Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

For House GOP, a Wave … Or a Trickle?
Roll Call Politics ^ | October 20, 2014 | Abby Livingston

Posted on 10/20/2014 3:01:51 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued

House Republicans are on track to make gains this cycle, but two weeks before Election Day, it’s still unclear whether the party will procure a wave of double-digit gains in their quest to extend the majority.

Members of Congress and operatives alike note this is a toxic time for Democrats on the ballot that should result in huge losses for the president’s party. But a race-by-race evaluation of the House map shows Republicans are more likely in a position to pick up a net of around six seats this cycle.

“After two successful cycles for House Republicans, the playing field confines the upper limits of pickups that can be had,” said Brock McCleary, a Republican pollster.

Public surveys show President Barack Obama’s unpopularity, as events in the Middle East and Ebola on the home front are dragging down Democrats coast to coast. House Democrats are defending more seats than Republicans this cycle.

But this midterm is shaping up to be one of the most perplexing in recent memory. Both parties are on offense, and both parties are on defense. In private polling, dozens of races are too close to call. Given the unpredictability, it’s also possible the next 14 days could exacerbate Democratic losses.

Here’s why most political operatives estimate Republican will have a net gain in the mid-single digits:

(Excerpt) Read more at atr.rollcall.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: democrats; elections; house; republicans
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-49 next last

1 posted on 10/20/2014 3:01:51 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; LdSentinal; ExTexasRedhead; ...

I am hopeful for significant gains, but it’s very touch-and-go in a number of races. Many are not shaping as expected.


2 posted on 10/20/2014 3:03:03 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued

Maybe the Ditch Turtle can come out and diss the Tea Party some more?


3 posted on 10/20/2014 3:04:57 PM PDT by Paladin2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued

Depends on what one expected.


4 posted on 10/20/2014 3:07:36 PM PDT by Norm Lenhart ("Refusing to vote against unprincipled people made Obama President. " - agere_contra)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued

Significant gains will send he message to th GOPe that they don’t need conservative votes. I prefer a squeaker if not an outright loss.


5 posted on 10/20/2014 3:08:16 PM PDT by Maceman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Maceman

They promised Amnesty.We lose regardless.


6 posted on 10/20/2014 3:09:29 PM PDT by Norm Lenhart ("Refusing to vote against unprincipled people made Obama President. " - agere_contra)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued

Doesn’t matter much if the GOP does not win the Senate. Even then, it probably doesn’t matter that much either.


7 posted on 10/20/2014 3:10:29 PM PDT by 3Fingas (Sons and Daughters for Freedom and Rededication to the Principles of the U.S. Constitution)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Norm Lenhart

I look at all of the Republican “amnesty whores” running for various offices i Arizona, and there is almost nobody to vote for.


8 posted on 10/20/2014 3:20:08 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (The only people in the world who fear Obama are American citizens. KILL THE BILL!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Paladin2

This is really one of my sticking points with the, “Get out and vote rino at any cost,” crowd. Can anyone point to any effort at all the GOPe has made to patch bridges within the party? I guarantee, you will see McConnell do more to work with Democrats than he has done with his own party. You can’t win putting a losing team on the field. It’s time to rebuild.


9 posted on 10/20/2014 3:22:55 PM PDT by Yogafist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: stephenjohnbanker

Just set aside some principle. What could be easier?

Hey.......You aren’t one of those...you know...evil purists that demands people actually follow the constitution are you? CuZ that don’t play well with lotsa folks round these parts.


10 posted on 10/20/2014 3:25:20 PM PDT by Norm Lenhart ("Refusing to vote against unprincipled people made Obama President. " - agere_contra)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Yogafist

Try telling FR’s cheshires that. They know better. And the 30 year ‘success’ of their methodology is there for all to see.


11 posted on 10/20/2014 3:26:48 PM PDT by Norm Lenhart ("Refusing to vote against unprincipled people made Obama President. " - agere_contra)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Norm Lenhart

That darn Constitution........you try washing it out, and scrubbing it out.........and you still end up with “Ring Around the RINO”


12 posted on 10/20/2014 3:28:43 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (The only people in the world who fear Obama are American citizens. KILL THE BILL!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: stephenjohnbanker

Well it’s a living document. Thats why euthanasia is such a front burner issue for the Naz...I mean Democrats.


13 posted on 10/20/2014 3:30:31 PM PDT by Norm Lenhart ("Refusing to vote against unprincipled people made Obama President. " - agere_contra)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued
House Republicans are on track to make gains this cycle, but two weeks before Election Day, it’s still unclear whether the party will procure a wave of double-digit gains in their quest to extend the majority.

As I look at the race, I would expect a Republican wave based on all that has gone wrong under the Socialists (Dems)
However I have to face reality and realize the voters are not the same as they were in my early lifetime.

Demographics are against conservatives and it will get worse in the future.
The Socialists get a majority of the Black , Jewish, Asian, Hispanic and Women's vote.
That doesn't leave much for the conservatives to get because they seem to be in a minority position.

Having said all that, I believe the Socialists have so screwed up, that the innefective dumb Republicans will take the senate back, and surprisingly get 8 more seats - Tom

14 posted on 10/20/2014 3:37:40 PM PDT by Capt. Tom (Don't confuse U.S. citizens and Americans. They are not necessarily the same. -tom)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Norm Lenhart

I have to admit, I was with them until this election cycle, and this cycle is strange to me. For the first time since I could vote, Carter vs. Ford, I don’t care how this election turns out. I could probably go back and find arguments I made here at FreeRepublic against not voting for Romney. Don’t get me wrong, I didn’t vote for him, I voted against Obama, but you know the story. I point this out to show why the GOP should start paying attention to their base. They are losing us slowly but surely.


15 posted on 10/20/2014 3:38:17 PM PDT by Yogafist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Yogafist

Glad you saw the light. I voted for McCain to get Palin and I regret it immensely. All we both did was help empower more liberals.

If they have no conservatism/principles, they will not get my vote. If the country burns, it’s all on the GOP for running the people they do.


16 posted on 10/20/2014 3:43:57 PM PDT by Norm Lenhart ("Refusing to vote against unprincipled people made Obama President. " - agere_contra)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued
"House Democrats are defending more seats than Republicans this cycle."

How can this be?

All House members are up for reelection and there are more Republican members than Democrats.

Sounds like the writer is FOS.

17 posted on 10/20/2014 3:54:10 PM PDT by SnuffaBolshevik
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Paladin2
.


 photo FR-MMC-2014-01_zps55425575.jpg


 photo FR-MMC-2014-02_zpsabae4ce6.jpg



18 posted on 10/20/2014 3:55:31 PM PDT by Patton@Bastogne
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued

The Senate seat in GA should not even be in doubt. But that’s what happens when you nominate a lackluster candidate for the GOP which we have in David Perdue. Its a toss up as to whether he or Michelle Nunn have the worst personality. They both have all the warmth and charm of a brick.


19 posted on 10/20/2014 4:11:51 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose o f a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Capt. Tom
Demographics are against conservatives and it will get worse in the future.

You also have to factor in the fact that the GOP-E leadership is trending faster and faster to the left.

As a result, they are shedding more and more of their base as their base realize that the GOP-E Leadership doesn't share their values or principles and instead represent deep-pocket campaign donors like the Chamber of Commerce.
20 posted on 10/20/2014 4:19:06 PM PDT by SoConPubbie (Mitt and Obama: They're the same poison, just a different potency)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-49 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson