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Models are starting to come into agreement about a possible east coast impact
1 posted on 09/30/2015 4:52:38 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

All I know is my flight is Friday night and it’s not hitting till Sunday :)


2 posted on 09/30/2015 4:56:05 AM PDT by dp0622
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To: All

Record warm water in the area, diminishing shear, improving outflow, pushing dry air away, nothing I can see to halt this storm from becoming a major hurricane.


3 posted on 09/30/2015 4:56:16 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

Yesterday it looked like it would stay away from the coast.
Looks closer now


4 posted on 09/30/2015 4:56:17 AM PDT by nuconvert ( Khomeini promised change too // Hail, Chairman O)
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To: dirtboy

Soon the global warming cult will be calling for more sacrifices on the altar of climate change. Surely this hurricane is Mother Gaia’s wrath that we did not drive enough electric cars, had air conditioning and didn’t use enough solar and wind power.


14 posted on 09/30/2015 5:28:51 AM PDT by The Great RJ (“Socialists are happy until they run out of other people's money.” Margaret Thatcher)
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To: dirtboy

Get someone to read the data to you. Its track is SW at 6 mph. It’s headed for Cuba or into the Gulf. In order to come up the coast it would have to nearly REVERSE from its current track.


16 posted on 09/30/2015 5:39:51 AM PDT by Tucker39 (Welcome to America! Now speak English; and keep to the right....In driving, in Faith, and politics.)
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To: dirtboy

It still won’t be a major hurricane when it hits. Maybe a cat 1 at most.


19 posted on 09/30/2015 5:45:36 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: dirtboy

And the global warming alarmists will be cheering Joaquin on hoping it hits landfall somewhere near NYC causing as much damage as possible. We have to push the agenda doncha know


23 posted on 09/30/2015 5:50:52 AM PDT by PaulZe
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To: dirtboy

http://flhurricane.com/
7:45AM EDT Update 30 September 2015
Based on a recon report of 971 mb, Joaquin has been upgraded to a category 1 hurricane. The forecast track is very uncertain, and relies on how far west and south the system goes. It is forecast to near the central Bahamas then turn late Friday. Beyond that, anyone along the east coast should be paying attention.


http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/showflat.php?Number=95971&gonew=1#UNREAD
Re: TS Joaquin Lounge [Re: MikeC]
#96001 - Wed Sep 30 2015 07:24 AM

0z Euro maintains the earlier idea of going into the Central Bahamas briefly then bouncing northeast out to sea. Euro ensembles also shift east, but most still have a us impact. The possibly phantom low being created off the carolina coast seems to be why the operational Euro kicks the system off to the northeast.

6z GFS closes Central Bahamas approach Friday early morning hours. Landfall Cape Hatteras Sunday morning closer to noon as a major hurricane. so a slight shift south from the earlier run.

In short, models still aren’t much help in this setup. It all really depends on how far west/south Joaquin gets. The entire east coast needs to watch, and the mid-Atlantic in particular.


32 posted on 09/30/2015 6:02:52 AM PDT by No One Special
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To: dirtboy

bkmk


34 posted on 09/30/2015 6:12:29 AM PDT by novemberslady
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To: dirtboy

Leaving Fri evening for a week on the Outer Banks. Haven’t had a vacation in 5 years. Me and Joaquin better not have a problem


50 posted on 09/30/2015 6:38:54 AM PDT by cork (Gun control = hitting what you aim at)
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To: dirtboy
Models, Schmodels. Worried about your particular harbor? All you need to do is just keep an eye out for Jim Cantore...


59 posted on 09/30/2015 7:22:05 AM PDT by Hatteras
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To: dirtboy

Oh great. Another uninvited illegal invader coming to our shores......


61 posted on 09/30/2015 7:56:49 AM PDT by JEDI4S (I don't mean to cause trouble...it just happens naturally through the Force!)
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To: dirtboy

Models are starting to come into agreement that Christie will get a chance for another Bromance moment with Idi Obama.


63 posted on 09/30/2015 8:00:34 AM PDT by N. Theknow (Kennedys-Can't drive, can't ski, can't fly, can't skipper a boat-But they know what's best for you.)
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To: dirtboy

How long before the media starts hyping ‘Superstorm Joaquin: the Sequel’? Glad I do not have cable...


73 posted on 09/30/2015 8:43:03 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (Yehovah saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.com)
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To: dirtboy

Will Fox News Channel send Shepherd Smith and Gerry Rivers to the beaches in rain slickers for the entire weekend?


84 posted on 09/30/2015 9:42:02 AM PDT by jpl ("You cannot defeat an enemy you do not admit exists." - Lt. General Michael Flynn)
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To: dirtboy

Thanks for the thread


91 posted on 09/30/2015 7:13:21 PM PDT by novemberslady
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To: dirtboy
Hurricane (Tropical Storm) Irene did a number on us in upstate NY and I am feeling a deja vu with this one.


94 posted on 10/01/2015 4:47:45 AM PDT by RubyR
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To: dirtboy
You never know.

Here's the reason why: this area of the Atlantic is part of the infamous Bermuda Triangle, an area of ocean where because of sharp turn of oceanic currents from going west to going north to become the Gulf Stream, you can get major storms starting up and disappearing in a matter of hours. It's this unpredictable weather that explains most of the mysterious loss of airplanes and ships in this area.

Because Joaquin now moves in this area, even the National Hurricane Center in Miami can't predict easily where it will go next....

96 posted on 10/01/2015 5:32:51 AM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's economic cure)
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To: dirtboy

Looks like we sold our high-rise condo in Alexandria, VA just in time. FNC just had a reporterette on King St talking about flooding, sand bags and such.


101 posted on 10/01/2015 7:48:42 AM PDT by RightField
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