Posted on 10/21/2015 5:57:26 AM PDT by jimbo123
A new Monmouth University poll shows former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who had been considered the GOP presidential front-runner before entering the race this summer, is continuing to bleed support.
According to the poll, the results were: Donald Trump: 28 percent Ben Carson: 18 percent Ted Cruz: 10 percent Carly Fiorina: 6 percent Marco Rubio: 6 percent Jeb Bush: 5 percent Mike Huckabee: 4 percent Rand Paul: 4 percent Chris Christie: 3 percent Rick Santorum: less than 1 percent George Pataki: less than 1 percent Lindsey Graham: less than 1 percent Bobby Jindal: less than 1 percent John Kasich: less than 1 percent Jim Gilmore: less than 1 percent
The results were mostly unchanged from Monmouth's September poll. Most stayed within 2 percentage points of last month's support, which is within the poll's margin of error.
But Bush has fallen in every Monmouth poll taken since the summer and is now 10 points below his July numbers.
(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...
If you understand statisitics, this is a meaningless poll.
Bonfire of the inanities.
via telephone - they never would have been able to contact me...
For this reason I am very grateful for Jeb's candidacy.
I'm also grateful to the Bush family for making Mitt an offer he couldn't refuse early on in the campaign.
Yup, we have a lot to be thankful to the Bushes for this year.
He’s a dweeb boy
Loves his mama
Loves K-Street
And illegals too
He’s his dad’s boy
Crazy about RINOs
Loves spending
And the Chamber too
He’s FREEEEEEEEEEEE.....
Free Falling
FREEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE
Free Falling
LOL!
Jeb who?
If he continues his free fall in the polls, Jeb will be at the kid’s table for the debates soon. To paraphrase Churchill about the campaign “experts”: “Never have so many spent so much to achieve so little”.
So the Oct 28 debate should be Trump, Carson, Cruz, Carly, Rubio, Bush, Huckabee, Paul, Christie, Santorum ???
With Pataki, Graham, Jindal, Kasich, Gilmore at the kiddie table ???
It’s not meaningless, not when read alongside other similar polls. It’s just not something to trust completely over small differences.
I wish that Santorum, Pataki, Graham, Jindal, Kasich, and Gilmore would drop out. They are going nowhere and serving as a very small distraction. I hope Jeb/Rubio/Christie will all stay in together to split the pro-Amnesty big government liberal RINO vote three ways.
More appropriate would be:
Standing at podiums: Trump, Carson, Cruz, Carly
Sitting in a high chair: Jeb!
All I want right now is to get down to 8 candidates in te debates, mainly so Cruz gets a chance to debate.
:)
I would like to see Trump, Cruz, Carson, Rubio, Bush. All the others should drop out. It will be one of these guys. Bush is the next to drop.
Yep! These polls are going to be more and more off if they keep using antiquated technology! ;-)
No seriously! landlines are pretty much gone. Cellphones made area codes irrelevant. Phone polls will be further and further off in the coming years!
that’s fine but if you think Yeb has even 5% you are nuts
Here are the problems with the poll:
1. The poll is registered voters, not likely voters.
2. The poll has a sample of 1012 registered voters, but the results are based upon a sub-sample of only 348 registered voters, and only 262 of that sub-sample identified as republicans.
3. The margin of error among subsets of the sub-sample is significantly higher than the overall margin of error of 5.3% for the sub-sample as a whole. (This should send up red flags.)
4. The 5.3% margin of error really means there is a 95% chance that the poll results are accurate within a 10.6% spread and a 5% chance that the poll results are completely screwed up (as opposed to merely suspect). In other words, the margin of error for this poll is 32.5% greater than a poll with a more typical 4% margin of error, and 76.7% greater than a poll with a 3% margin of error.
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