Posted on 10/11/2014 4:29:39 AM PDT by Din Maker
The Washington Post's Election Lab -- our statistical model designed to predict outcomes of the various races on the ballot this fall -- is currently showing Republicans with a 95 percent chance of winning the Senate. While most political handicappers suggest Republicans have an edge in the battle for the Senate majority, few would say it is as heavily tilted toward the GOP as Election Lab. And, even other statistical models -- kept by FiveThirtyEight and the New York Times -- project far more caution about the likely outcome in 25 days time. Nate Silver's model pegs it at a 58 percent chance. The New York Times' at a 66 percent chance.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
How would a Cochran defeat in MS affect things?
The rending of garments and gnashing of teeth will be of Biblical proportions, and that’s just before the serious drinking starts.
Yes it will.
Ain't that the truth. Most vulnerable Senator in Kay Hagan, Tillis as high profile Speaker of the NC House, the most conservative legislature ever in the state - Rove's genius.....and they may blow it.
My hunch is Tillis will sneak through in a squeaker. But he should be 15 points ahead. Awful campaign.
Capturing the Senate with Cochran losing would put a big smile on my face.....
Although I dont live there now, NC is my home state. I hate what has happenned....lil dickie burr is completely worthless and now Thom Tillis! Tillis is Rove/GOPe trash for sure..completely worthless.
The Hag was an easy target....
drinks spiked with generous quantities of wacky weed.
Same here - my quandary is whether I just don't vote for him or if I actually vote for the Dim. This kind of treachery has to be stopped - if we do it locally, it might gain a foothold as a warning for the RNC/GOPe for National elections. Still have my fingers crossed for McDaniel's court efforts, but don't have much real hope.
Cantor spent $5 million on ads---was touted as "untouchable"---pollsters had him 35 points ahead---and still he lost.
Foolishness...... your effort will not only be wasted but might get a democrat elected
If I were a Mississippi voter - unless I was 100% sure the Democrats would lose the Senate - I think I’d end up voting Cochran. But damn, I would really hate it.
As for stopping the treachery - I think some of that might be happening organically. Cochran losing would certainly propel that notion however.
That’s fine by me.
STROLL DOWN MEMORY LANE Just a few days ago, it was reported that, despite many setbacks, Democrat Mary Landrieu was aggressively in the hunt for that elusive victory....... in Louisiana, no less, which has had it w/ Obama.
But little Mary soldiered on---using the Democrats' tried-and-true "Heart of Gold Strategy." The "Heart of Gold Strategy" means a Democrat will suck-up to anything that moves.
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NO KIDDING--THIS WAS POSTED ON THE LANDRIEU.GOV WEB SITE after her vote on the motion to invoke cloture on the DREAM Act which was defeated by a vote of 55-41.
Landrieu issued this statement: "America is a land of enormous opportunity that is strengthened, not weakened, by the immeasurable contributions of people from different backgrounds. "
"There are 2.1 million young people in this country who were brought to America by their parents as children. They are undocumented, yet they know no other home than the USA. I believe these young adults deserve a chance to earn their citizenship. (SNIP) "Contrary to the rhetoric of its vocal opponents, the DREAM Act, because of its limited scope, will not open the door for future abuses of the system. "
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Does Mary know how many future Dreamers are carriers of TB, Ebola, Chikungunya, Dengue fever, Norovirus. Hantavirus, Swine flu, Varicella. Variola, E-coli.......and carriers of childhood diseases America stamped out years ago.......how many are in Louisiana communities, schools, in stores and restaurants....handling Louisianans' food and merchandise.
DOES MARY KNOW:
<><> the medical conditions of those enrolled in Louisiana schools....
<><> the contagion status of contaminated Louisiana public facilities;
<><> the contagion status of contaminated public transportation used to transport minors.......
<><> the dangers to Americans from contaminated Dreamers in the marketplace, handling Louisianans' food, merchandise.
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Campaign Contributions Ensnare MARY LANDRIEU in IRSs Missing Emails Scandal
Colorado Observer. | June 19, 2014 | Audrey Hudson / FR Posted 6/21 by george76
...... missing among the IRSs internal emails are communications with Sens. Mark Udall, Mark Begich, Mary Landrieu, Al Franken, and a dozen other Democrats who received campaign contributions from the federal agencys union.
Democratic senators who took campaign donations from the IRS union include Sens. Mary Landrieu of Louisiana who received $25,500, Al Franken of Minnesota with $5,000, and Mark Begich of Alaska.
(Excerpt) Read more at thecoloradoobserver.com
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Obama is flying in to save loyal little Mary's ***.
Note FiveThirtyEight and NYT models however. Both paint a more realistic picture. Not sure anyone has it near 95% other than WaPo.
I don’t see how you can find Landrieu winning Louisiana. She’s in trouble, and has been for some time.
The way of the South is to vote Republican. Only a few dems are left in office. Landrieu is gonna be another dem who lost in a Southern state due to this trend.
Now, will it take a runoff to put Landrieu out to pasture? Perhaps. The last poll had Landrieu at 36%, Cassidy at 32 and Mannes at 4. However, the same poll has a head-to-head between Landrieu and Cassidy at Cassidy 47% and Landrieu 41%.
I don’t think she can win unless her number comes up to at least 46%. She’s in a very deep hole.
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Dummycrat Braley is resorting to pumping abortion-on-demand to get women's votes.
Typical Dem....the last refuge of a scoundrel...a woman's vagina.
Iowa women voters need to ask themselves:
"Would you want Bruce Braley messing w/ your vagina?
How would a Cochran defeat in MS affect things?
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The GOP will still win control of the Senate. But, it would make about 150,000 Tea Party/True Conservatives very happy. The ones whose votes were disenfranchised by Thad Cockroach and his Black Democrats who crossed over in the Run-off and voted for him; even though they had already voted in the Dem Primary.
And when I tell folks, who couldn't vote for Romney, the same thing, I get called all sorts of names - interesting...
Crush your enemies. See them driven before you. Hear the lamentations of their Flukes.
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