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Investment & Finance Thread TOTAL Market Crash Wrap-up
Weekly investment & finance thread ^ | Oct. 5, 2014 | Freeper Investors

Posted on 10/05/2014 12:26:47 PM PDT by expat_panama

 

Investment & Finance Thread TOTAL Market Crash Wrap-up

Jeesh!  The bond bubble, just popped (Bond market may be more fragile than you think),stocks'n'metals are in the terlet, all while unemployment plunges below the big 6!   Big deal.  This so-called 'recovery' may be a boom time for all the elites on Main Street but those of us middle class working stiffs on Wall Street know better. 

 

On Friday's gold and silver punched new lows and now weekend trading's putting them clearly into prices from four years ago.

 

 

As for stock indexes we got IBD announcing Thursday that stock trends are now pegged "market in correction". Some how my inner 'wise-ass' wants to say this means it's time to buy back in, but past track records aside IBD's always been up front that the "market under pressure" is the yellow traffic light.  Some drivers hit the gas when the light turns yellow but I'd rather slow down...

 

Bottom line though is I plan to watch this "red light" with a bit more enthusiasm than before.

 

 

This is the thread where folks swap ideas on savings and investment --here's a list of popular investing links that freepers have posted here and tomorrow morning we'll go on with our--

Open invitation continues always for idea-input for the thread, this being a joint effort works well.   Keywords: financial, WallStreet, stockmarket, economy.

 


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: economy; stockmarket; wallstreet
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To: expat_panama

So, should i buy some silver or not?


21 posted on 10/05/2014 5:30:43 PM PDT by spodefly (This is my tag line. There are many like it, but this one is mine.)
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To: SteveH

For about twenty years I put all my money in houses and lots. Whore houses and lots of whiskey. Didn’t pay off much but was a lot of fun.


22 posted on 10/05/2014 5:39:39 PM PDT by Lurkina.n.Learnin (It's a shame nobama truly doesn't care about any of this. Our country, our future, he doesn't care)
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To: spodefly; SAJ
So, should i buy some silver or not?

Seriously, that depends on things like your risk tolerance, how much time and energy for keeping an eye on it to be ready to dump at the right moment, etc.  The price of silver swings wild --over the past ten years it's been up 600% and right now it's "only" up 160% --compared to stocks that have "only" doubled (interactive charting here).

There are people who are comfortable w/ commodities (like SAJ in post # 19) and have a far better handle on what to expect than I do.  Mining stocks are more my forte, though atm none have popped up on my radar.

23 posted on 10/05/2014 6:20:43 PM PDT by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

The Weekend Is Over, And Gold Is Falling ($1185)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3211705/posts


24 posted on 10/05/2014 6:22:55 PM PDT by Lurkina.n.Learnin (It's a shame nobama truly doesn't care about any of this. Our country, our future, he doesn't care)
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To: Lurkina.n.Learnin

Next time you need to warn me so I don’t spit my soda all over my keyboard. Again. I ought to make you clean it up...


25 posted on 10/05/2014 6:23:20 PM PDT by expat_panama
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To: Lurkina.n.Learnin

tx for the link.


26 posted on 10/05/2014 6:30:55 PM PDT by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

Just keepin it real. ;^)


27 posted on 10/05/2014 6:31:51 PM PDT by Lurkina.n.Learnin (It's a shame nobama truly doesn't care about any of this. Our country, our future, he doesn't care)
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To: Mase

CNBC had an interview with a man who knows energy, and he said Saudia Arabia wants crude at around $100, and the Saudi’s still call the shots on world prices - I assume by adjusting output.

If true (on both counts), then it would seem you’re right that $90 oil is only temporary.


28 posted on 10/05/2014 8:25:54 PM PDT by MichaelCorleone (Jesus Christ is not a religion. He's the Truth.)
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To: Lurkina.n.Learnin

keyboard spew alert


29 posted on 10/06/2014 12:13:27 AM PDT by SteveH (First they ignore you. Then they laugh at you. Then they fight you. Then you win.)
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To: expat_panama

those charts make it seem as if the Fed is not printing enuf paper money... very strange...


30 posted on 10/06/2014 12:16:15 AM PDT by SteveH (First they ignore you. Then they laugh at you. Then they fight you. Then you win.)
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To: A Cyrenian; abb; Abigail Adams; abigail2; AK_47_7.62x39; Aliska; aposiopetic; Aquamarine; ...

A very good morning everyone!   Futures traders are expecting a rebound in stock indexes with further declines in metals --although actual metals trading prices @ 3 hrs before opening are up a tad.  

btw, that last one (h/t Abb) not only makes a lot of sense as is, but it could also be useful rewritten in reverse for preparing for the next run-up.

31 posted on 10/06/2014 3:27:50 AM PDT by expat_panama
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To: SteveH
charts make it seem as if the Fed is not printing enuf paper money.

The final numbers do have a habit messing up expectations, but the key question here is "Fed printing enuf for what?".  They're not trying to make stocks go up even though they wouldn't mind if they did, and they're not trying to devaluate the dollar or make the money supply grow more --which they aren't because they can't.  All they want is preventing deflation  --they did so they're stopping.

We got twelve million Americans wanting but not getting work (at least that the BLS knows about) and the Fed's winding down.

32 posted on 10/06/2014 3:38:27 AM PDT by expat_panama
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To: Mase; MichaelCorleone; SAJ; Wyatt's Torch
...energy stocks getting beaten up, especially the drillers, and thinking that this can't last.  China's thirst and ME upheaval leads me to believe that $90 oil, or lower, is a temporary thing...

Good to see you!  Yeah, energy stocks have taken quite a hit --down 16% since June-- but some how that can either be stock price consolidation on a long time support (translation: bounce time!) or maybe we're in for a longer term drop.  The oil price is weird though, for many decades oil (in 2014$) was always $40 but ten years ago it went to say, $100 and it's been there for 5 years now.  Maybe SAJ or Wyatt knows why...

33 posted on 10/06/2014 5:17:36 AM PDT by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama
I hope they will comment. I saw Cramer on one of the talking head shows claiming the fate of the EU economy depends on what the Russians do with their energy, and what effects sanctions have on them. Demand for oil continues to increase while the ME is a long way from any semblance of stability. Half of all new oil finds come from deep water exploration so I figure the best ultra deepwater drillers should stay busy, and profitable. But then companies like SDRL and ESV lose 30-40% of their value in a month. Ouch. Lots of non-contracted equipment out there while the exploration guys are scaling back capex, I guess. How long can that last? $50 oil would cause a huge decline in valuations, but with dear Leader making things right in the ME, who knows what to think?

I see where you follow mining. Any opinion on the iron ore market? I bought some VALE last week when it dropped below $11. It's really been beaten down and comes with a nice yield. Can't imagine steel production will collapse, but we will see.

34 posted on 10/06/2014 8:17:35 AM PDT by Mase (Save me from the people who would save me from myself!)
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To: Mase
This "heatmap" website on Marketwatch has super info on industry sectors and major companies.   VALE may very well have a lot going for it that I haven't heard about yet, but clicking on 26 weeks is telling me that OilGas and Mining have been doing poorly and VALE's been in a steady heavy downtrend and it still has a PE of 60.  Then again, today VALE is up and those two sectors are solid 8P.  In the oil industry IBD is very happy about WGP and OILT but I'm seeing more reports featuring healthcare companies
35 posted on 10/06/2014 10:47:26 AM PDT by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

GS 40 Cheapest Stocks In The Market:

http://www.businessinsider.com/goldman-stocks-with-most-upside-2014-10?op=1


36 posted on 10/06/2014 11:50:52 AM PDT by Wyatt's Torch
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To: A Cyrenian; abb; Abigail Adams; abigail2; AK_47_7.62x39; Aliska; aposiopetic; Aquamarine; ...

Whoa, welcome to Tuesday --the day we say "huh!".  Yesterday futures marts began w/ stocks up and metals down but the day's action saw metals up 'n stocks down.  Maybe that's why today's futures traders are now seeing metals up a half percent and stock indexes equally down.  Only reports today are JOLTS - Job Openings and Consumer Credit.  Meanwhile :

--that and post #36...

37 posted on 10/07/2014 4:06:54 AM PDT by expat_panama
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To: Lurkina.n.Learnin

LOL!


38 posted on 10/07/2014 7:16:01 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: expat_panama
I.M.F. Lowers World Growth Forecast, With U.S. as a Bright Spot
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/08/business/imf-lowers-world-growth-forecast-pointing-to-us-as-a-bright-spot.html

Wow, we are the bright spot! Now isn't that amazing?

39 posted on 10/07/2014 10:37:26 AM PDT by Chgogal (Obama "hung the SEALs out to dry, basically exposed them like a set of dog balls..." CMH)
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To: Chgogal

—and the weird thing will be how the global slowdown will be blamed on not enough tax’n’spending!


40 posted on 10/07/2014 12:02:31 PM PDT by expat_panama
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