability by 27 points, while Jeb Bush — whose entire rationale for his campaign is electability — trails Trump on electability by 30 points. Since the same poll found Trump with 32 percent support, that means even GOP voters who do not support Trump still believe he is most likely to beat the Democrats in 2016. A new Associated Press-GfK poll confirms this, finding that “Seven in 10 Republicans and Republican-leaning registered voters say they think Trump could win in November 2016 if he were nominated; that’s the most of any Republican candidate.”

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016; donaldtrump; elections; gop; polls; trump
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To: sparklite2

Jeb “Tippy Toes” Bush


41 posted on 10/27/2015 3:23:01 PM PDT by Roger Kaputnik (Just because I'm paranoid doesn't prove that they aren't out to get me.)
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To: ExTexasRedhead

This is what I’m finding on craigslist today - I did check, The Nugget shows all tickets sold out. $50 is a steep price for free tickets but I’ll bet they get it.

4 Donald Trump rally 10/29 tickets - $50 (Sparks,NV)
tuesday 2015-10-27
number available: 4
venue: Nugget Casino
4 tickets to the sold out Trump Rally at the Nugget in Sparks on 10/29.
$50 each.
Email delivery.
Paypal accepted


42 posted on 10/27/2015 3:30:14 PM PDT by Duchess47 ("One day I will leave this world and dream myself to Reality" Crazy Horse)
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To: sparklite2

Jeb Bush’ entire rationale for his campaign he’s a Bush and it’s his turn.


43 posted on 10/27/2015 3:32:16 PM PDT by Hugin ("First thing--get yourself a firearm!" Sheriff Ed Galt, Last Man Standing.)
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To: Marcella
So, he isn’t taking this one seriously and says he is surprised he isn’t leading in Iowa.

A serious question: Does Iowa even matter?
Aren't these just caucuses that result in zero electoral votes (the real primary occurs in May, or something)?
I understand that this is important for 'PR', and if you are on a shoe-string budget you need to build the 'Media momentum' by winning this fake popularity contest - but it really means zero vote-wise. And for someone like Trump, who is pretty much funding his own campaign (and getting free Advertisement from the Media that dogs him at every step), don't these caucuses mean nothing?

44 posted on 10/27/2015 3:36:13 PM PDT by El Cid (Believe on the Lord Jesus Christ, and thou shalt be saved, and thy house...)
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To: Fantasywriter

“Can you not comprehend that if we lose the country to a permanent Democrat super-majority, we lose ALL the issues forever?”

Look past the DC criminal syndicate. Conservatives/patriots completely control 26 states. The rats control 11. The states are where the battle for control of the country will be decided.


45 posted on 10/27/2015 3:43:53 PM PDT by sergeantdave
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To: dragnet2

I think you are right.


46 posted on 10/27/2015 3:49:00 PM PDT by painter ( Isaiah: “Woe to those who call evil good and good evil,")
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To: dp0622

I wish i knew how to post.

click the following, select the forum you want to post in,
click it and fill in the blanks as instructed.

http://www.freerepublic.com/perl/post_article

Be sure and don’t post articles from the restricted sites:
list here: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1111944/posts


47 posted on 10/27/2015 3:50:24 PM PDT by deport
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To: mlizzy

Our relationship with him and support of Israel is the top issue with God.

¡Yeb! sinks to the bottom of the ocean on the Israel issue as well. The Bushes have been tightly connected to the house of Saud for decades.


48 posted on 10/27/2015 3:51:01 PM PDT by MrEdd (Heck? Geewhiz Cripes, thats the place where people who don't believe in Gosh think they aint going.)
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To: GilGil

Bump to that!


49 posted on 10/27/2015 3:52:05 PM PDT by painter ( Isaiah: “Woe to those who call evil good and good evil,")
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To: sergeantdave

I was referring to the wide open borders and the horde of foreign invaders. It is the Dems stated plan to prevail on all their agenda items once they have’imported’ a sufficient number of new lifetime Dem voters.


50 posted on 10/27/2015 4:24:38 PM PDT by Fantasywriter (Any attempt to do forensic work using Internet artifacts is fraught with pitfalls. JoeProbono)
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To: SeekAndFind

An why all of the establishment candidates have never got any tractions and are now on life support, i.e. Jeb Bush, et al.


51 posted on 10/27/2015 4:26:54 PM PDT by dirtymac (Now is the time for all good men (people) to come o he aid of their coutry!)
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To: Psalm 144
Yeb hasn’t received permission to leave the room.

You are so right.

When he does leave, we'll know that his puppet masters have chosen a new puppet.

52 posted on 10/27/2015 4:29:20 PM PDT by Balding_Eagle (The Great Wall of Trump ---- 100% sealing of the border. Coming soon.)
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To: El Cid
“Aren't these just caucuses that result in zero electoral votes...? I understand that this is important for ‘PR’, and if you are on a shoe-string budget you need to build the ‘Media momentum’ by winning this ...contest - but it really means zero vote-wise. And for Trump, ...don't these caucuses mean nothing?”

Below is an explanation how the Iowa Caucus results in electoral delegates to the national convention.

Yes, a weaker candidate is helped by winning this caucus - it causes national voters to consider this candidate, especially if the candidate is number three or four or five. It can boost such a candidate upwards into a higher rank which is important for the next debate, plus the candidate will eventually get the electoral Iowa delegates.

It does hurt a front runner if he doesn't win this caucus because it raises questions as to why he didn't win and some of his national supporters may switch to the winner, if they weren't totally in the tank already for that candidate. He also doesn't get the Iowa final electoral delegates to vote for him at the national convention. There were 25 Republican delegates from Iowa the last time, in 2012. Not a huge number of delegates, but the loser doesn't get them.

How the Iowa caucus works:
“Unlike the first-in-the-nation primary in New Hampshire, the Iowa caucus does not result directly in national delegates for each candidate. Instead, caucus-goers elect delegates to county conventions, who in turn elect delegates to district and state conventions where Iowa's national convention delegates are selected. Ironically, the state conventions do not take place until the end of the primary and caucus season: Iowa is in fact one of the very last states to choose its delegates.[3]”

53 posted on 10/27/2015 4:41:22 PM PDT by Marcella (CRUZ (Prepping can save you life today.))
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To: Fantasywriter

“It is the Dems stated plan to prevail on all their agenda items once they have’imported’ a sufficient number of new lifetime Dem voters.”

Agreed. And it will be the task of the states and local governments to thwart that plan. Our county sheriff already has volunteer deputies set to act against the alien invaders.


54 posted on 10/27/2015 4:45:56 PM PDT by sergeantdave
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To: sergeantdave
The states are where the battle for control of the country will be decided.

Yep I send my income tax to the governor every year so he can keep the Army standing tall. </s>

55 posted on 10/27/2015 11:33:05 PM PDT by itsahoot (55 years a republican-Now Independent. Will write in Sarah Palin, no matter who runs. RIH-GOP)
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To: sparklite2

The fact that there are GOP of all ilk still supporting JEB! shows the inner decrepitude of the GOP.


56 posted on 10/27/2015 11:35:47 PM PDT by x_plus_one (Remember when sucking it up was considered a life skill?)
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To: Paladin2; stephenjohnbanker
For me, Rove resembles Juan.--¡Sí! Let them get a room--elsewhere than the White House.


57 posted on 10/27/2015 11:52:14 PM PDT by PhilDragoo (Hussein: Islamo-Commie from Fakistan)
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To: PhilDragoo

LOL....good one Phil!


58 posted on 10/28/2015 8:47:15 AM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (My Batting Average( 1,000) since Nov 2014 (GOPe is that easy to read))
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To: stephenjohnbanker
It presented as a blocked reported attack site--I suspect a tool of liberal electioneering a la their closet god Stalin. Unchecked block reported attack sites under security setting.
59 posted on 10/28/2015 12:43:57 PM PDT by PhilDragoo (Hussein: Islamo-Commie from Fakistan)
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To: PhilDragoo

“It presented as a blocked reported attack site—I suspect a tool of liberal electioneering a la their closet god Stalin.”

And even Stalin is outta the closet.


60 posted on 10/28/2015 12:46:02 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (My Batting Average( 1,000) since Nov 2014 (GOPe is that easy to read))
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