Posted on 01/25/2015 10:11:11 AM PST by expat_panama
Considering the top headlines were about soft footballs this has to have been an easy no-brainer week for investments. Maybe; here's what he experts are telling us:
[excerpt from Investors Business Daily At Davos, Hypocrites Tell Rest Of Us To Lower Expectations] Former Vice President Al Gore listens to singer Pharrell Williams... ...talking, of course, about the annual confab at Davos, Switzerland, ... [snip] [snip]
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[excerpt from Daily Finance Market Wrap: Stocks Fall on Miners, UPS; Indexes Up for Week] NEW YORK -- U.S. stocks fell modestly Friday, pressured by underwhelming corporate news including guidance from economic activity bellwether UPS and as materials stocks fell after bearish notes. [snip] |
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[excerpt from T.RowePrice Weekly Market Wrap-Ups ]
...ECB's QE plans drive shift in sentiment...
Even as earnings reporting season was in full swing, investor sentiment appeared to be driven in large part by macroeconomic concerns, and not even domestic ones. Reports that the European Central Bank (ECB) might announce a large quantitative easing (QE) programbuying long-term bonds in order to lower borrowing costs and spur growth and inflationseemed to foster improved sentiment early in the week. U.S. and other global markets rallied on Thursday, when the ECB announced a program that was in fact much larger than what many investors had anticipated. T. Rowe Price's London-based sovereign credit analysts note that while the size of the program is roughly in line with the Fed's recent QE efforts, it should have a larger effect on the European bond market given the smaller amount of bonds available. ...but also drives up dollar, threatening overseas profits for U.S. multinationals T. Rowe Price analysts also expect the program to have a significant effect on the value of the euro relative to the U.S. dollar. Indeed, following the announcement, the dollar reached its highest level against a basket of other currencies since late 2003. While the strong dollar has some positive effects for the U.S. economy, it also threatens the profits of U.S. businesses earning revenues overseas. Earnings down for financial sector, but individual opportunities remain Threats to overseas revenues and declining oil prices have already weighed considerably on earnings expectations. Analytical and database firm FactSet now estimates that overall earnings for the S&P 500 will grow by only 0.25% in the fourth quarter of 2014. Profit expectations have declined significantly for financials firms, along with energy companies. Some better-than-expected bank earnings reported Thursday helped fuel the market's rally, however. [snip] |
Good morning! Yesterday metals plunged back down to the old base (gold'n'silver to $1,257.15 and $16.95 but this morning futures see 'em up +0.99%. Yesterday's stock indexes reversed higher and (from Rebound, finally...) "finally rebounded from the lows of the week." but any hopes "the Indexes close strong on the week" are facing this morning's futures pointing down to a -0.59%.
Need more coffee...
GDP up 2.6% verses est 3.0
Pretty big miss...
Consumption up big though. Want to see the internals to see what took it down.
Wage growth very low. More ammo for Fed to push out rate hike into 16.
10 yr bond below 1.7%
Gundlach is going to bee proven right. Again.
Which bolsters the theory that the 5% 3rd quarter GDP figure was suspect, because of all the Obamacare payments thrown in.
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