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Can Republicans hold on to Senate majority in 2016? There’s reason for doubt.
The Washington Post ^ | November 9, 2014 | Chris Cillizza,, Aaron Blake and Sean Sullivan

Posted on 11/15/2014 11:00:16 AM PST by Clintonfatigued

Congratulations, Republicans! You won the Senate majority! Now, can you hold on to it for more than two years?

Looking at the 2016 Senate map, there’s reason for doubt. Republicans will have to defend 24 seats, compared with 10 for Democrats. And the raw numbers don’t even tell the whole story. Seven seats held by Republicans — Florida, Illinois, Iowa, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — were carried by President Obama in 2008 and 2012. And there is chatter about potential Republican retirements in Arizona and Iowa. If either John McCain or Chuck Grassley decided to call it a career, each of those races would be major Democratic targets.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016elections; election; electionmap; elections; gruberizing; map
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To: GOPsterinMA

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oFRbZJXjWIA

Rand Paul’s campaign theme.


61 posted on 11/16/2014 12:25:07 AM PST by Impy (They pull a knife, you pull a gun. That's the CHICAGO WAY, and that's how you beat the rats!)
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To: Impy

I HATE ragGAY music; wimmyn seem to like it though.


62 posted on 11/16/2014 12:32:24 AM PST by GOPsterinMA (I'm with Steve McQueen: I live my life for myself and answer to nobody.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

This speculation from a Newspaper which held out to the very last moment hope the Dems could hold the Senate.


63 posted on 11/16/2014 1:33:30 AM PST by billyboy15
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To: Impy; Clintonfatigued; AuH2ORepublican; BillyBoy; hockeyfan44; GOPsterinMA; ...

“...f.ing cockroaches, this actually started a few weeks ago when it was clear we were gonna win the Senate...”

Roaches, indeed. Of course they started. It’s how they win. They know how to fight.

RE “..In PA I’d be more worried about that witch Kathleen Kane, people LOVE female rat AGs for some unfathomable reason....”

She’s sure as hell NOT loved around here, brother. Half the state wants her removed from office for the numerous scandal BS she’s involved in.


64 posted on 11/16/2014 1:36:40 PM PST by NFHale (The Second Amendment - By Any Means Necessary.)
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To: Perdogg

I think with two more years of Dems wrecking the economy of CT, maybe CT will kick Blooming(idiot)thal out.


65 posted on 11/16/2014 7:48:11 PM PST by ExCTCitizen (I'm ExCTCitizen and I approve this reply. If it does offend Libs, I'm NOT sorry...)
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To: plangent

“Patty Murray is on crumbling earth and a likely defeat.”

What makes you think that?


66 posted on 11/17/2014 5:30:28 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: plangent; Clintonfatigued; AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj

I’d like to believe Murray is more than slightly vulnerable, but WA State sucks. Who’s gonna be the candidate?


67 posted on 11/19/2014 10:42:10 PM PST by Impy (They pull a knife, you pull a gun. That's the CHICAGO WAY, and that's how you beat the rats!)
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To: Clintonfatigued; AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj

In other news, Mark Amodei joins Joe Heck in disclaiming any interest in running for the Senate.


68 posted on 11/19/2014 10:56:59 PM PST by Impy (They pull a knife, you pull a gun. That's the CHICAGO WAY, and that's how you beat the rats!)
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To: Impy; Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj

Hopefully, they’re merely clearing the field for Sandoval.


69 posted on 11/20/2014 3:39:37 AM PST by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll defend your rights?)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Since 2016 is a presidential election year then a lot depends on who the GOP nominates. That candidate will either pull a lot of senate candidates along with him or sink them as he goes down.


70 posted on 11/20/2014 3:43:55 AM PST by DoodleDawg
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To: DoodleDawg; Clintonfatigued; BillyBoy; AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj; campaignPete R-CT

I would say the who the Senate nominees are matters more.

In competitive Senate races Romney ran ahead of

Jeff Flake AZ (Only Winner on this list)
Josh Mandel OH
Connie Mack IV FL (Semi competitive)
George Allen VA
Tom Smith PA
Rick Berg ND
Denny Reberg MT
Pete Hoekstra MI (Semi competitive, God how GOP Senate in Michigan have blown it the last 2 times, damn)
Dick Mourdock IN
Todd Akin MO

Tommy Thompson in WI had a slightly lower % of the vote but lost by a couple points less.

The only Republican to win in a State Romney lost was Heller in Nevada, who got about the same vote % as Romney.

In Texas Romney and Cruz won by a nearly identical margins.

The only candidates to run ahead of Romney in competitive races

Wilson NM
Brown MA (Probably would have won in a midterm)
McMahon CT (Semi competitive, if she had faced Murphy in 2010 instead of Blumenthal she may have won)
Lingle HI (theoretically semi competitive but wasn’t really)


71 posted on 11/20/2014 5:30:26 AM PST by Impy (They pull a knife, you pull a gun. That's the CHICAGO WAY, and that's how you beat the rats!)
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To: Impy

Scott Brown.
if he ran in 2013 in the special against Markey, I say he wins. Then he wins in 2014, right? WHo did the DEMS have to run in 2014 vs Brown? Lynch might have gotten the nomination and been elected.

Brown was popular in MA ... so he moves to NH where he is resented.


72 posted on 11/20/2014 8:39:17 AM PST by campaignPete R-CT (Let the dead bury the dead. Let the GOP bury the GOP.)
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To: campaignPete R-CT; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; BillyBoy

I thought he would have won that special too, and given how things went I presume would have won a full term earlier this month. I was pissed when he bailed and went to NH, though he was unfortunately also our strongest candidate for that seat.


73 posted on 11/20/2014 9:24:31 AM PST by Impy (They pull a knife, you pull a gun. That's the CHICAGO WAY, and that's how you beat the rats!)
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To: Impy; Clintonfatigued; AuH2ORepublican; randita; BillyBoy

Maybe the WA GOP can get Dr. Monica Wehby to run. She was such an incredible candidate in Oregon. A real winner.


74 posted on 11/20/2014 10:25:05 AM PST by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: Impy

Cubs add ONE today. I didn’t look to see what they are at on the 40 man roster
Edwards is considered one of the team’s best pitching prospects. The 23-year-old posted a 2.35 ERA over two levels in 2014.

http://fantasynews.cbssports.com/fantasybaseball/update/24824074/cubs-add-cj-edwards-to-40-man-roster

BoSox add 4 as expected to bring them to 40

Yanks add 4
Mets add 6 pitchers!


75 posted on 11/20/2014 4:24:34 PM PST by campaignPete R-CT (Let the dead bury the dead. Let the GOP bury the GOP.)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Ha, ha, you got me on that one. On paper she was a good candidate. Still, I was wrong and admit it.

Dr. Wehby should have dropped out of the race.


76 posted on 11/22/2014 11:12:58 AM PST by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: Clintonfatigued

There was some Oregon FReeper who was nuts over Monica and she seemed to vanish into the ether after Wehby imploded. Conger might not have won, either, but he’d have kept it closer and preserved his viability for statewide office (perhaps for Governor in 2018 when it comes open, which will mark 40 years since the GOP won it with a new candidate).


77 posted on 11/22/2014 11:55:12 AM PST by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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